Atletico DE Rafaela vs Deportivo Maipu Prediction

Estadio Nuevo Monumental, Rafaela 11/07/2026

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Partial
Match Importance
3.2 / 10
AI Best Pick
83%Trust
Double Chance
Home Win or Draw
1.25
SignalSTRONGModel48%SurpriseMediumGap+2.9%
Atletico DE Rafaela Rest
6 days
Deportivo Maipu Rest
5 days

Atletico DE Rafaela vs Deportivo Maipu: the result in context

Deportivo Maipu beat Atletico DE Rafaela 3-1 in the Primera Nacional on 11 Jul 2026. The two went into the match with similar recent form.

Their history points to a close game: 4 previous meetings produced 1.8 goals a game.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
48%2.25
X
35%2.79
2
17%3.50
Double Chance
1X
83%1.25
X2
52%1.55
Both Teams to Score
Yes
35%2.30
No
65%1.53
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.32 + 0.66 = 1.98
Over 1.5
55%1.62
Over 2.5
30%2.90
Over 3.5
14%5.75
Under 1.5
45%2.16
Under 2.5
70%1.36
Under 3.5
86%1.10
Corners

Corner forecasts not available for this match

Cards

Card forecasts not available for this match

Match Events

14'T. SilvaAssist: N. Galardi
34'M. Bonfigli
46'F. Jourdan INA. Obando out
46'L. Moscoloni INM. Quiroga out
46'A. ObandoAssist: M. Moreno
58'T. SilvaAssist: J. Giacone
64'J. Giacone INL. Cabrera out
68'N. Cainelli INJ. Torrens out
74'T. Silva INJ. Vera out
74'M. Bonfigli INM. Viguet out
80'M. Moreno INM. Fernandez out
80'J. Capurro INA. Rodriguez out
83'
85'G. Fernandez
90'M. ViguetAssist: J. Vera

Team Comparison

Atletico DE RafaelaAtletico DE Rafaela
Deportivo MaipuDeportivo Maipu
1533Elo Rating 1582
1.22Attack 0.73
1.05Defense 2.36
41%Hit Rate 36%

Game State Tendencies

Atletico DE RafaelaAtletico DE Rafaela
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
  • Concedes more in 1st half - tightens up after the break
Deportivo MaipuDeportivo Maipu
  • Tied at half-time in 60% of matches
  • Scores more in 2nd half (0.5 vs 0.2 in first half)

Head to Head

Last 4 meetings, all competitions

Atletico DE RafaelaAtletico DE Rafaela1Wins · 25%
Draws250%
Deportivo MaipuDeportivo Maipu1Wins · 25%
1.8Avg Goals
50%Both teams scored2 of 4
25%3+ goals1 of 4

Previous meetings

Primera Nacional22/02/2026
Deportivo MaipuAtletico DE Rafaela
21
Primera Nacional17/09/2023
Atletico DE RafaelaDeportivo Maipu
20
Primera Nacional07/05/2023
Deportivo MaipuAtletico DE Rafaela
11
Primera Nacional02/05/2022
Deportivo MaipuAtletico DE Rafaela
00

Recent Form

Atletico DE RafaelaAtletico DE Rafaela
3W3D4L
04/07/2026
AlmagroAtletico DE Rafaela
10
L
23/06/2026
Nueva ChicagoAtletico DE Rafaela
00
D
14/06/2026
PatronatoAtletico DE Rafaela
00
D
06/06/2026
Atletico DE RafaelaColegiales
10
W
31/05/2026
QuilmesAtletico DE Rafaela
20
L
23/05/2026
Atletico DE RafaelaMidland
10
W
16/05/2026
AtlantaAtletico DE Rafaela
20
L
09/05/2026
Atletico DE RafaelaGimnasia Y Tiro
10
W
03/05/2026
San Martin TucumanAtletico DE Rafaela
21
L
25/04/2026
Atletico DE RafaelaGimnasia Jujuy
00
D
Deportivo MaipuDeportivo Maipu
5W2D3L
05/07/2026
Deportivo MaipuAgropecuario
20
W
21/06/2026
Deportivo MaipuGimnasia Y Tiro
00
D
14/06/2026
Deportivo MaipuTristan Suarez
01
L
07/06/2026
Club Atlético GüemesDeportivo Maipu
10
L
31/05/2026
Deportivo MaipuChacarita Juniors
32
W
23/05/2026
San Martin S.J.Deportivo Maipu
21
L
17/05/2026
Deportivo MaipuNueva Chicago
10
W
09/05/2026
TemperleyDeportivo Maipu
05
W
03/05/2026
Gimnasia JujuyDeportivo Maipu
11
D
26/04/2026
Deportivo MaipuAlmagro
10
W

League Table

Primera Nacional 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1Tristan SuarezTristan Suarez351615434:16+1863DWDDW
2AtlantaAtlanta351941242:34+861WLWWW
3TemperleyTemperley351612741:29+1260LDWWL
4Gimnasia JujuyGimnasia Jujuy351610952:44+858LWDLD
5MidlandMidland351591143:29+1454WLWDL
6Gimnasia Y TiroGimnasia Y Tiro3514101137:34+352LWDLW
7Deportivo MaipuDeportivo Maipu351491243:34+951WLDWW
8ColegialesColegiales351491236:32+451DWDWW
9San Martin S.J.San Martin S.J.3512121137:35+248DDDLL
10San Martin TucumanSan Martin Tucuman3511131139:37+246LWLWD
11Atletico DE RafaelaAtletico DE Rafaela3512101329:35-646DWLLL
12AgropecuarioAgropecuario3511101429:38-943WLWDL
13QuilmesQuilmes351191532:30+242WLLDW
14AlmagroAlmagro351191532:42-1042DLWWL
15Chacarita JuniorsChacarita Juniors351161827:35-839WWLWL
16PatronatoPatronato357161229:35-637LLWLW
17Nueva ChicagoNueva Chicago359101625:34-937DLLLW
18Club Atlético GüemesClub Atlético Güemes35682126:60-3426LWLLL
#TeamMPGPts
1Tristan SuarezTristan Suarez3534:1663
2AtlantaAtlanta3542:3461
3TemperleyTemperley3541:2960
4Gimnasia JujuyGimnasia Jujuy3552:4458
5MidlandMidland3543:2954
6Gimnasia Y TiroGimnasia Y Tiro3537:3452
7Deportivo MaipuDeportivo Maipu3543:3451
8ColegialesColegiales3536:3251
9San Martin S.J.San Martin S.J.3537:3548
10San Martin TucumanSan Martin Tucuman3539:3746
11Atletico DE RafaelaAtletico DE Rafaela3529:3546
12AgropecuarioAgropecuario3529:3843
13QuilmesQuilmes3532:3042
14AlmagroAlmagro3532:4242
15Chacarita JuniorsChacarita Juniors3527:3539
16PatronatoPatronato3529:3537
17Nueva ChicagoNueva Chicago3525:3437
18Club Atlético GüemesClub Atlético Güemes3526:6026
PromotionRelegation

About the Atletico DE Rafaela vs Deportivo Maipu forecast

The forecasts for this Primera Nacional match are built from team Elo ratings, recent form, scoring data and the head-to-head record, and are updated as new data arrives before kickoff.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

Atletico DE Rafaela and Deportivo Maipu in the Primera Nacional table

In the Primera Nacional table, Deportivo Maipu are 7th and Atletico DE Rafaela 11th, 5 points apart. League goal record so far: Atletico DE Rafaela 29-35, Deportivo Maipu 43-34. The full standings are on the Primera Nacional Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

Some underlying data for this fixture is limited, which the model accounts for with a lower confidence rating.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.