Al Ahly vs Smouha SC Prediction

Al Ahly
1-0
Finished
HT 0-0
Smouha SC
Cairo International Stadium, Cairo 03/09/2026
Al AhlyAl Ahly
1-0
Finished
Smouha SCSmouha SC

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
3.2 / 10
AI Best Pick
73%Trust
1X2
Home Win
1.39
SignalGOODModel69%SurpriseMediumGap+0.8%
Value Analysis
75%Trust
1X2
Home Win
1.39
SignalHIGHModel56%SurpriseMediumGap+6.5%
Al Ahly Rest
6 days
Smouha SC Rest
8 days

Al Ahly vs Smouha SC: the result in context

Al Ahly beat Smouha SC 1-0 in the Premier League on 3 Sep 2026. It was in line with recent form: Al Ahly had won 4 of their previous five, compared with none for Smouha SC.

Al Ahly have had the better of this fixture, winning 6 of the 10 previous meetings, which averaged 2.1 goals a game.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
76%1.39
X
19%4.00
2
5%8.49
Double Chance
1X
95%1.06
X2
24%2.80
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%2.32
No
50%1.50
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.85 + 0.79 = 2.64
Over 1.5
74%1.34
Over 2.5
51%2.10
Over 3.5
32%3.73
Under 1.5
26%3.00
Under 2.5
49%1.69
Under 3.5
68%1.25
Corners

Corner forecasts not available for this match

Cards

Card forecasts not available for this match

Match Events

45+3'Hesham HafezFoul
55'Taher MohamedFoul
57'Amr El SisiArgument
57'Mohamed HanyArgument
61'Mohamed Farouk INAbdel Ghani Mohamed out
61'Attidjikou Samadou INMohamed Adel out
67'Taher Mohamed INMohamed Magdy Afsha out
67'Ali Mahmoud INMonsef Bakrar out
73'Amr El Sisi INAhmed El Nadry out
73'Mohamed Desouki INEmmanuel Nweke out
81'Hesham Hafez INAli Gamal out
86'Zizo Sayed INAqtay Abdallah out
87'Yasser Ibrahim Hanafi
90+2'S. Benjdida INAhmed Reda Hashem out

Lineups

Al Ahly
4-2-3-1Coach: L. Ammouta
Smouha SC
4-1-4-1Coach: Ahmed Abdul Aziz
Avg rating6.99
Avg rating6.49
Mostafa Shobeir6.731M. Shobeir
Mohamed Hany7.430M. Hany
Yasser Ibrahim8.16Y. Ibrahim
Amr El Gazar7.826A. El Gazar
Ahmed Koka6.736A. Koka
Ali Mahmoud6.621A. Mahmoud
Marwan Attia6.813M. Attia
Taher Mohamed6.67T. Mohamed
Zizo7.025Zizo
A. Bencharki7.217A. Bencharki
S. Benjdida6.49S. Benjdida
Ahmed Mayhoub5.928A. Mayhoub
Hesham Hafez6.52H. Hafez
Mohamed Ragab6.724M. Ragab
Ahmed Abdel Rasoul7.04A. Abdel Rasoul
Mohamed Desouki7.03M. Desouki
S. Attidjikou6.215S. Attidjikou
Mohamed Farouk6.411M. Farouk
Khaled El Ghandour6.910K. El Ghandour
Amr El Sisi6.07A. El Sisi
Samir Fekri6.38S. Fekri
Fady Farid6.123F. Farid

Al Ahly Substitutes

8Ahmed Hashem90+2'for S. Benjdida
10M. Bakrar67'for Ali Mahmoud7.2
27A. Abdallah86'for Zizo Sayed6.5
5Hady Reyad
14Hussein El Shahat
1Mohamed El Shenawy
28Karim Fouad
2Yassin Marei
19Mohamed Magdi Kafsha67'for Taher Mohamed6.8

Smouha SC Substitutes

9Marwan Hamdi
30Ali Gamal81'for Hesham Hafez6.6
19Mohamed Adel61'for Attidjikou Samadou6.5
17Ahmed El Nadry73'for Amr El Sisi6.3
21K. Mohamed61'for Mohamed Farouk6.4
66K. Mohamed
6Abdel Rahman Amer
1Hussein Taimour
45E. Nweke73'for Mohamed Desouki6.8

Match Stats

Al AhlySmouha SC
66%Ball Possession34%
9Corner Kicks1
2Yellow Cards3
21Total Shots0
4Shots on Goal0
7Shots off Goal0
9Shots Inside Box0
12Shots Outside Box0
10Blocked Shots0
13Fouls13
1Offsides0
0Goalkeeper Saves3
558Total Passes284
481Passes Accurate207
86%Pass Accuracy73%

Team Comparison

Al AhlyAl Ahly
Smouha SCSmouha SC
1772Elo Rating 1457
2.38Attack 0.96
2.25Defense 2.53
81%Hit Rate 69%
14.2Shots per Game 10.3
5.0Shots on Target 3.1
5.6Corners per Game 3.8
0.8Cards per Game 2.3

AI Insights

🏠Strong Home Advantage+315 Elo
📊Home Overperforming

Game State Tendencies

Al AhlyAl Ahly
  • Leads at half-time in 80% of matches
  • Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 100% of the time
Smouha SCSmouha SC
  • Tied at half-time in 80% of matches
  • Scores more in 2nd half (0.7 vs 0.2 in first half)
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late

Head to Head

Last 10 meetings, all competitions

Al AhlyAl Ahly6Wins · 60%
Draws220%
Smouha SCSmouha SC2Wins · 20%
2.1Avg Goals
30%Both teams scored3 of 10
40%3+ goals4 of 10

Previous meetings

Premier League11/04/2026
Al AhlySmouha SC
21
Premier League23/02/2026
Smouha SCAl Ahly
01
Premier League07/01/2025
Al AhlySmouha SC
20
Premier League08/08/2024
Smouha SCAl Ahly
01
Premier League28/11/2023
Al AhlySmouha SC
00
Premier League17/04/2023
Smouha SCAl Ahly
02
Cup17/01/2023
Al AhlySmouha SC
31
Premier League25/12/2022
Al AhlySmouha SC
00
Premier League29/06/2022
Smouha SCAl Ahly
32
League Cup27/01/2022
Smouha SCAl Ahly
30

Recent Form

Al AhlyAl Ahly
6W1D3L
28/08/2026
MasrAl Ahly
02
W
23/08/2026
Al AhlyEnppi
32
W
19/08/2026
BarcelonaAl Ahly
21
L
20/05/2026
AL MasryAl Ahly
02
W
05/05/2026
Al AhlyEnppi
30
W
01/05/2026
Zamalek SCAl Ahly
03
W
27/04/2026
Pyramids FCAl Ahly
30
L
11/04/2026
Al AhlySmouha SC
21
W
07/04/2026
Ceramica CleopatraAl Ahly
11
D
21/03/2026
Al AhlyES Tunis
23
L
Smouha SCSmouha SC
2W1D7L
26/08/2026
Smouha SCAsyut Petrol
00
D
22/08/2026
AL MasrySmouha SC
10
L
20/05/2026
Pyramids FCSmouha SC
21
L
05/05/2026
Smouha SCZamalek SC
01
L
27/04/2026
Smouha SCAL Masry
01
L
22/04/2026
Smouha SCCeramica Cleopatra
02
L
11/04/2026
Al AhlySmouha SC
21
L
07/04/2026
Smouha SCEnppi
02
L
07/03/2026
Smouha SCFuture FC
30
W
01/03/2026
National Bank of EgyptSmouha SC
13
W

League Table

Premier League 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1Pyramids FCPyramids FC880019:4+1524WWWWW
2Al AhlyAl Ahly862015:6+920WDWWD
3Zamalek SCZamalek SC861111:4+719WWLWW
4Ceramica CleopatraCeramica Cleopatra860215:8+718WWLWW
5Al IttihadAl Ittihad84229:6+314DLWWW
6Future FCFuture FC841312:10+213LLWWW
7El MokawloonEl Mokawloon832311:8+311LWDWD
8National Bank of EgyptNational Bank of Egypt83239:9011DDWLW
9Smouha SCSmouha SC83235:5011DWWWL
10MasrMasr83239:10-111LWDWL
11PetrojetPetrojet823311:13-29DLDWW
12AL MasryAL Masry82338:10-29DDDLL
13Olympic El QanahOlympic El Qanah815210:12-28LDDLD
14El GeishEl Geish82246:12-68DLLLD
15Wadi DeglaWadi Degla81438:10-27LDDLL
16EnppiEnppi821511:16-57WLLLW
17Ghazl El MehallaGhazl El Mehalla82154:11-77WWLLL
18Asyut PetrolAsyut Petrol81344:8-46DLWLL
19Abu Qair SemadAbu Qair Semad81163:12-94LDLLL
20El Gouna FCEl Gouna FC80355:11-63DLLLL
#TeamMPGPts
1Pyramids FCPyramids FC819:424
2Al AhlyAl Ahly815:620
3Zamalek SCZamalek SC811:419
4Ceramica CleopatraCeramica Cleopatra815:818
5Al IttihadAl Ittihad89:614
6Future FCFuture FC812:1013
7El MokawloonEl Mokawloon811:811
8National Bank of EgyptNational Bank of Egypt89:911
9Smouha SCSmouha SC85:511
10MasrMasr89:1011
11PetrojetPetrojet811:139
12AL MasryAL Masry88:109
13Olympic El QanahOlympic El Qanah810:128
14El GeishEl Geish86:128
15Wadi DeglaWadi Degla88:107
16EnppiEnppi811:167
17Ghazl El MehallaGhazl El Mehalla84:117
18Asyut PetrolAsyut Petrol84:86
19Abu Qair SemadAbu Qair Semad83:124
20El Gouna FCEl Gouna FC85:113
PromotionRelegation

About the Al Ahly vs Smouha SC forecast

The forecasts for this Premier League match are built from team Elo ratings, recent form, scoring data and the head-to-head record, and are updated as new data arrives before kickoff.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

Al Ahly and Smouha SC in the Premier League table

In the Premier League table, Al Ahly are 2nd and Smouha SC 9th, 9 points apart. League goal record so far: Al Ahly 15-6, Smouha SC 5-5. The full standings are on the Premier League Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

Al Ahly have led at half-time in 80% of their recent matches. This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.