Anderlecht vs PAOK Prediction
World · Qualifying Round 3
AI Best Pick
Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.
Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
5.4 / 10
AI Best Pick
69%Trust
Double Chance
Home Win or Draw
1.59
SignalSOLIDModel57%SurpriseMediumGap+6.6%
Value Analysis
50%Trust
BTTS
Both Teams NOT to Score
2.05
SignalNEUTRALModel56%SurpriseMediumGap+4.9%
Anderlecht Rest
4 days
PAOK Rest
7 days
Anderlecht vs PAOK: the result in context
Anderlecht beat PAOK 3-2 in the UEFA Europa League on 13 Aug 2026. The two went into the match with similar recent form.
Match Forecasts
Match Result
151%2.90
X22%3.35
227%2.29
Double Chance
1X73%1.59
X249%1.36
Both Teams to Score
Yes50%1.67
No50%2.05
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.83 + 1.03 = 2.86
Over 1.576%1.26
Over 2.553%1.90
Over 3.530%3.20
Under 1.524%3.50
Under 2.547%1.90
Under 3.570%1.33
Corners
Projected Corners: 5.5 + 3.9 = 9.4
Over 8.545%1.58
Over 9.536%1.97
Over 10.530%2.50
Under 8.555%2.20
Under 9.564%1.74
Under 10.570%1.44
Cards
Projected Cards: 2 + 2.7 = 4.7
Over 3.565%1.29
Over 4.551%1.67
Under 3.535%2.90
Under 4.549%2.06
Match Events
19'L. Petrot
34'A. ZivkovicAssist: Taison
43'A. BabaTripping
46'A. Baba IND. Giannoulis out
46'A. Mythou INM. Camara out
47'L. AmbrosAssist: G. Biancone
55'D. SikanAssist: M. Cvetkovic
67'B. Santamaria ING. Taylor out
67'Taison INA. Jeremejeff out
74'Goal Disallowed - offsideC. Coosemans
78'M. N'Diaye INN. Saliba out
78'D. Sikan INT. Degreef out
78'K. Nga INL. Augustinsson out
80'L. AmbrosRoughing
82'C. ZafeirisHolding
84'E. Llansana INJ. Onia Seke out
84'C. Zafeiris INT. Louchet out
88'A. Jeremejeff(Penalty)
89'A. ZivkovicUnsportsmanlike conduct
89'G. BianconeUnsportsmanlike conduct
90+2'M. Cvetkovic INA. Bertaccini out
90+3'A. JeremejeffUnsportsmanlike conduct
90+5'N. SalibaTripping
Team Comparison
Anderlecht
PAOK1740Elo Rating 1702
1.79Attack 1.80
2.18Defense 1.85
58%Hit Rate 77%
13.1Shots per Game 17.0
7.1Shots on Target 4.4
4.4Corners per Game 4.9
2.3Cards per Game 2.5
AI Insights
⚽High Goal Expectancy2.85 goals
📈BTTS Trend
💎Value Analysis Identified
📉Home Underperforming
Game State Tendencies
Anderlecht- Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 50% of the time
- Scores more in 2nd half (1.4 vs 0.4 in first half)
PAOK- Leads at half-time in 60% of matches
- Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
- Starts fast - scores more in 1st half (1.1 vs 0.7 in second half)
- Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late
Head to Head
1 previous meeting, all competitions
Anderlecht1Wins · 100%Draws00%
PAOK0Wins · 0%
0Wins · 0%1.0Avg Goals
0%Both teams scored0 of 1
0%3+ goals0 of 1
Previous meetings
Recent Form
Anderlecht5W3D2L
09/08/2026Anderlecht
RAAL La LouvièrePAOKAnderlechtAnderlecht
Hammarby FFHammarby FFAnderlecht
AnderlechtRAAL La Louvière21
W06/08/2026PAOKAnderlecht01
W30/07/2026AnderlechtHammarby FF31
W23/07/2026Hammarby FFAnderlecht11
D11/07/2026Anderlecht
NEC Nijmegen
AnderlechtNEC Nijmegen32
W04/07/2026Anderlecht
Boulogne
AnderlechtBoulogne00
D24/05/2026
Union St. GilloiseAnderlecht
Union St. GilloiseAnderlecht51
L21/05/2026Anderlecht
St. Truiden
AnderlechtSt. Truiden31
W17/05/2026Anderlecht
KV Mechelen
AnderlechtKV Mechelen22
D14/05/2026Union St. GilloiseAnderlecht
Union St. GilloiseAnderlecht3111
LPAOK5W3D2L
06/08/2026PAOKAnderlecht
PAOKAnderlecht01
L30/07/2026PAOK
Dynamo Kyiv
PAOKDynamo Kyiv20
W23/07/2026Dynamo KyivPAOK
Dynamo KyivPAOK23
W11/07/2026PAOK
Twente
PAOKTwente23
L07/07/2026PAOK
AEK Larnaca
PAOKAEK Larnaca32
W04/07/2026PAOK
KVC Westerlo
PAOKKVC Westerlo40
W01/07/2026PAOK
SK Beveren
PAOKSK Beveren41
W17/05/2026
PanathinaikosPAOK
PanathinaikosPAOK22
D13/05/2026PAOK
AEK Athens FC
PAOKAEK Athens FC11
D10/05/2026
Olympiakos PiraeusPAOK
Olympiakos PiraeusPAOK11
DReferee Profile
4.50Cards per match
4.34Yellow cards per match
0.16Red cards per match
26.3Fouls per match
Compared with other referees
4.50 cards a match, in line with other referees in the same competitions and seasons (4.59).
Cards come from 150 matches with official statistics.
Full referee statsLeague Table
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Benfica | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 10:2 | +8 | 9 | WWW |
| 2 |  Bayer Leverkusen | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 8:0 | +8 | 9 | WWW |
| 3 |  Bournemouth | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 8:1 | +7 | 9 | WWW |
| 4 |  Ferencvarosi TC | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 9:3 | +6 | 9 | WWW |
| 5 | Olympiakos Piraeus | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 4:1 | +3 | 9 | WWW |
| 6 | Union St. Gilloise | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 8:1 | +7 | 7 | WDW |
| 7 |  Juventus | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 9:3 | +6 | 7 | DWW |
| 8 |  Beşiktaş | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 9:5 | +4 | 7 | DWW |
| 9 |  Sunderland | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 4:2 | +2 | 7 | DWW |
| 10 |  AZ Alkmaar | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6:2 | +4 | 6 | WWL |
| 11 |  Omonia Nicosia | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 5:4 | +1 | 6 | LWW |
| 12 |  Lyon | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 5:6 | -1 | 6 | LWW |
| 13 |  Rennes | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 4:3 | +1 | 5 | DWD |
| 14 |  Real Sociedad | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 8:3 | +5 | 4 | WDL |
| 15 |  Crystal Palace | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 8:5 | +3 | 4 | DLW |
| 16 |  Sparta Praha | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 5:3 | +2 | 4 | LDW |
| 17 |  Levski Sofia | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3:3 | 0 | 4 | WDL |
| 18 |  Dinamo Zagreb | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3:4 | -1 | 4 | LWD |
| 19 |  Sturm Graz | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1:3 | -2 | 4 | WLD |
| 20 | NEC Nijmegen | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 5:8 | -3 | 4 | WDL |
| 21 |  Red Bull Salzburg | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3:6 | -3 | 4 | DLW |
| 22 | Anderlecht | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4:3 | +1 | 3 | WLL |
| 23 |  1899 Hoffenheim | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 5:5 | 0 | 3 | WLL |
| 24 |  AC Milan | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4:5 | -1 | 3 | LWL |
| 25 |  Celta Vigo | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3:4 | -1 | 3 | WLL |
| 26 |  OFI | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3:4 | -1 | 3 | LLW |
| 27 |  Jagiellonia | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4:6 | -2 | 3 | LWL |
| 28 |  Torreense | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4:7 | -3 | 3 | LLW |
| 29 |  Celje | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2:7 | -5 | 1 | DLL |
| 30 |  Hapoel Beer Sheva | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1:6 | -5 | 1 | LLD |
| 31 |  Lillestrom | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2:9 | -7 | 1 | LDL |
| 32 |  Lech Poznan | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1:9 | -8 | 1 | DLL |
| 33 |  Plzen | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2:7 | -5 | 0 | LLL |
| 34 |  Marseille | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1:6 | -5 | 0 | LLL |
| 35 |  Celtic | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3:9 | -6 | 0 | LLL |
| 36 |  Ararat-Armenia | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2:11 | -9 | 0 | LLL |
| # | Team | MP | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Benfica | 3 | 10:2 | 9 |
| 2 | Bayer Leverkusen | 3 | 8:0 | 9 |
| 3 | Bournemouth | 3 | 8:1 | 9 |
| 4 | Ferencvarosi TC | 3 | 9:3 | 9 |
| 5 | Olympiakos Piraeus | 3 | 4:1 | 9 |
| 6 | Union St. Gilloise | 3 | 8:1 | 7 |
| 7 | Juventus | 3 | 9:3 | 7 |
| 8 | Beşiktaş | 3 | 9:5 | 7 |
| 9 | Sunderland | 3 | 4:2 | 7 |
| 10 | AZ Alkmaar | 3 | 6:2 | 6 |
| 11 | Omonia Nicosia | 3 | 5:4 | 6 |
| 12 | Lyon | 3 | 5:6 | 6 |
| 13 | Rennes | 3 | 4:3 | 5 |
| 14 | Real Sociedad | 3 | 8:3 | 4 |
| 15 | Crystal Palace | 3 | 8:5 | 4 |
| 16 | Sparta Praha | 3 | 5:3 | 4 |
| 17 | Levski Sofia | 3 | 3:3 | 4 |
| 18 | Dinamo Zagreb | 3 | 3:4 | 4 |
| 19 | Sturm Graz | 3 | 1:3 | 4 |
| 20 | NEC Nijmegen | 3 | 5:8 | 4 |
| 21 | Red Bull Salzburg | 3 | 3:6 | 4 |
| 22 | Anderlecht | 3 | 4:3 | 3 |
| 23 | 1899 Hoffenheim | 3 | 5:5 | 3 |
| 24 | AC Milan | 3 | 4:5 | 3 |
| 25 | Celta Vigo | 3 | 3:4 | 3 |
| 26 | OFI | 3 | 3:4 | 3 |
| 27 | Jagiellonia | 3 | 4:6 | 3 |
| 28 | Torreense | 3 | 4:7 | 3 |
| 29 | Celje | 3 | 2:7 | 1 |
| 30 | Hapoel Beer Sheva | 3 | 1:6 | 1 |
| 31 | Lillestrom | 3 | 2:9 | 1 |
| 32 | Lech Poznan | 3 | 1:9 | 1 |
| 33 | Plzen | 3 | 2:7 | 0 |
| 34 | Marseille | 3 | 1:6 | 0 |
| 35 | Celtic | 3 | 3:9 | 0 |
| 36 | Ararat-Armenia | 3 | 2:11 | 0 |
Europa League
Bracket
Qualifying Round 1
Qualifying Round 2
Qualifying Round 3
Play-offs
Kairat Almaty
Mjallby AIF
TrabzonsporLillestromArarat-Armenia
Kauno ŽalgirisSt. Truiden
FK Crvena ZvezdaPlzenOFI
Aarhus
Larne
Saburtalo
Shamrock Rovers
Egnatia Rrogozhinë
Gornik Zabrze
KuPS
Universitatea CraiovaJagiellonia
RangersLech Poznan
KI Klaksvik
Lincoln Red Imps FCOmonia NicosiaRed Bull Salzburg
FC Thun
Vikingur Reykjavik
Heart Of Midlothian
Tromso
Hradec KrálovéPAOK
Maccabi Tel AvivHammarby FFAnderlecht
FC ST. GallenBenficaTwenteBeşiktaş
FC Midtjylland
PafosKairat AlmatyMjallby AIFTrabzonsporLillestromArarat-ArmeniaKauno ŽalgirisSt. TruidenFK Crvena ZvezdaPlzenOFIAarhusLarneSaburtaloShamrock RoversEgnatia RrogozhinëGornik ZabrzeKuPSUniversitatea CraiovaJagielloniaRangersLech PoznanKI KlaksvikLincoln Red Imps FCOmonia NicosiaRed Bull SalzburgFC ThunVikingur ReykjavikHeart Of MidlothianKairat AlmatyMjallby AIFTrabzonsporLillestromArarat-ArmeniaKauno ŽalgirisSt. TruidenFK Crvena ZvezdaPlzenOFIAarhusKairat AlmatyMjallby AIFTrabzonsporLillestromArarat-ArmeniaKauno ŽalgirisSt. TruidenFK Crvena ZvezdaPlzenOFIAarhusExplore more predictions
This match
More UEFA Europa League matches
- Beşiktaş vs Hradec Králové 13/08/26
- Gornik Zabrze vs Ferencvarosi TC 13/08/26
- Pafos vs Red Bull Salzburg 13/08/26
- CSKA Sofia vs Maccabi Tel Aviv 13/08/26
- Heart Of Midlothian vs Benfica 13/08/26
- Egnatia Rrogozhinë vs Shamrock Rovers 13/08/26
- Kairat Almaty vs Anderlecht 20/08/26
- Trabzonspor vs Ferencvarosi TC 20/08/26
About the Anderlecht vs PAOK forecast
This is a UEFA Europa League cup fixture; the forecasts combine team ratings, recent form and scoring data, with the cup context taken into account.
How to Read These Forecasts
Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.
About UEFA Europa League
More UEFA Europa League fixtures and forecasts are on the UEFA Europa League Predictions page.
Key Factors for This Match
PAOK have led at half-time in 60% of their recent matches. Anderlecht and PAOK have met only 1 time recently, with 1.0 goals in that meeting. This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.
All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.