Alcione vs Desenzano Calvina Prediction

Alcione
4-1
Finished
HT 3-0
Desenzano Calvina
Stadio Ernesto Breda, Sesto San Giovanni·M. Costa 18/10/2026

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Partial
Match Importance
3.2 / 10
AI Best Pick
66%Trust
Double Chance
Home Win or Draw
1.36
SignalSOLIDModel38%SurpriseHighGap-7.3%
Alcione Rest
7 days
Desenzano Calvina Rest
8 days

Alcione vs Desenzano Calvina: the result in context

Alcione beat Desenzano Calvina 4-1 in the Serie C - Girone A on 18 Oct 2026. That went against recent form: Desenzano Calvina had won 2 of their previous five, compared with none for Alcione.

Their history points to a close game: 3 previous meetings produced 2.0 goals a game.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
36%2.36
X
30%3.00
2
34%2.88
Double Chance
1X
66%1.36
X2
64%1.50
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%1.79
No
49%1.88
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.09 + 1.32 = 2.41
Over 1.5
70%1.32
Over 2.5
46%2.10
Over 3.5
26%3.60
Under 1.5
30%2.99
Under 2.5
54%1.67
Under 3.5
74%1.22
Corners

Corner forecasts not available for this match

Cards

Card forecasts not available for this match

Match Events

2'A. Rolfini
17'F. PirolaAssist: J. Pitou
35'E. Lopes INE. Sadotti out
42'A. Rolfini
46'F. Liberati INL. Ubaldi out
59'A. Procaccio
61'R. Rebaudo
65'A. Rolfini
68'F. Morselli
73'M. Moscati
74'J. Pitou
74'N. Trapani INA. Braida out
74'A. Rolfini INL. Zini out
75'M. Parlato INS. Tomaselli out
78'A. Pilati INP. Reggiori out
78'L. Giorgi INL. Baldi out

Team Comparison

AlcioneAlcione
Desenzano CalvinaDesenzano Calvina
1491Elo Rating 1565
1.85Attack 1.31
1.56Defense 1.62
23%Hit Rate 58%

AI Insights

📈BTTS Trend67% in H2H

Game State Tendencies

AlcioneAlcione
  • Tied at half-time in 60% of matches
  • Starts fast - scores more in 1st half (1.3 vs 0.5 in second half)
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late
Desenzano CalvinaDesenzano Calvina
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
  • Scores more in 2nd half (1 vs 0.3 in first half)
  • Concedes more in 1st half - tightens up after the break

Head to Head

Last 3 meetings, all competitions

AlcioneAlcione2Wins · 67%
Draws133%
Desenzano CalvinaDesenzano Calvina0Wins · 0%
2.0Avg Goals
67%Both teams scored2 of 3
33%3+ goals1 of 3

Previous meetings

Serie D - Promotion - Play-offs14/05/2023
AlcioneDesenzano Calvina
21
Serie D - Girone B06/04/2023
Desenzano CalvinaAlcione
11
Serie D - Girone B27/11/2022
AlcioneDesenzano Calvina
10

Recent Form

AlcioneAlcione
2W6D2L
11/10/2026
LeccoAlcione
11
D
04/10/2026
AlcioneTrento
22
D
27/09/2026
AlbinoleffeAlcione
11
D
20/09/2026
AlcioneUnion Brescia
04
L
17/09/2026
PRO VercelliAlcione
22
D
13/09/2026
Folgore CarateseAlcione
23
W
07/09/2026
AlcioneTreviso
11
D
30/08/2026
Dolomiti BellunesiAlcione
00
D
21/08/2026
AlcioneRenate
31
W
16/08/2026
AlcioneNovara
01
L
Desenzano CalvinaDesenzano Calvina
4W4D2L
10/10/2026
Desenzano CalvinaDolomiti Bellunesi
20
W
03/10/2026
Folgore CarateseDesenzano Calvina
12
W
26/09/2026
Desenzano CalvinaJuventus U23
00
D
21/09/2026
TrevisoDesenzano Calvina
00
D
17/09/2026
Desenzano CalvinaLecco
13
L
13/09/2026
Arzignano ValchiampoDesenzano Calvina
12
W
06/09/2026
Union BresciaDesenzano Calvina
10
L
03/09/2026
TrentoDesenzano Calvina
01
W
31/08/2026
Desenzano CalvinaTrento
00
D
23/08/2026
PRO VercelliDesenzano Calvina
11
D

League Table

Serie C - Girone A 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1CittadellaCittadella12100219:6+1330WLWWL
2Union BresciaUnion Brescia1274123:9+1425WWLWD
3TrentoTrento1266017:6+1124DWWWD
4Arzignano ValchiampoArzignano Valchiampo1263317:12+521DWLWD
5OspitalettoOspitaletto1254318:11+719DLLWD
6TrevisoTreviso1254312:9+319LWWLD
7AlcioneAlcione1246221:18+318WLWDD
8LeccoLecco1245318:11+717WDWDD
9AlbinoleffeAlbinoleffe1245319:17+217WDDLW
10PergolettesePergolettese1245312:12017LWWWD
11LumezzaneLumezzane1234513:17-413DLLDW
12Desenzano CalvinaDesenzano Calvina1234510:14-413LLLWW
13NovaraNovara1234511:16-513WLDLW
14PRO VercelliPRO Vercelli1234511:20-913DWLLW
15Athletic CarpiAthletic Carpi1233616:26-1012LWWLL
16Giana ErminioGiana Erminio1225513:17-411LWWDD
17Juventus U23Juventus U231225512:19-711DLWDL
18Dolomiti BellunesiDolomiti Bellunesi122468:18-1010LLLLL
19RenateRenate1215614:16-28WDLDD
20Folgore CarateseFolgore Caratese1214711:21-107LDLLL
#TeamMPGPts
1CittadellaCittadella1219:630
2Union BresciaUnion Brescia1223:925
3TrentoTrento1217:624
4Arzignano ValchiampoArzignano Valchiampo1217:1221
5OspitalettoOspitaletto1218:1119
6TrevisoTreviso1212:919
7AlcioneAlcione1221:1818
8LeccoLecco1218:1117
9AlbinoleffeAlbinoleffe1219:1717
10PergolettesePergolettese1212:1217
11LumezzaneLumezzane1213:1713
12Desenzano CalvinaDesenzano Calvina1210:1413
13NovaraNovara1211:1613
14PRO VercelliPRO Vercelli1211:2013
15Athletic CarpiAthletic Carpi1216:2612
16Giana ErminioGiana Erminio1213:1711
17Juventus U23Juventus U231212:1911
18Dolomiti BellunesiDolomiti Bellunesi128:1810
19RenateRenate1214:168
20Folgore CarateseFolgore Caratese1211:217
PromotionRelegation

About the Alcione vs Desenzano Calvina forecast

The forecasts for this Serie C - Girone A match are built from team Elo ratings, recent form, scoring data and the head-to-head record, and are updated as new data arrives before kickoff.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

Alcione and Desenzano Calvina in the Serie C - Girone A table

In the Serie C - Girone A table, Alcione are 7th and Desenzano Calvina 12th, 5 points apart. League goal record so far: Alcione 21-18, Desenzano Calvina 10-14. The full standings are on the Serie C - Girone A Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

Some underlying data for this fixture is limited, which the model accounts for with a lower confidence rating.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.