Airdrie United vs Hamilton Academical Prediction

Albert Bartlett Stadium, Airdrie 17/10/2026

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Partial
Match Importance
4.0 / 10
AI Best Pick
71%Trust
Double Chance
Draw or Away Win
1.29
SignalGOODModel48%SurpriseHighGap-6.2%
Airdrie United Rest
3 days
Hamilton Academical Rest
3 days

Airdrie United vs Hamilton Academical: the result in context

Hamilton Academical beat Airdrie United 2-1 in the League One on 17 Oct 2026. The two went into the match with similar recent form.

When these two meet, goals usually follow: 3.5 a game across 8 meetings, with both teams scoring in 4.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
28%3.36
X
25%3.32
2
47%2.00
Double Chance
1X
53%1.70
X2
72%1.29
Both Teams to Score

Both teams to score forecasts not available for this match

Goals

Goal forecasts not available for this match

Corners

Corner forecasts not available for this match

Cards

Card forecasts not available for this match

Match Events

22'S. Bradley IND. Thomas out
23'
25'S. Bannigan
27'D. Gallagher
31'R. Adams INC. Melrose out
45'D. ThomasAssist: A. Comrie
46'D. Thomas
47'J. Gentles
62'D. Gallagher INK. Boateng out
70'S. Bannigan ING. Crookston out
71'J. Gentles IND. Mebude out
71'G. Gallagher INM. Yates out
81'G. CrookstonAssist: S. Hendrie
83'S. McKinstry INK. Orsi out
87'C. Blues
90+2'K. Boateng
90+2'K. Orsi

Team Comparison

Airdrie UnitedAirdrie United
Hamilton AcademicalHamilton Academical
1451Elo Rating 1597
1.29Attack 1.87
0.74Defense 2.31
34%Hit Rate 73%

Game State Tendencies

Airdrie UnitedAirdrie United
  • Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 50% of the time
  • Scores more in 2nd half (0.9 vs 0.4 in first half)
  • Concedes more in 1st half - tightens up after the break
Hamilton AcademicalHamilton Academical
  • Leads at half-time in 80% of matches
  • Starts fast - scores more in 1st half (1.3 vs 0.6 in second half)

Head to Head

Last 8 meetings, all competitions

Airdrie UnitedAirdrie United3Wins · 38%
Draws112%
Hamilton AcademicalHamilton Academical4Wins · 50%
3.5Avg Goals
50%Both teams scored4 of 8
88%3+ goals7 of 8

Previous meetings

League One15/08/2026
Hamilton AcademicalAirdrie United
40
FA Cup29/11/2025
Airdrie UnitedHamilton Academical
40
Championship08/03/2025
Airdrie UnitedHamilton Academical
21
Championship28/12/2024
Hamilton AcademicalAirdrie United
32
Championship02/11/2024
Airdrie UnitedHamilton Academical
04
Championship31/08/2024
Hamilton AcademicalAirdrie United
22
Championship20/05/2023
Hamilton AcademicalAirdrie United
5261
Championship17/05/2023
Airdrie UnitedHamilton Academical
10

Recent Form

Airdrie UnitedAirdrie United
7W2D1L
13/10/2026
Airdrie UnitedHearts U21
32
W
10/10/2026
East KilbrideAirdrie United
22
D
03/10/2026
Airdrie UnitedMontrose
10
W
26/09/2026
Airdrie UnitedBerwick Rangers
71
W
22/09/2026
Bonnyrigg Rose AthleticAirdrie United
16
W
19/09/2026
PeterheadAirdrie United
12
W
12/09/2026
Airdrie UnitedAlloa Athletic
10
W
08/09/2026
Airdrie UnitedSt. Mirren U21
10
W
05/09/2026
Queen of the SouthAirdrie United
21
L
29/08/2026
Airdrie UnitedEast Fife
00
D
Hamilton AcademicalHamilton Academical
9W0D1L
13/10/2026
Gala Fairydean RoversHamilton Academical
02
W
10/10/2026
Alloa AthleticHamilton Academical
03
W
03/10/2026
Hamilton AcademicalPeterhead
21
W
26/09/2026
Hamilton AcademicalKilmarnock II
30
W
23/09/2026
Hamilton AcademicalCowdenbeath
10
W
19/09/2026
Hamilton AcademicalQueen of the South
41
W
08/09/2026
SpartansHamilton Academical
04
W
05/09/2026
East KilbrideHamilton Academical
01
W
29/08/2026
Hamilton AcademicalCove Rangers
10
W
25/08/2026
Hamilton AcademicalEdinburgh City
01
L

League Table

League One 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1Ross CountyRoss County13112045:8+3735WDWWW
2Hamilton AcademicalHamilton Academical13103027:6+2133DDWWW
3MontroseMontrose1362518:21-320DWDLL
4East KilbrideEast Kilbride1253421:17+418DDDWW
5PeterheadPeterhead1341811:21-1013WLWLL
6Airdrie UnitedAirdrie United1334610:20-1013LLLDW
7Queen of the SouthQueen of the South1341813:36-2313LWLWW
8Alloa AthleticAlloa Athletic1333713:16-312LLWLL
9East FifeEast Fife1326511:16-512WLLDL
10Cove RangersCove Rangers1223710:18-89DLDLL
#TeamMPGPts
1Ross CountyRoss County1345:835
2Hamilton AcademicalHamilton Academical1327:633
3MontroseMontrose1318:2120
4East KilbrideEast Kilbride1221:1718
5PeterheadPeterhead1311:2113
6Airdrie UnitedAirdrie United1310:2013
7Queen of the SouthQueen of the South1313:3613
8Alloa AthleticAlloa Athletic1313:1612
9East FifeEast Fife1311:1612
10Cove RangersCove Rangers1210:189
PromotionRelegation

About the Airdrie United vs Hamilton Academical forecast

The forecasts for this League One match are built from team Elo ratings, recent form, scoring data and the head-to-head record, and are updated as new data arrives before kickoff.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

Airdrie United and Hamilton Academical in the League One table

In the League One table, Hamilton Academical are 2nd and Airdrie United 6th, 20 points apart. League goal record so far: Airdrie United 10-20, Hamilton Academical 27-6. The full standings are on the League One Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

Hamilton Academical have led at half-time in 80% of their recent matches. Some underlying data for this fixture is limited, which the model accounts for with a lower confidence rating.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.