Alianza vs Platense Prediction

Alianza
2-1
Finished
HT 1-1
Platense
01/10/2026
AlianzaAlianza
2-1
Finished
PlatensePlatense

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Partial
Match Importance
4.0 / 10
AI Best Pick
80%Trust
Double Chance
Home Win or Draw
1.17
SignalHIGHModel60%SurpriseHighGap-5.9%
Alianza Rest
3 days
Platense Rest
3 days

Alianza vs Platense: the result in context

Alianza beat Platense 2-1 in the Primera Division on 1 Oct 2026. The two went into the match with similar recent form.

Alianza have had the better of this fixture, winning 6 of the 10 previous meetings, which averaged 2.5 goals a game.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
56%1.62
X
24%3.60
2
20%4.65
Double Chance
1X
80%1.17
X2
44%2.09
Both Teams to Score

Both teams to score forecasts not available for this match

Goals

Goal forecasts not available for this match

Corners

Corner forecasts not available for this match

Cards

Card forecasts not available for this match

Match Events

7'J. Barreto
32'C. Bogota
90+8'W. Parra

Team Comparison

AlianzaAlianza
PlatensePlatense
1565Elo Rating 1513
0.71Attack 2.21
2.33Defense 1.63
23%Hit Rate 59%

Game State Tendencies

AlianzaAlianza
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
  • Starts fast - scores more in 1st half (0.6 vs 0.1 in second half)
PlatensePlatense
  • Leads at half-time in 60% of matches
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
  • Starts fast - scores more in 1st half (1.4 vs 0.8 in second half)

Head to Head

Last 10 meetings, all competitions

AlianzaAlianza6Wins · 60%
Draws330%
PlatensePlatense1Wins · 10%
2.5Avg Goals
40%Both teams scored4 of 10
30%3+ goals3 of 10

Previous meetings

Primera Division26/08/2026
PlatenseAlianza
22
Primera Division29/03/2026
AlianzaPlatense
33
Primera Division01/02/2026
PlatenseAlianza
02
Primera Division06/10/2025
AlianzaPlatense
21
Primera Division03/08/2025
PlatenseAlianza
11
Primera Division27/03/2025
AlianzaPlatense
10
Primera Division30/01/2025
PlatenseAlianza
10
Primera Division30/11/2024
AlianzaPlatense
20
Primera Division22/09/2024
PlatenseAlianza
02
Primera Division21/04/2024
PlatenseAlianza
02

Recent Form

AlianzaAlianza
3W5D2L
27/09/2026
AlianzaInca Aruba
11
D
24/09/2026
AlianzaFuerte San Francisco
22
D
20/09/2026
AlianzaMunicipal Limeño
32
W
17/09/2026
AlianzaCD Motagua
00
D
10/09/2026
CD MotaguaAlianza
30
L
06/09/2026
ÁguilaAlianza
22
D
30/08/2026
AlianzaAtletico Balboa
20
W
26/08/2026
PlatenseAlianza
22
D
23/08/2026
Isidro MetapánAlianza
20
L
20/08/2026
CD MarathonAlianza
01
W
PlatensePlatense
3W2D5L
27/09/2026
PlatenseFuerte San Francisco
00
D
20/09/2026
PlatenseÁguila
01
L
12/09/2026
Atletico BalboaPlatense
31
L
09/09/2026
PlatenseIsidro Metapán
12
L
05/09/2026
CacahuatiquePlatense
12
W
29/08/2026
PlatenseInter
03
L
26/08/2026
PlatenseAlianza
22
D
24/08/2026
FirpoPlatense
10
L
17/08/2026
PlatenseFAS
21
W
08/08/2026
PlatenseInca Aruba
20
W

League Table

Primera Division 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1FirpoFirpo1695229:12+1732DWWDW
2FASFAS1794428:18+1031LDLWW
3Isidro MetapánIsidro Metapán1894524:19+531DLDWL
4ÁguilaÁguila1776430:21+927WDWWW
5InterInter1869324:16+827DWLDD
6PlatensePlatense1876525:20+527DDWWW
7AlianzaAlianza1658323:21+223WDDLD
8Municipal LimeñoMunicipal Limeño1864827:27022DDWLL
9CacahuatiqueCacahuatique1837819:29-1016WDDLL
10Inca ArubaInca Aruba18441013:32-1916LLLLD
11Atletico BalboaAtletico Balboa1735916:28-1214WDLLL
12Fuerte San FranciscoFuerte San Francisco1726914:29-1512LLWDL
#TeamMPGPts
1FirpoFirpo1629:1232
2FASFAS1728:1831
3Isidro MetapánIsidro Metapán1824:1931
4ÁguilaÁguila1730:2127
5InterInter1824:1627
6PlatensePlatense1825:2027
7AlianzaAlianza1623:2123
8Municipal LimeñoMunicipal Limeño1827:2722
9CacahuatiqueCacahuatique1819:2916
10Inca ArubaInca Aruba1813:3216
11Atletico BalboaAtletico Balboa1716:2814
12Fuerte San FranciscoFuerte San Francisco1714:2912
Promotion

About the Alianza vs Platense forecast

The forecasts for this Primera Division match are built from team Elo ratings, recent form, scoring data and the head-to-head record, and are updated as new data arrives before kickoff.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

Alianza and Platense in the Primera Division table

Platense and Alianza are close in the Primera Division table, 6th and 7th, with 4 points between them. League goal record so far: Alianza 23-21, Platense 25-20. The full standings are on the Primera Division Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

Platense have led at half-time in 60% of their recent matches. Some underlying data for this fixture is limited, which the model accounts for with a lower confidence rating.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.