Amiens vs Thionville Lusitanos Prediction

Stade de la Licorne, Amiens 29/10/2026

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Partial
Match Importance
3.2 / 10
AI Best Pick
59%Trust
1X2
Home Win
1.57
SignalNEUTRALModel61%SurpriseMediumGap-4.3%
Amiens Rest
12 days
Thionville Lusitanos Rest
12 days

Amiens vs Thionville Lusitanos: the result in context

Amiens and Thionville Lusitanos drew 1-1 in the Ligue 3 on 29 Oct 2026. Amiens had gone in with the better form, having won 2 of their previous five against none for Thionville Lusitanos.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
58%1.57
X
24%3.77
2
18%4.95
Double Chance
1X
82%1.12
X2
42%2.14
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%1.81
No
49%1.85
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.5 + 0.99 = 2.49
Over 1.5
73%1.25
Over 2.5
50%1.82
Over 3.5
30%2.94
Under 1.5
27%3.58
Under 2.5
50%1.92
Under 3.5
70%1.33
Corners

Corner forecasts not available for this match

Cards

Card forecasts not available for this match

Match Events

10'L. Diakite
35'K. BouhmidiAssist: S. Kalambayi Mukuta
46'E. Somon INY. Rafii out
48'Y. RafiiAssist: A. Chabane
62'A. Giacomini INC. Suljic out
62'L. Diakite INI. Ramla out
62'S. Kalambayi Mukuta INA. Gouletquer out
69'R. Boissier INE. Julien out
79'K. Bouhmidi
80'K. Bouhmidi INK. Tubio out
84'N. Herisse ING. Foll out
87'Y. Rafii
89'E. Montet INM. Rampont out
90+1'A. Julloux
90+7'

Team Comparison

AmiensAmiens
Thionville LusitanosThionville Lusitanos
1564Elo Rating 1521
1.53Attack 0.81
2.34Defense 1.61
34%Hit Rate 0%

Game State Tendencies

AmiensAmiens
  • Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 100% of the time
  • Scores more in 2nd half (1.2 vs 0.4 in first half)
Thionville LusitanosThionville Lusitanos
  • Tied at half-time in 60% of matches
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late

Recent Form

AmiensAmiens
4W4D2L
17/10/2026
ValenciennesAmiens
11
D
03/10/2026
AmiensVillefranche
30
W
26/09/2026
QuevillyAmiens
11
D
19/09/2026
AmiensOrleans
20
W
10/09/2026
CannesAmiens
00
D
05/09/2026
BastiaAmiens
03
W
29/08/2026
AmiensVersailles
30
W
20/08/2026
Le Puy FootAmiens
10
L
14/08/2026
AmiensLa Roche VF
01
L
07/08/2026
Fleury 91Amiens
00
D
Thionville LusitanosThionville Lusitanos
3W3D4L
17/10/2026
Thionville LusitanosVersailles
12
L
03/10/2026
Le Puy FootThionville Lusitanos
10
L
26/09/2026
Thionville LusitanosLa Roche VF
12
L
19/09/2026
Fleury 91Thionville Lusitanos
11
D
12/09/2026
Thionville LusitanosRouen
04
L
05/09/2026
ConcarneauThionville Lusitanos
22
D
29/08/2026
Thionville LusitanosGobelins
11
D
20/08/2026
Bourg-en-bresse 01Thionville Lusitanos
02
W
14/08/2026
Thionville LusitanosCaen
43
W
07/08/2026
AubagneThionville Lusitanos
03
W

League Table

Ligue 3 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1La Roche VFLa Roche VF1173118:10+824WLWWW
2RouenRouen1172220:9+1123WLWLW
3VersaillesVersailles1171319:13+622WWWWD
4CaenCaen1161421:15+619DWLWL
5CannesCannes1146114:7+718WLWDD
6Le Puy FootLe Puy Foot1152414:11+317DWWLW
7ConcarneauConcarneau1145214:11+317LDWDW
8AmiensAmiens1145214:5+917DDWDW
9Fleury 91Fleury 911144317:13+416DWWLD
10GobelinsGobelins1144311:11016DWLWD
11BastiaBastia1143410:12-215WDDLD
12Thionville LusitanosThionville Lusitanos1134416:17-113DLLLD
13QuevillyQuevilly1134411:16-513LWLDD
14OrleansOrleans1124510:15-510DLDDL
15ValenciennesValenciennes1123611:17-69LDLWL
16VillefrancheVillefranche1122710:24-148DWLLL
17AubagneAubagne112186:17-117LLLWL
18Bourg-en-bresse 01Bourg-en-bresse 01111285:18-135LLLDD
#TeamMPGPts
1La Roche VFLa Roche VF1118:1024
2RouenRouen1120:923
3VersaillesVersailles1119:1322
4CaenCaen1121:1519
5CannesCannes1114:718
6Le Puy FootLe Puy Foot1114:1117
7ConcarneauConcarneau1114:1117
8AmiensAmiens1114:517
9Fleury 91Fleury 911117:1316
10GobelinsGobelins1111:1116
11BastiaBastia1110:1215
12Thionville LusitanosThionville Lusitanos1116:1713
13QuevillyQuevilly1111:1613
14OrleansOrleans1110:1510
15ValenciennesValenciennes1111:179
16VillefrancheVillefranche1110:248
17AubagneAubagne116:177
18Bourg-en-bresse 01Bourg-en-bresse 01115:185
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About the Amiens vs Thionville Lusitanos forecast

The forecasts for this Ligue 3 match are built from team Elo ratings, recent form, scoring data and the head-to-head record, and are updated as new data arrives before kickoff.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

Amiens and Thionville Lusitanos in the Ligue 3 table

In the Ligue 3 table, Amiens are 8th and Thionville Lusitanos 12th, 4 points apart. League goal record so far: Amiens 14-5, Thionville Lusitanos 16-17. The full standings are on the Ligue 3 Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

Amiens and Thionville Lusitanos have little recent head-to-head history for the model to draw on. Some underlying data for this fixture is limited, which the model accounts for with a lower confidence rating.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.