Arsenal Tivat vs Mornar Prediction

Arsenal Tivat
1-2
Finished
HT 1-0
Mornar
Stadion u Parku, Tivat 17/10/2026

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Partial
Match Importance
4.0 / 10
AI Best Pick
81%Trust
Double Chance
Draw or Away Win
1.12
SignalSTRONGModel55%SurpriseMediumGap-7.9%
Arsenal Tivat Rest
4 days
Mornar Rest
4 days

Arsenal Tivat vs Mornar: the result in context

Mornar beat Arsenal Tivat 2-1 in the First League on 17 Oct 2026. The two went into the match with similar recent form.

Their 10 previous meetings averaged 2.3 goals, with both teams scoring in 4 of them.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
20%5.53
X
28%3.32
2
52%1.59
Double Chance
1X
48%2.09
X2
80%1.12
Both Teams to Score

Both teams to score forecasts not available for this match

Goals

Goal forecasts not available for this match

Corners

Corner forecasts not available for this match

Cards

Card forecasts not available for this match

Match Events

5'P. Vukcevic
19'I. Vukcevic(Penalty)
24'M. Zivanovic
49'F. Mitrovic
60'Y. Yao
63'V. Ljutica
85'

Team Comparison

Arsenal TivatArsenal Tivat
MornarMornar
1413Elo Rating 1580
1.05Attack 2.76
1.48Defense 1.34
0%Hit Rate 59%

Game State Tendencies

Arsenal TivatArsenal Tivat
  • Tied at half-time in 50% of matches
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late
MornarMornar
  • Tied at half-time in 60% of matches
  • Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 100% of the time
  • Scores more in 2nd half (1.9 vs 0.8 in first half)
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late

Head to Head

Last 10 meetings, all competitions

Arsenal TivatArsenal Tivat2Wins · 20%
Draws330%
MornarMornar5Wins · 50%
2.3Avg Goals
40%Both teams scored4 of 10
50%3+ goals5 of 10

Previous meetings

First League07/08/2026
MornarArsenal Tivat
00
First League12/04/2026
Arsenal TivatMornar
01
First League21/02/2026
MornarArsenal Tivat
12
First League08/10/2025
Arsenal TivatMornar
01
First League10/08/2025
MornarArsenal Tivat
22
First League14/05/2025
Arsenal TivatMornar
11
First League16/03/2025
MornarArsenal Tivat
10
First League10/11/2024
Arsenal TivatMornar
40
First League14/09/2024
MornarArsenal Tivat
40
First League21/04/2024
Arsenal TivatMornar
12

Recent Form

Arsenal TivatArsenal Tivat
1W5D4L
13/10/2026
Arsenal TivatGrbalj
1111
D
19/09/2026
Arsenal TivatSutjeska
02
L
14/09/2026
PetrovacArsenal Tivat
12
W
10/09/2026
Arsenal TivatMladost DG
01
L
05/09/2026
JezeroArsenal Tivat
52
L
30/08/2026
Arsenal TivatOtrant-Olympic
12
L
23/08/2026
BokeljArsenal Tivat
00
D
16/08/2026
Arsenal TivatBuducnost Podgorica
00
D
07/08/2026
MornarArsenal Tivat
00
D
02/08/2026
DečićArsenal Tivat
00
D
MornarMornar
5W3D2L
13/10/2026
Otrant-OlympicMornar
03
W
08/10/2026
MornarJezero
33
D
02/10/2026
Mladost DGMornar
15
W
20/09/2026
DečićMornar
11
D
14/09/2026
MornarOtrant-Olympic
01
L
08/09/2026
SutjeskaMornar
10
L
03/09/2026
MornarBokelj
20
W
29/08/2026
PetrovacMornar
11
D
21/08/2026
MornarBuducnost Podgorica
21
W
16/08/2026
Mladost DGMornar
23
W

League Table

First League 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1Buducnost PodgoricaBuducnost Podgorica1364318:12+622WDWDW
2Otrant-OlympicOtrant-Olympic1363421:17+421LDWDW
3SutjeskaSutjeska1355318:10+820DDWDW
4MornarMornar1355320:15+520LWWDD
5BokeljBokelj1254310:9+119DWLWD
6DečićDečić1253412:10+218WLLDL
7PetrovacPetrovac1235412:13-114WWLLL
8JezeroJezero1326515:22-712DLDDL
9Mladost DGMladost DG1333711:22-1112LLDDL
10Arsenal TivatArsenal Tivat121659:16-79DDLLW
#TeamMPGPts
1Buducnost PodgoricaBuducnost Podgorica1318:1222
2Otrant-OlympicOtrant-Olympic1321:1721
3SutjeskaSutjeska1318:1020
4MornarMornar1320:1520
5BokeljBokelj1210:919
6DečićDečić1212:1018
7PetrovacPetrovac1212:1314
8JezeroJezero1315:2212
9Mladost DGMladost DG1311:2212
10Arsenal TivatArsenal Tivat129:169
Champions LeagueConference LeagueRelegation

About the Arsenal Tivat vs Mornar forecast

The forecasts for this First League match are built from team Elo ratings, recent form, scoring data and the head-to-head record, and are updated as new data arrives before kickoff.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

Arsenal Tivat and Mornar in the First League table

The table shows a wide gap: Mornar are 4th in the First League, while Arsenal Tivat sit 10th, 11 points behind. League goal record so far: Arsenal Tivat 9-16, Mornar 20-15. The full standings are on the First League Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

Some underlying data for this fixture is limited, which the model accounts for with a lower confidence rating.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.