Adelaide United vs Home United Prediction

Coopers Stadium, Adelaide·Clifford Postanes Daypuyat 29/10/2026

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Partial
Match Importance
4.6 / 10
AI Best Pick
60%Trust
Goals O/U
Over 2.5 Goals
1.63
SignalNEUTRALModel49%SurpriseHighGap-1.7%
Adelaide United Rest
4 days
Home United Rest
3 days

Adelaide United vs Home United: the result in context

Home United beat Adelaide United 2-0 in the AFC Champions League Two on 29 Oct 2026. The two went into the match with similar recent form.

Home United tend to win more corners, 7.8 a game to 4.2 for Adelaide United.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
46%1.78
X
25%3.75
2
29%3.85
Double Chance
1X
71%1.22
X2
54%1.91
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%1.60
No
45%2.17
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.65 + 1.54 = 3.19
Over 1.5
76%1.18
Over 2.5
56%1.63
Over 3.5
34%2.52
Under 1.5
24%4.15
Under 2.5
44%2.13
Under 3.5
66%1.45
Corners

Corner forecasts not available for this match

Cards

Card forecasts not available for this match

Match Events

23'Antonio Mance INIlhan Fandi out
43'Anselmo de MoraesFoul
45'Anselmo de Moraes INJay Barnett out
59'Jorge Karse INRyhan Stewart out
59'Juan Muñiz INJoey Garuccio out
60'Craig Goodwin INJonny Yull out
70'Amlani Tatu INAjak Riak out
74'Sotiri PhillisFoul
77'Ilhan Fandi INLennart Thy out
80'Hugo Gomes
83'Harry Crawford INBen Folami out
90+4'Lennart ThyAssist: Matthias Phaeton

Lineups

Adelaide United
4-2-3-1Coach: Airton Andrioli
Home United
5-4-1Coach: M. Jackson
Avg rating6.34
Avg rating6.97
J. Smits7.122J. Smits
H. Crawford5.758H. Crawford
S. Phillis6.252S. Phillis
P. Kikianis6.94P. Kikianis
R. Kitto6.67R. Kitto
Anselmo5.987Anselmo
E. Alagich6.055E. Alagich
A. Tatu6.119A. Tatu
Juan Muñiz6.410J. Muñiz
C. Goodwin6.011C. Goodwin
Brody Burkitt6.735B. Burkitt
Victor Aznar7.91V. Aznar
Jorge Karse6.42J. Karse
Hugo Gomes7.03H. Gomes
B. Wright6.926B. Wright
T. Datković6.64T. Datković
2929D. Costa
M. Phaëton7.723M. Phaëton
K. Nakamura6.88K. Nakamura
G. Haag7.224G. Haag
B. Ramselaar7.110B. Ramselaar
A. Mance6.512A. Mance

Adelaide United Substitutes

15Israel Monga
14J. Barnett45'for Anselmo de Moraes6.5
79F. Kasumovic
65J. Garuccio59'for Juan Muñiz6.3
17Ben Folami83'for Harry Crawford6.7
99A. Riak70'for Amlani Tatu6.2
40E. Cox
62F. Talladira
13M. Vartuli
12J. Yull60'for Craig Goodwin6.3

Home United Substitutes

22M. Asis
14H. Harun
11G. Kweh
15Song Ui-Young
18R. Stewart59'for Jorge Karse6.6
25I. Sušak
16H. Syahin
5L. Tan
9L. Thy77'replaced by Ilhan Fandi90+4'7.5
19F. Zulkifli
7S. Anuar
17Ilhan Fandi23'for Antonio Mance77'for Lennart Thy6.8

Match Stats

Adelaide UnitedHome United
58%Ball Possession42%
6Corner Kicks7
2Yellow Cards0
16Total Shots25
5Shots on Goal8
8Shots off Goal11
12Shots Inside Box16
4Shots Outside Box9
3Blocked Shots6
11Fouls15
1Offsides2
5Goalkeeper Saves4
481Total Passes330
383Passes Accurate240
14Free Kicks11

Team Comparison

Adelaide UnitedAdelaide United
Home UnitedHome United
1563Elo Rating 1708
1.12Attack 3.31
1.53Defense 2.86
36%Hit Rate 100%
13.8Shots per Game 22.3
4.6Shots on Target 6.1
4.2Corners per Game 7.8
2.0Cards per Game 0.4

AI Insights

⚽High Goal Expectancy3.19 goals
📉Home Underperforming

Game State Tendencies

Adelaide UnitedAdelaide United
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late
Home UnitedHome United
  • Leads at half-time in 60% of matches
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
  • Scores more in 2nd half (2.6 vs 0.7 in first half)

Recent Form

Adelaide UnitedAdelaide United
4W1D5L
25/10/2026
SydneyAdelaide United
21
L
15/10/2026
BG Pathum UnitedAdelaide United
12
W
03/10/2026
Perth GloryAdelaide United
13
W
27/09/2026
Perth GloryAdelaide United
20
L
17/09/2026
Adelaide UnitedWofoo Tai Po
30
W
11/08/2026
Adelaide UnitedCông An Nhân Dân
02
L
30/07/2026
South MelbourneAdelaide United
21
L
15/05/2026
Adelaide UnitedAuckland
03
L
09/05/2026
AucklandAdelaide United
11
D
26/04/2026
Melbourne CityAdelaide United
12
W
Home UnitedHome United
4W3D3L
25/10/2026
Home UnitedTanjong Pagar
60
W
18/10/2026
Albirex Niigata SHome United
02
W
15/10/2026
Wofoo Tai PoHome United
01
W
11/10/2026
Home UnitedYoung Lions
61
W
08/10/2026
Home UnitedCông An Nhân Dân
01
L
17/09/2026
Home UnitedBG Pathum United
11
D
12/09/2026
Hougang UnitedHome United
22
D
25/08/2026
Xerez DeportivoHome United
11
D
17/05/2026
Tampines RoversHome United
32
L
10/05/2026
Home UnitedAlbirex Niigata S
02
L

League Table

AFC Champions League Two 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1Home UnitedHome United32104:1+37WWD
2Adelaide UnitedAdelaide United32015:3+26LWW
3BG Pathum UnitedBG Pathum United31115:3+24WLD
4Wofoo Tai PoWofoo Tai Po30030:7-70LLL

About the Adelaide United vs Home United forecast

This is a AFC Champions League Two cup fixture; the forecasts combine team ratings, recent form and scoring data, with the cup context taken into account.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

Adelaide United and Home United in the AFC Champions League Two table

This is a meeting of two top-four sides: Home United are 1st in the AFC Champions League Two, 1 point ahead of Adelaide United in 2nd. League goal record so far: Adelaide United 5-3, Home United 4-1. The full standings are on the AFC Champions League Two Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

Home United have led at half-time in 60% of their recent matches. Adelaide United and Home United have little recent head-to-head history for the model to draw on. Some underlying data for this fixture is limited, which the model accounts for with a lower confidence rating.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.