1. FC Heidenheim vs Holstein Kiel Prediction

Voith-Arena, Heidenheim 13/09/2026

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
3.6 / 10
Value Analysis
59%Trust
Corners Total
Corners Under 10.5
1.60
SignalSOLIDModel59%SurpriseMediumGap+2.3%
1. FC Heidenheim Rest
7 days
Holstein Kiel Rest
8 days

1. FC Heidenheim vs Holstein Kiel: result, form and history

1. FC Heidenheim beat Holstein Kiel 1-0 in the 2. Bundesliga on 13 Sep 2026. The two went into the match with similar recent form.

Their 8 previous meetings averaged 2.8 goals, with both teams scoring in 5 of them. 1. FC Heidenheim tend to win more corners, 9.1 a game to 4.6 for Holstein Kiel.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
40%2.25
X
27%3.71
2
33%2.83
Double Chance
1X
67%1.40
X2
60%1.64
Both Teams to Score
Yes
67%1.40
No
33%2.68
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.6 + 1.29 = 2.89
Over 1.5
81%1.13
Over 2.5
59%1.47
Over 3.5
34%2.18
Under 1.5
19%5.50
Under 2.5
41%2.60
Under 3.5
66%1.66
Corners
Projected Corners: 5.3 + 4.7 = 10
Over 8.5
63%1.40
Over 9.5
54%1.73
Over 10.5
41%2.16
Under 8.5
37%2.63
Under 9.5
46%2.00
Under 10.5
59%1.60
Cards
Projected Cards: 1.9 + 2.2 = 4
Over 3.5
57%-
Over 4.5
38%-
Under 3.5
43%-
Under 4.5
62%-

Match Events

38'Jonas Torrissen TherkelsenFoul
45'Mathias Honsak INMikkel Kaufmann out
45'Oualid Mhamdi INChristian Conteh out
50'Jonas Torrissen Therkelsen
57'Guillermo Balzi INNoah Madsen out
76'Adrian Kapralik INGyan de Regt out
76'Julian niehues INYannik Wagner out
76'Leon Parduzi INJohn Tolkin out
81'Alessandro Vogt INTim Siersleben out
81'Marcel Costly INPaul Hennrich out
83'Ikem Ugoh INTill Wiese out
83'Jonas FöhrenbachAssist: Mikkel Kaufmann
86'Mikkel KaufmannNot retreating

Lineups

1. FC Heidenheim
4-4-2Coach: F. Schmidt
Holstein Kiel
4-1-4-1Coach: T. Walter
Avg rating6.78
Avg rating6.41
T. Dähne7.133T. Dähne
M. Busch6.62M. Busch
P. Mainka6.96P. Mainka
J. Föhrenbach8.419J. Föhrenbach
M. Heule7.027M. Heule
O. Mhamdi6.122O. Mhamdi
J. Niehues6.716J. Niehues
J. Schöppner6.23J. Schöppner
M. Costly6.724M. Costly
A. Vogt6.318A. Vogt
M. Honsak6.417M. Honsak
T. Weiner7.01T. Weiner
H. Sekine6.132H. Sekine
I. Nekić6.313I. Nekić
D. Zec6.826D. Zec
Leon Parduzi6.840L. Parduzi
J. Meffert6.228J. Meffert
A. Kaprálik6.220A. Kaprálik
G. Balzi6.78G. Balzi
I. Ugoh6.027I. Ugoh
J. Therkelsen5.510J. Therkelsen
P. Harres6.919P. Harres

1. FC Heidenheim Substitutes

38Y. Wagner76'for Julian niehues6.5
41M. Zrilic
10C. Conteh45'for Oualid Mhamdi7.1
1Frank Feller
8P. Hennrich81'for Marcel Costly6.8
29M. Kaufmann45'for Mathias Honsak86'7.2
20L. Kerber
23L. Paqarada
4T. Siersleben81'for Alessandro Vogt6.5

Holstein Kiel Substitutes

5N. Madsen57'for Guillermo Balzi6.4
44Mark Richter Monserrat
41Lio Rothenhagen
7S. Skrzybski
3Niko Takahashi Cendagorta
30T. Tasdelen
47J. Tolkin76'for Leon Parduzi6.3
43T. Wiese83'for Ikem Ugoh6.5
11G. de Regt76'for Adrian Kapralik6.5

Match Stats

1. FC HeidenheimHolstein Kiel
51%Ball Possession49%
6Corner Kicks8
1Yellow Cards2
0Red Cards1
19Total Shots13
4Shots on Goal2
12Shots off Goal7
12Shots Inside Box7
7Shots Outside Box6
3Blocked Shots4
11Fouls12
4Offsides1
3Goalkeeper Saves3
372Total Passes364
294Passes Accurate288
79%Pass Accuracy79%

Team Comparison

1. FC Heidenheim1. FC Heidenheim
Holstein KielHolstein Kiel
1623Elo Rating 1626
0.97Attack 1.10
1.71Defense 2.42
14%Hit Rate 23%
22.0Shots per Game 12.2
6.7Shots on Target 2.9
9.1Corners per Game 4.6
1.6Cards per Game 2.9

AI Insights

⚽High Goal Expectancy2.9 goals
📈BTTS Trend63% in H2H
📉Home Underperforming

Game State Tendencies

1. FC Heidenheim1. FC Heidenheim
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
  • Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 50% of the time
  • Concedes more in 1st half - tightens up after the break
Holstein KielHolstein Kiel
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
  • Concedes more in 1st half - tightens up after the break

Head to Head

Last 8 meetings, all competitions

1. FC Heidenheim1. FC Heidenheim4Wins · 50%
Draws225%
Holstein KielHolstein Kiel2Wins · 25%
2.8Avg Goals
63%Both teams scored5 of 8
63%3+ goals5 of 8

Previous meetings

Bundesliga16/03/2025
1. FC HeidenheimHolstein Kiel
31
Bundesliga02/11/2024
Holstein Kiel1. FC Heidenheim
10
2. Bundesliga23/04/2023
FC HeidenheimHolstein Kiel
30
2. Bundesliga16/10/2022
Holstein KielFC Heidenheim
31
2. Bundesliga23/04/2022
Holstein KielFC Heidenheim
11
2. Bundesliga21/11/2021
FC HeidenheimHolstein Kiel
21
2. Bundesliga06/04/2021
FC HeidenheimHolstein Kiel
10
2. Bundesliga21/11/2020
Holstein KielFC Heidenheim
22

Recent Form

1. FC Heidenheim1. FC Heidenheim
5W1D4L
06/09/2026
SpVgg Greuther Fürth1. FC Heidenheim
01
W
29/08/2026
1. FC HeidenheimDynamo Dresden
53
W
23/08/2026
SSV Jeddeloh1. FC Heidenheim
52
L
18/08/2026
1. FC HeidenheimBayern München
24
L
15/08/2026
Hertha BSC1. FC Heidenheim
41
L
08/08/2026
1. FC HeidenheimVfL Osnabrück
43
W
01/08/2026
1. FC HeidenheimFC Ingolstadt 04
41
W
22/07/2026
Bologna1. FC Heidenheim
11
D
15/07/2026
Nordlingen1. FC Heidenheim
09
W
10/07/2026
1. FC HeidenheimFC Lugano
01
L
Holstein KielHolstein Kiel
3W4D3L
05/09/2026
Holstein Kiel1. FC Nürnberg
22
D
30/08/2026
1. FC MagdeburgHolstein Kiel
20
L
22/08/2026
TSV 1860 MünchenHolstein Kiel
02
W
14/08/2026
Holstein KielFC St. Pauli
22
D
08/08/2026
SV Darmstadt 98Holstein Kiel
22
D
29/07/2026
1899 HoffenheimHolstein Kiel
31
L
25/07/2026
FSV Mainz 05Holstein Kiel
30
L
18/07/2026
SwanseaHolstein Kiel
22
D
15/07/2026
Holstein KielAl-Ahli Jeddah
41
W
10/07/2026
Holstein KielSonderjyske
21
W

League Table

2. Bundesliga 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1Hertha BSCHertha BSC1091023:8+1528WWDWW
21. FC Nürnberg1. FC Nürnberg1063124:13+1121WLDDW
3VfL WolfsburgVfL Wolfsburg1054125:14+1119WDWDW
41. FC Kaiserslautern1. FC Kaiserslautern105329:7+218LWWDW
51. FC Magdeburg1. FC Magdeburg1052321:13+817DWLWD
61. FC Heidenheim1. FC Heidenheim1043317:18-115LDLDD
7Arminia BielefeldArminia Bielefeld1042416:15+114WLWWD
8FC St. PauliFC St. Pauli1026212:12012LDDWD
9SpVgg Greuther FürthSpVgg Greuther Fürth1033413:16-312WLWLD
10VfL OsnabrückVfL Osnabrück1032514:17-311LWLDD
11VfL BochumVfL Bochum103258:11-311WDLLL
12Hannover 96Hannover 961032510:16-611WLDLW
13Karlsruher SCKarlsruher SC1032513:21-811WLWLL
14Energie CottbusEnergie Cottbus1024418:20-210LDDLD
15Eintracht BraunschweigEintracht Braunschweig1031616:18-210LWLWL
16SV Darmstadt 98SV Darmstadt 98102359:19-109DDLWL
17Holstein KielHolstein Kiel1015410:12-28LWDLD
18Dynamo DresdenDynamo Dresden1022612:20-88LLWDL
#TeamMPGPts
1Hertha BSCHertha BSC1023:828
21. FC Nürnberg1. FC Nürnberg1024:1321
3VfL WolfsburgVfL Wolfsburg1025:1419
41. FC Kaiserslautern1. FC Kaiserslautern109:718
51. FC Magdeburg1. FC Magdeburg1021:1317
61. FC Heidenheim1. FC Heidenheim1017:1815
7Arminia BielefeldArminia Bielefeld1016:1514
8FC St. PauliFC St. Pauli1012:1212
9SpVgg Greuther FürthSpVgg Greuther Fürth1013:1612
10VfL OsnabrückVfL Osnabrück1014:1711
11VfL BochumVfL Bochum108:1111
12Hannover 96Hannover 961010:1611
13Karlsruher SCKarlsruher SC1013:2111
14Energie CottbusEnergie Cottbus1018:2010
15Eintracht BraunschweigEintracht Braunschweig1016:1810
16SV Darmstadt 98SV Darmstadt 98109:199
17Holstein KielHolstein Kiel1010:128
18Dynamo DresdenDynamo Dresden1012:208
PromotionRelegation

About the 1. FC Heidenheim vs Holstein Kiel forecast

Every forecast on this page comes from the same model inputs: team ratings, recent form, goals scored and conceded, and how these sides have fared against each other.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

1. FC Heidenheim and Holstein Kiel in the 2. Bundesliga table

In the 2. Bundesliga table, 1. FC Heidenheim are 6th and Holstein Kiel 17th, 7 points apart. League goal record so far: 1. FC Heidenheim 17-18, Holstein Kiel 10-12. The full standings are on the 2. Bundesliga Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.