Arsenal Tula vs FK Neftekhimik Prediction

First LeagueRussia Russia · Regular Season - 2
Arsenal Tula
0-1
Finished
HT 0-0
FK Neftekhimik
Stadion Arsenal, Tula 19/07/2026
Arsenal TulaArsenal Tula
0-1
Finished
FK NeftekhimikFK Neftekhimik

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Partial
Match Importance
3.2 / 10
Value Analysis
62%Trust
Goals O/U
Under 2.5 Goals
1.65
SignalSOLIDModel28%SurpriseHighGap+5.0%
Arsenal Tula Rest
5 days
FK Neftekhimik Rest
8 days

Arsenal Tula vs FK Neftekhimik: the result in context

FK Neftekhimik beat Arsenal Tula 1-0 in the First League on 19 Jul 2026. The two went into the match with similar recent form.

Their history points to a close game: 8 previous meetings produced 1.5 goals a game.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
31%1.76
X
30%3.30
2
39%4.90
Double Chance
1X
61%1.14
X2
69%1.97
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%2.03
No
56%1.68
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.2 + 1 = 2.20
Over 1.5
64%1.36
Over 2.5
38%2.21
Over 3.5
18%3.82
Under 1.5
36%2.74
Under 2.5
62%1.65
Under 3.5
82%1.19
Corners

Corner forecasts not available for this match

Cards

Card forecasts not available for this match

Match Events

32'Nikita Karmaev
53'Islam Mashukov
56'Nikita Vasiljev
58'Stanislav Puzanov INAleksandr Kakhidze out
62'Edarlyn Reyes INTimur Melekestsev out
62'Ivan Enin INNikita Razdorskikh out
62'David Davidyan INNikita Glushkov out
69'Surkhaykhan Abdullaev INDanila Sukhomlinov out
69'Nikita Vasiljev INArtem Kotik out
72'Igor Gorbunov INArtem Biryukov out
73'Linar sharifullin
78'Islam Mashukov INMikhail Sukhoruchenko out
78'Sultan Dzhamilov INIvan pyatkin out
82'Milos Brnovic INTimur Zhamaletdinov out
90+2'Mikhail Sukhoruchenko

Lineups

Arsenal Tula
4-4-2Coach: Dmitry Gunko
FK Neftekhimik
4-3-3Coach: Robert Evdokimov
Aleksandr Melikhov42A. Melikhov
Daniil Penchikov4D. Penchikov
Kirill Gotsuk24K. Gotsuk
Nikita Karmaev45N. Karmaev
Yaroslav Krashevskiy5Y. Krashevskiy
David Davidyan9D. Davidyan
Ivan Enin35I. Enin
Miloš Brnović14M. Brnović
Igor Gorbunov17I. Gorbunov
Rashid Magomedov11R. Magomedov
Edarlyn Reyes7E. Reyes
Andrey Golubev1A. Golubev
Magomed Musalov5M. Musalov
Ivan Khomukha22I. Khomukha
Nikita Pechenkin6N. Pechenkin
Stanislav Puzanov13S. Puzanov
Vasiliy Aleynikov38V. Aleynikov
Nikita Vasiljev96N. Vasiljev
Linar Sharifullin19L. Sharifullin
Islam Mashukov14I. Mashukov
Sultan Dzhamilov7S. Dzhamilov
Surkhaykhan Abdullaev11S. Abdullaev

Arsenal Tula Substitutes

18Mikhail Tsulaya
44Oleg Isaenko
82Aleksandr Alekhin
77Daniil Plotnikov
21Nikita Razdorskikh62'for Ivan Enin
24Artem Biryukov72'for Igor Gorbunov
10Ilya Zhigulev
71Arseniy Efremov
22Georgiy Uridia
23Timur Melekestsev62'for Edarlyn Reyes
75Timur Zhamaletdinov82'for Milos Brnovic

FK Neftekhimik Substitutes

98Artem Ismagilov
28Platon Platonov
44Mikhail Sukhoruchenko78'for Islam Mashukov90+2'
24Aleksandr Kakhidze58'replaced by Stanislav Puzanov
85Ivan Pyatkin78'for Sultan Dzhamilov
8Danila Sukhomlinov69'replaced by Surkhaykhan Abdullaev
15Andrey Bondar
12Enri Mukba
9Artem Kotik69'for Nikita Vasiljev

Team Comparison

Arsenal TulaArsenal Tula
FK NeftekhimikFK Neftekhimik
1396Elo Rating 1374
1.55Attack 0.89
0.09Defense 1.19
39%Hit Rate 0%
3.4Shots per Game 4.3
2.7Shots on Target 1.9
3.0Corners per Game 4.6
2.7Cards per Game 3.1

AI Insights

📊Home Overperforming
📊Away Overperforming

Game State Tendencies

Arsenal TulaArsenal Tula
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
  • Scores more in 2nd half (0.9 vs 0.7 in first half)
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late
FK NeftekhimikFK Neftekhimik
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
  • Scores more in 2nd half (0.7 vs 0.2 in first half)
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late

Head to Head

Last 8 meetings, all competitions

Arsenal TulaArsenal Tula2Wins · 25%
Draws450%
FK NeftekhimikFK Neftekhimik2Wins · 25%
1.5Avg Goals
38%Both teams scored3 of 8
25%3+ goals2 of 8

Previous meetings

First League30/11/2025
Arsenal TulaFK Neftekhimik
00
First League29/09/2025
FK NeftekhimikArsenal Tula
10
First League16/11/2024
FK NeftekhimikArsenal Tula
22
First League11/08/2024
Arsenal TulaFK Neftekhimik
11
First League11/05/2024
Arsenal TulaFK Neftekhimik
10
First League01/10/2023
FK NeftekhimikArsenal Tula
00
First League02/04/2023
FK NeftekhimikArsenal Tula
10
First League11/09/2022
Arsenal TulaFK Neftekhimik
21

Recent Form

Arsenal TulaArsenal Tula
1W6D3L
13/07/2026
Arsenal TulaTekstilshchik
21
W
04/07/2026
CSKA MoscowArsenal Tula
11
D
26/06/2026
FC SochiArsenal Tula
33
D
21/06/2026
Arsenal TulaSpartak Kostroma
11
D
17/06/2026
Arsenal TulaVolga Ulyanovsk
12
L
16/05/2026
Arsenal TulaRodina Moskva
14
L
11/05/2026
EniseyArsenal Tula
10
L
04/05/2026
Arsenal TulaRotor Volgograd
22
D
25/04/2026
Spartak KostromaArsenal Tula
11
D
22/04/2026
Arsenal TulaChelyabinsk
00
D
FK NeftekhimikFK Neftekhimik
3W3D4L
11/07/2026
FK NeftekhimikVeles
01
L
01/07/2026
KAMAZFK Neftekhimik
23
W
28/06/2026
Krylia SovetovFK Neftekhimik
11
D
25/06/2026
FC OrenburgFK Neftekhimik
01
W
18/06/2026
FK NeftekhimikKAMAZ
00
D
16/05/2026
Ska-khabarovskFK Neftekhimik
20
L
10/05/2026
FK NeftekhimikVolga Ulyanovsk
22
D
02/05/2026
ChelyabinskFK Neftekhimik
20
L
26/04/2026
EniseyFK Neftekhimik
20
L
22/04/2026
FK NeftekhimikChernomorets
40
W

League Table

First League 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1Nizhny NovgorodNizhny Novgorod16141148:15+3343WWWWW
2FC SochiFC Sochi16102426:17+932LWWWD
3UralUral1694327:11+1631WWLLW
4Torpedo MoskvaTorpedo Moskva1685328:13+1529DDWWD
5Spartak KostromaSpartak Kostroma1684422:16+628DLWLL
6VelesVeles1784521:20+128DLDWL
7Shinnik YaroslavlShinnik Yaroslavl1658320:17+323LWDWD
8FC UFAFC UFA1657418:15+322DLWLD
9Volga UlyanovskVolga Ulyanovsk1764722:23-122DWWDW
10Rotor VolgogradRotor Volgograd1655623:18+520DDLDW
11Arsenal TulaArsenal Tula1654719:33-1419LWLWL
12ChelyabinskChelyabinsk1653821:26-518WLLWD
13LeningradetsLeningradets1645715:26-1117WDLLW
14KAMAZKAMAZ1635820:28-814DLWDW
15EniseyEnisey1635816:33-1714LLLLD
16Ska-khabarovskSka-khabarovsk1634920:28-813WWLDD
17FK NeftekhimikFK Neftekhimik16411111:24-1313LDLLL
18TekstilshchikTekstilshchik1625912:26-1411DLWLL
#TeamMPGPts
1Nizhny NovgorodNizhny Novgorod1648:1543
2FC SochiFC Sochi1626:1732
3UralUral1627:1131
4Torpedo MoskvaTorpedo Moskva1628:1329
5Spartak KostromaSpartak Kostroma1622:1628
6VelesVeles1721:2028
7Shinnik YaroslavlShinnik Yaroslavl1620:1723
8FC UFAFC UFA1618:1522
9Volga UlyanovskVolga Ulyanovsk1722:2322
10Rotor VolgogradRotor Volgograd1623:1820
11Arsenal TulaArsenal Tula1619:3319
12ChelyabinskChelyabinsk1621:2618
13LeningradetsLeningradets1615:2617
14KAMAZKAMAZ1620:2814
15EniseyEnisey1616:3314
16Ska-khabarovskSka-khabarovsk1620:2813
17FK NeftekhimikFK Neftekhimik1611:2413
18TekstilshchikTekstilshchik1612:2611

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About the Arsenal Tula vs FK Neftekhimik forecast

The forecasts for this First League match are built from team Elo ratings, recent form, scoring data and the head-to-head record, and are updated as new data arrives before kickoff.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

Arsenal Tula and FK Neftekhimik in the First League table

In the First League table, Arsenal Tula are 11th and FK Neftekhimik 17th, 6 points apart. League goal record so far: Arsenal Tula 19-33, FK Neftekhimik 11-24. The full standings are on the First League Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

Some underlying data for this fixture is limited, which the model accounts for with a lower confidence rating.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.