Atletico Atlas vs El Porvenir Prediction

Atletico Atlas
1-2
Finished
HT 0-1
El Porvenir
12/10/2026

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Partial
Match Importance
3.2 / 10
AI Best Pick
72%Trust
Double Chance
Home Win or Draw
1.31
SignalGOODModel41%SurpriseHighGap-4.7%
Atletico Atlas Rest
6 days
El Porvenir Rest
7 days

Atletico Atlas vs El Porvenir: the result in context

El Porvenir beat Atletico Atlas 2-1 in the Primera C on 12 Oct 2026. The two went into the match with similar recent form.

Their 7 previous meetings averaged 2.4 goals, with both teams scoring in 3 of them.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
39%2.40
X
32%2.76
2
29%3.00
Double Chance
1X
71%1.31
X2
61%1.45
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%2.08
No
55%1.65
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.28 + 0.89 = 2.17
Over 1.5
62%1.50
Over 2.5
37%2.52
Over 3.5
18%4.95
Under 1.5
38%2.36
Under 2.5
63%1.41
Under 3.5
82%1.14
Corners

Corner forecasts not available for this match

Cards

Card forecasts not available for this match

Match Events

19'N. De Benedetti
63'A. Meza
66'N. Oviedo
90+4'

Team Comparison

Atletico AtlasAtletico Atlas
El PorvenirEl Porvenir
1414Elo Rating 1441
0.46Attack 1.30
1.59Defense 1.59
0%Hit Rate 41%

Game State Tendencies

Atletico AtlasAtletico Atlas
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
  • Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 33% of the time
  • Scores more in 2nd half (0.5 vs 0 in first half)
El PorvenirEl Porvenir
  • Leads at half-time in 60% of matches
  • Starts fast - scores more in 1st half (0.9 vs 0.4 in second half)
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late

Head to Head

Last 7 meetings, all competitions

Atletico AtlasAtletico Atlas4Wins · 57%
Draws229%
El PorvenirEl Porvenir1Wins · 14%
2.4Avg Goals
43%Both teams scored3 of 7
57%3+ goals4 of 7

Previous meetings

Primera C13/06/2026
El PorvenirAtletico Atlas
01
Primera C20/11/2024
El PorvenirAtletico Atlas
22
Primera C18/06/2024
Atletico AtlasEl Porvenir
21
Primera C17/10/2022
Atletico AtlasEl Porvenir
00
Primera C12/06/2022
El PorvenirAtletico Atlas
01
Primera C29/10/2021
El PorvenirAtletico Atlas
23
Primera C04/07/2021
Atletico AtlasEl Porvenir
03

Recent Form

Atletico AtlasAtletico Atlas
3W2D5L
06/10/2026
FénixAtletico Atlas
10
L
27/09/2026
Atletico AtlasSportivo Barracas
11
D
19/09/2026
LujanAtletico Atlas
10
L
12/09/2026
BerazateguiAtletico Atlas
20
L
06/09/2026
Atletico AtlasGeneral Lamadrid
00
D
31/08/2026
Leones de RosarioAtletico Atlas
10
L
22/08/2026
YupanquiAtletico Atlas
02
W
16/08/2026
Atletico AtlasArgentino Rosario
10
W
09/08/2026
Atletico AtlasCanuelas
20
W
04/08/2026
Atletico AtlasSacachispas
02
L

League Table

Primera C 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1LujanLujan32197646:22+2464WWWWW
2CanuelasCanuelas321710543:22+2161WDWWW
3Deportivo EspañolDeportivo Español321216426:16+1052WDWWD
4Leones de RosarioLeones de Rosario321312731:25+651WWLDD
5Central CordobaCentral Cordoba321310932:23+949LWWDW
6General LamadridGeneral Lamadrid32914923:27-441DLDDD
7Sportivo BarracasSportivo Barracas321171432:32040DLDLL
8El PorvenirEl Porvenir32816828:32-440WDLLW
9Central BallesterCentral Ballester321081429:34-538LLLDW
10Atletico AtlasAtletico Atlas329101324:29-537LLDLL
11ClaypoleClaypole32991427:40-1336WDLWW
12YupanquiYupanqui328111333:36-335LLDLD
13FénixFénix328101424:32-834LWLWD
14Deportivo MuñizDeportivo Muñiz326111523:38-1529LWWLD
#TeamMPGPts
1LujanLujan3246:2264
2CanuelasCanuelas3243:2261
3Deportivo EspañolDeportivo Español3226:1652
4Leones de RosarioLeones de Rosario3231:2551
5Central CordobaCentral Cordoba3232:2349
6General LamadridGeneral Lamadrid3223:2741
7Sportivo BarracasSportivo Barracas3232:3240
8El PorvenirEl Porvenir3228:3240
9Central BallesterCentral Ballester3229:3438
10Atletico AtlasAtletico Atlas3224:2937
11ClaypoleClaypole3227:4036
12YupanquiYupanqui3233:3635
13FénixFénix3224:3234
14Deportivo MuñizDeportivo Muñiz3223:3829
PromotionRelegation

About the Atletico Atlas vs El Porvenir forecast

The forecasts for this Primera C match are built from team Elo ratings, recent form, scoring data and the head-to-head record, and are updated as new data arrives before kickoff.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

Atletico Atlas and El Porvenir in the Primera C table

El Porvenir and Atletico Atlas are close in the Primera C table, 8th and 10th, with 3 points between them. League goal record so far: Atletico Atlas 24-29, El Porvenir 28-32. The full standings are on the Primera C Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

El Porvenir have led at half-time in 60% of their recent matches. Some underlying data for this fixture is limited, which the model accounts for with a lower confidence rating.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.