Al-Ittihad FC vs Al-Nassr Prediction

Al-Ittihad FC
2-1
Finished
HT 2-1
Al-Nassr
King Abdullah Sports City, Jeddah 05/09/2026

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
5.7 / 10
Value Analysis
57%Trust
Away Corners
Away Corners Under 5.5
1.91
SignalNEUTRALModel41%SurpriseMediumGap+8.8%
Al-Ittihad FC Rest
7 days
Al-Nassr Rest
8 days

Al-Ittihad FC vs Al-Nassr: the result in context

Al-Ittihad FC beat Al-Nassr 2-1 in the Pro League on 5 Sep 2026. That went against recent form: Al-Nassr had won 5 of their previous five, compared with 3 for Al-Ittihad FC.

When these two meet, goals usually follow: 3.6 a game across 10 meetings, with both teams scoring in 7.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
23%5.00
X
33%4.60
2
44%1.50
Double Chance
1X
56%2.40
X2
77%1.15
Both Teams to Score
Yes
60%1.44
No
40%2.50
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.25 + 1.67 = 2.92
Over 1.5
83%1.10
Over 2.5
60%1.37
Over 3.5
35%1.96
Under 1.5
17%6.33
Under 2.5
40%2.95
Under 3.5
65%1.80
Corners
Projected Corners: 3.6 + 5.5 = 9.1
Over 8.5
57%1.45
Over 9.5
45%1.82
Over 10.5
33%2.21
Under 8.5
43%2.46
Under 9.5
55%1.88
Under 10.5
67%1.54
Cards
Projected Cards: 2.1 + 1.7 = 3.8
Over 3.5
52%1.47
Over 4.5
33%2.01
Under 3.5
48%2.35
Under 4.5
67%1.72

Match Events

4'George Ilenikhena
22'George IlenikhenaAssist: Houssem Aouar
36'Angelo Borges
45'Mukhtar Ali INRichard Ríos Montoya out
53'Ahmed Al Julaydan INMuhannad Al-Shanqeeti out
53'Dion LopyFoul
55'Samu CostaDissent
60'Kingsley Coman INAyman Yahya out
60'Salem Al-Najdi INSaad Fahad Al Nasser out
67'Ahmed Al-Ghamdi INMarwan Al-Sahafi out
67'George Ilenikhena INYoussef En-Nesyri out
69'Joao FelixFoul
78'Angelo Borges INAbdullah Al-Hamdan out
78'Samu Costa INAbdullah Al-Khaibari out
79'Abdullah Al-KhaibariFoul
82'Steven Bergwijn INRakan Al-Kaabi out
90+1'Abdulelah Al-AmriDissent
90+2'Youssef En-NesyriTime wasting

Lineups

Al-Ittihad FC
4-2-3-1Coach: Jens Wissing
Al-Nassr
4-4-1-1Coach: A. Postecoglou
Avg rating6.85
Avg rating6.44
P. Rajković8.31P. Rajković
Ahmed Al Julaydan6.532A. Al Julaydan
Danilo Pereira7.32D. Pereira
Hassan Kadesh6.415H. Kadesh
F. Abdi6.825F. Abdi
D. Lopy7.230D. Lopy
Mukhtar Ali6.48M. Ali
Ahmed Al Ghamdi6.327A. Al Ghamdi
H. Aouar7.010H. Aouar
S. Bergwijn6.734S. Bergwijn
G. Ilenikhena9.19G. Ilenikhena
Nawaf Al Aqidi6.21N. Al Aqidi
Nawaf Boushal6.512N. Boushal
M. Simakan6.63M. Simakan
Abdulelah Al Amri5.95A. Al Amri
Salem Al Najdi6.083S. Al Najdi
K. Coman6.621K. Coman
Samú Costa6.211S. Costa
Ângelo8.220Ângelo
S. Mané6.410S. Mané
João Félix6.579J. Félix
Cristiano Ronaldo7.07C. Ronaldo

Al-Ittihad FC Substitutes

50Mohammed Al Absi
22Marwan Al Sahafi67'for Ahmed Al-Ghamdi6.6
13Muhannad Al Shanqiti53'for Ahmed Al Julaydan6.2
11Saleh Al Shehri
66Mohammed Barnawi
21Y. En-Nesyri67'for George Ilenikhena90+2'6.1
42Muath Faqeehi
60Rakan Kaabi82'for Steven Bergwijn6.2
5R. Rios45'for Mukhtar Ali6.5

Al-Nassr Substitutes

60Saad Haqawi
24Bento
70Awad Aman
4Nader Al Sharari
6Saad Al Nasser60'for Salem Al-Najdi6.1
14Sami Al Naji
17Abdullah Al Khaibari78'for Samu Costa79'5.8
9Abdullah Al Hamdan78'for Angelo Borges6.3
23Ayman Yahya60'for Kingsley Coman6.3

Match Stats

Al-Ittihad FCAl-Nassr
46%Ball Possession54%
3Corner Kicks14
2Yellow Cards4
15Total Shots16
3Shots on Goal8
9Shots off Goal3
8Shots Inside Box12
7Shots Outside Box4
3Blocked Shots5
8Fouls14
2Offsides2
7Goalkeeper Saves1
376Total Passes419
298Passes Accurate361
79%Pass Accuracy86%

Team Comparison

Al-Ittihad FCAl-Ittihad FC
Al-NassrAl-Nassr
1735Elo Rating 1867
2.12Attack 2.12
1.74Defense 1.97
50%Hit Rate 86%
17.9Shots per Game 14.6
6.9Shots on Target 4.5
6.3Corners per Game 6.3
2.0Cards per Game 1.2

AI Insights

⚽High Goal Expectancy2.92 goals
📈BTTS Trend70% in H2H
🔥Derby Match
📊Away Overperforming

Game State Tendencies

Al-Ittihad FCAl-Ittihad FC
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
  • Scores more in 2nd half (1.5 vs 0.7 in first half)
  • Concedes more in 1st half - tightens up after the break
Al-NassrAl-Nassr
  • Leads at half-time in 60% of matches
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late

Head to Head

Last 10 meetings, all competitions

Al-Ittihad FCAl-Ittihad FC5Wins · 50%
Draws00%
Al-NassrAl-Nassr5Wins · 50%
3.6Avg Goals
70%Both teams scored7 of 10
70%3+ goals7 of 10

Previous meetings

Pro League06/02/2026
Al-NassrAl-Ittihad FC
20
King's Cup28/10/2025
Al-NassrAl-Ittihad FC
12
Pro League26/09/2025
Al-Ittihad FCAl-Nassr
02
Super Cup19/08/2025
Al-NassrAl-Ittihad FC
21
Pro League07/05/2025
Al-NassrAl-Ittihad FC
23
Pro League06/12/2024
Al-Ittihad FCAl-Nassr
21
Pro League27/05/2024
Al-NassrAl-Ittihad FC
42
Pro League26/12/2023
Al-Ittihad FCAl-Nassr
25
Pro League09/03/2023
Al-Ittihad FCAl-Nassr
10
Super Cup26/01/2023
Al-Ittihad FCAl-Nassr
31

Recent Form

Al-Ittihad FCAl-Ittihad FC
6W3D1L
29/08/2026
Al-FatehAl-Ittihad FC
00
D
24/08/2026
Al-Ittihad FCAl-Hazm
32
W
21/08/2026
Al-Qadisiyah FCAl-Ittihad FC
01
W
18/08/2026
Al NajmaAl-Ittihad FC
03
W
15/08/2026
Al-Ittihad FCAl Kholood
11
D
11/08/2026
Al-JaziraAl-Ittihad FC
14
W
30/07/2026
MalagaAl-Ittihad FC
22
D
30/07/2026
MallorcaAl-Ittihad FC
42
L
25/07/2026
Las PalmasAl-Ittihad FC
12
W
21/07/2026
Orlando PiratesAl-Ittihad FC
23
W
Al-NassrAl-Nassr
7W0D3L
28/08/2026
Al-NassrAl Taawon
21
W
25/08/2026
Al-EttifaqAl-Nassr
23
W
21/08/2026
Al RiyadhAl-Nassr
04
W
18/08/2026
Al DiriyahAl-Nassr
14
W
15/08/2026
Al-NassrAl-Fateh
30
W
04/08/2026
Al-NassrAlmeria
02
L
01/08/2026
EstrelaAl-Nassr
42
L
28/07/2026
Mérida ADAl-Nassr
02
W
21/05/2026
Al-NassrDamac
41
W
16/05/2026
Al-NassrGamba Osaka
01
L

League Table

Pro League 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1Al-Hilal Saudi FCAl-Hilal Saudi FC1090130:9+2127WWWWL
2Al-NassrAl-Nassr1081123:8+1525WWWDW
3Al-Qadisiyah FCAl-Qadisiyah FC1181226:12+1425LWWWD
4Al-Ittihad FCAl-Ittihad FC1072120:10+1023WWLWW
5Al-Ahli JeddahAl-Ahli Jeddah1070327:13+1421WWWWL
6NEOMNEOM1161416:9+719WLLDW
7Al-EttifaqAl-Ettifaq1153317:16+118WLWDD
8Al DiriyahAl Diriyah114349:11-215LWDLD
9Al KholoodAl Kholood1033414:21-712LLLLW
10Al Khaleej SaihatAl Khaleej Saihat1126310:17-712LWWDD
11Al RiyadhAl Riyadh1033411:19-812WLDWD
12Al ShababAl Shabab1025314:14011WDWDL
13Al-HazmAl-Hazm1124512:16-410DLLDL
14Al-Faisaly FCAl-Faisaly FC1124512:20-810WLDWL
15Al-FayhaAl-Fayha1115512:19-78DLLDD
16Al-FatehAl-Fateh1113710:23-136LLWLL
17Al TaawonAl Taawon110475:19-144LLDLL
18AbhaAbha100286:18-122LLLDL
#TeamMPGPts
1Al-Hilal Saudi FCAl-Hilal Saudi FC1030:927
2Al-NassrAl-Nassr1023:825
3Al-Qadisiyah FCAl-Qadisiyah FC1126:1225
4Al-Ittihad FCAl-Ittihad FC1020:1023
5Al-Ahli JeddahAl-Ahli Jeddah1027:1321
6NEOMNEOM1116:919
7Al-EttifaqAl-Ettifaq1117:1618
8Al DiriyahAl Diriyah119:1115
9Al KholoodAl Kholood1014:2112
10Al Khaleej SaihatAl Khaleej Saihat1110:1712
11Al RiyadhAl Riyadh1011:1912
12Al ShababAl Shabab1014:1411
13Al-HazmAl-Hazm1112:1610
14Al-Faisaly FCAl-Faisaly FC1112:2010
15Al-FayhaAl-Fayha1112:198
16Al-FatehAl-Fateh1110:236
17Al TaawonAl Taawon115:194
18AbhaAbha106:182
Champions LeagueRelegation

About the Al-Ittihad FC vs Al-Nassr forecast

As a derby, this Pro League meeting carries extra weight; the forecasts take that context into account alongside team ratings, recent form and the head-to-head record.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

Al-Ittihad FC and Al-Nassr in the Pro League table

This is a meeting of two top-four sides: Al-Nassr are 2nd in the Pro League, 2 points ahead of Al-Ittihad FC in 4th. League goal record so far: Al-Ittihad FC 20-10, Al-Nassr 23-8. The full standings are on the Pro League Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

Al-Nassr have led at half-time in 60% of their recent matches. This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.