Arzignano Valchiampo vs Novara Prediction

Tommaso Dal Molin, Arzignano·M. Cavacini 25/10/2026

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Partial
Match Importance
3.2 / 10
AI Best Pick
71%Trust
Double Chance
Home Win or Draw
1.33
SignalGOODModel44%SurpriseMediumGap-3.8%
Arzignano Valchiampo Rest
5 days
Novara Rest
7 days

Arzignano Valchiampo vs Novara: the result in context

Arzignano Valchiampo beat Novara 2-0 in the Serie C - Girone A on 25 Oct 2026. It was in line with recent form: Arzignano Valchiampo had won 3 of their previous five, compared with 1 for Novara.

Their history points to a close game: 8 previous meetings produced 1.6 goals a game.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
40%2.37
X
30%3.02
2
30%2.90
Double Chance
1X
70%1.33
X2
60%1.50
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%1.88
No
51%1.80
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.37 + 0.99 = 2.36
Over 1.5
67%1.40
Over 2.5
43%2.20
Over 3.5
23%3.98
Under 1.5
33%2.75
Under 2.5
57%1.60
Under 3.5
77%1.19
Corners

Corner forecasts not available for this match

Cards

Card forecasts not available for this match

Match Events

17'N. NanniAssist: A. Milillo
25'G. Basso
39'F. Lorenzini
44'E. De Santis
51'E. Bernardi
55'G. Basso INR. Arboscello out
61'M. J. Fosu INE. Campesan out
70'D. Dell'Erba INN. Ledonne out
70'A. Valdesi INM. Nichetti out
71'A. Cannavaro
74'C. Gatti INL. Castegnaro out
81'
83'M. Romano INE. Lanini out
84'N. Nanni INJ. Romio out
84'E. De Santis IND. Finizio out
84'E. Lakti INM. Penta out
90'J. RomioAssist: M. Penta

Team Comparison

Arzignano ValchiampoArzignano Valchiampo
NovaraNovara
1545Elo Rating 1459
1.68Attack 1.07
2.24Defense 1.17
61%Hit Rate 17%

Game State Tendencies

Arzignano ValchiampoArzignano Valchiampo
  • Leads at half-time in 80% of matches
  • Starts fast - scores more in 1st half (1.1 vs 0.6 in second half)
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late
NovaraNovara
  • Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 33% of the time
  • Scores more in 2nd half (0.7 vs 0.4 in first half)
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late

Head to Head

Last 8 meetings, all competitions

Arzignano ValchiampoArzignano Valchiampo1Wins · 13%
Draws337%
NovaraNovara4Wins · 50%
1.6Avg Goals
38%Both teams scored3 of 8
13%3+ goals1 of 8

Previous meetings

Serie C - Girone A27/02/2026
Arzignano ValchiampoNovara
11
Serie C - Girone A17/10/2025
NovaraArzignano Valchiampo
10
Serie C - Girone A05/04/2025
NovaraArzignano Valchiampo
10
Serie C - Girone A24/11/2024
Arzignano ValchiampoNovara
02
Serie C - Girone A17/02/2024
Arzignano ValchiampoNovara
00
Serie C - Girone A13/10/2023
NovaraArzignano Valchiampo
01
Serie C - Girone A08/04/2023
Arzignano ValchiampoNovara
11
Serie C - Girone A04/12/2022
NovaraArzignano Valchiampo
31

Recent Form

Arzignano ValchiampoArzignano Valchiampo
5W1D4L
19/10/2026
CittadellaArzignano Valchiampo
10
L
10/10/2026
Arzignano ValchiampoJuventus U23
21
W
03/10/2026
Arzignano ValchiampoPergolettese
22
D
27/09/2026
Athletic CarpiArzignano Valchiampo
03
W
20/09/2026
Arzignano ValchiampoRenate
21
W
17/09/2026
AlbinoleffeArzignano Valchiampo
12
W
13/09/2026
Arzignano ValchiampoDesenzano Calvina
12
L
06/09/2026
OspitalettoArzignano Valchiampo
31
L
02/09/2026
Arzignano ValchiampoDolomiti Bellunesi
3252
L
30/08/2026
Arzignano ValchiampoPRO Vercelli
10
W
NovaraNovara
2W4D4L
18/10/2026
AlbinoleffeNovara
22
D
10/10/2026
NovaraCittadella
02
L
04/10/2026
Dolomiti BellunesiNovara
12
W
26/09/2026
NovaraOspitaletto
02
L
20/09/2026
NovaraAthletic Carpi
22
D
17/09/2026
LumezzaneNovara
00
D
13/09/2026
NovaraPergolettese
01
L
07/09/2026
RenateNovara
12
W
03/09/2026
NovaraLivorno
1040
L
31/08/2026
NovaraFolgore Caratese
22
D

League Table

Serie C - Girone A 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1CittadellaCittadella12100219:6+1330WLWWL
2Union BresciaUnion Brescia1274123:9+1425WWLWD
3TrentoTrento1266017:6+1124DWWWD
4Arzignano ValchiampoArzignano Valchiampo1263317:12+521DWLWD
5OspitalettoOspitaletto1254318:11+719DLLWD
6TrevisoTreviso1254312:9+319LWWLD
7AlcioneAlcione1246221:18+318WLWDD
8LeccoLecco1245318:11+717WDWDD
9AlbinoleffeAlbinoleffe1245319:17+217WDDLW
10PergolettesePergolettese1245312:12017LWWWD
11Desenzano CalvinaDesenzano Calvina1134410:13-313LLWWD
12LumezzaneLumezzane1234513:17-413DLLDW
13PRO VercelliPRO Vercelli1133510:19-912WLLWD
14Athletic CarpiAthletic Carpi1233616:26-1012LWWLL
15Giana ErminioGiana Erminio1225513:17-411LWWDD
16NovaraNovara1124510:16-610LDLWL
17Juventus U23Juventus U231124511:18-710LWDLD
18Dolomiti BellunesiDolomiti Bellunesi122468:18-1010LLLLL
19RenateRenate1215614:16-28WDLDD
20Folgore CarateseFolgore Caratese1214711:21-107LDLLL
#TeamMPGPts
1CittadellaCittadella1219:630
2Union BresciaUnion Brescia1223:925
3TrentoTrento1217:624
4Arzignano ValchiampoArzignano Valchiampo1217:1221
5OspitalettoOspitaletto1218:1119
6TrevisoTreviso1212:919
7AlcioneAlcione1221:1818
8LeccoLecco1218:1117
9AlbinoleffeAlbinoleffe1219:1717
10PergolettesePergolettese1212:1217
11Desenzano CalvinaDesenzano Calvina1110:1313
12LumezzaneLumezzane1213:1713
13PRO VercelliPRO Vercelli1110:1912
14Athletic CarpiAthletic Carpi1216:2612
15Giana ErminioGiana Erminio1213:1711
16NovaraNovara1110:1610
17Juventus U23Juventus U231111:1810
18Dolomiti BellunesiDolomiti Bellunesi128:1810
19RenateRenate1214:168
20Folgore CarateseFolgore Caratese1211:217
PromotionRelegation

About the Arzignano Valchiampo vs Novara forecast

The forecasts for this Serie C - Girone A match are built from team Elo ratings, recent form, scoring data and the head-to-head record, and are updated as new data arrives before kickoff.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

Arzignano Valchiampo and Novara in the Serie C - Girone A table

In the Serie C - Girone A table, Arzignano Valchiampo are 4th and Novara 16th, 11 points apart. League goal record so far: Arzignano Valchiampo 17-12, Novara 10-16. The full standings are on the Serie C - Girone A Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

Arzignano Valchiampo have led at half-time in 80% of their recent matches. Some underlying data for this fixture is limited, which the model accounts for with a lower confidence rating.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.