Atlético Ottawa vs York United Prediction

TD Place Stadium 29/08/2026

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Partial
Match Importance
3.2 / 10
AI Best Pick
79%Trust
Double Chance
Home Win or Draw
1.20
SignalHIGHModel65%SurpriseMediumGap-3.9%
Value Analysis
60%Trust
1X2
Home Win
1.67
SignalSOLIDModel47%SurpriseMediumGap+7.4%
Atlético Ottawa Rest
6 days
York United Rest
5 days

Atlético Ottawa vs York United: result, form and history

Atlético Ottawa beat York United 2-1 in the Canadian Premier League on 29 Aug 2026. It was in line with recent form: Atlético Ottawa had won 3 of their previous five, compared with 1 for York United.

Their 10 previous meetings averaged 2.9 goals, with both teams scoring in 7 of them.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
61%1.67
X
23%4.00
2
16%3.90
Double Chance
1X
84%1.20
X2
39%2.05
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%1.44
No
45%2.50
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.89 + 1.03 = 2.92
Over 1.5
77%1.12
Over 2.5
58%1.44
Over 3.5
35%2.10
Under 1.5
23%5.40
Under 2.5
42%2.58
Under 3.5
65%1.66
Corners

Corner forecasts not available for this match

Cards

Card forecasts not available for this match

Match Events

5'S. YeatesAssist: L. Singh
18'F. SturingFoul
42'M. AparicioFoul
44'O. BassettFoul
46'J. Assi INS. Kozlovskiy out
57'A. AlmagroFoul
61'S. KozlovskiyFoul
64'T. Arnaud INJ. Castro out
64'D. Aguilar INJ. Coulanges out
69'S. Gonzales INM. Ferrari out
69'S. GonzalesUnsportsmanlike conduct
69'Gustavo LealUnsportsmanlike conduct
73'B. TablaAssist: G. Antinoro
78'J. CastroFoul
80'B. Badibanga INK. Clarke out
81'L. CloutierFoul
82'K. Habibullah INE. Garcia out
86'S. Yeates INL. Accettola out
90+8'N. Fleuriau ChateauAssist: R. Mbomio
90+9'N. Fleuriau ChateauUnsportsmanlike conduct
90+10'B. Tabla INR. Khoury out

Team Comparison

Atlético OttawaAtlético Ottawa
York UnitedYork United
1519Elo Rating 1399
1.48Attack 1.11
1.79Defense 0.00
59%Hit Rate 17%
8.0Shots per Game 11.5
3.2Shots on Target 3.2
5.7Corners per Game 4.5
2.3Cards per Game 2.8

AI Insights

🏠Strong Home Advantage+119 Elo
⚽High Goal Expectancy2.92 goals
📈BTTS Trend70% in H2H
📊Home Overperforming

Game State Tendencies

Atlético OttawaAtlético Ottawa
  • Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 50% of the time
  • Scores more in 2nd half (1.1 vs 0.4 in first half)
York UnitedYork United
  • Starts fast - scores more in 1st half (0.9 vs 0.2 in second half)
  • Concedes more in 1st half - tightens up after the break

Head to Head

Last 10 meetings, all competitions

Atlético OttawaAtlético Ottawa3Wins · 30%
Draws550%
York UnitedYork United2Wins · 20%
2.9Avg Goals
70%Both teams scored7 of 10
50%3+ goals5 of 10

Previous meetings

Canadian Premier League18/07/2026
Atlético OttawaYork United
11
Canadian Premier League02/05/2026
York UnitedAtlético Ottawa
41
Canadian Premier League14/09/2025
York UnitedAtlético Ottawa
22
Canadian Premier League03/08/2025
Atlético OttawaYork United
00
Canadian Championship09/07/2025
York UnitedAtlético Ottawa
34
Canadian Premier League22/06/2025
York UnitedAtlético Ottawa
00
Canadian Championship12/06/2025
Atlético OttawaYork United
21
Canadian Premier League19/04/2025
Atlético OttawaYork United
32
Canadian Premier League27/10/2024
Atlético OttawaYork United
5141
Canadian Premier League06/10/2024
York UnitedAtlético Ottawa
10

Recent Form

League Table

Canadian Premier League 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1Cavalry FCCavalry FC28186458:23+3560WWDLL
2ForgeForge28177449:22+2758DWWWD
3Atlético OttawaAtlético Ottawa281341142:45-343LLWWW
4Supra du QuebecSupra du Quebec281151247:50-338WWDWW
5Vancouver FCVancouver FC281071139:37+237LWDDD
6York UnitedYork United28791242:65-2330WLLLW
7HFX Wanderers FCHFX Wanderers FC28771444:50-628LLDDL
8Pacific FCPacific FC28291733:62-2915DLLLL
#TeamMPGPts
1Cavalry FCCavalry FC2858:2360
2ForgeForge2849:2258
3Atlético OttawaAtlético Ottawa2842:4543
4Supra du QuebecSupra du Quebec2847:5038
5Vancouver FCVancouver FC2839:3737
6York UnitedYork United2842:6530
7HFX Wanderers FCHFX Wanderers FC2844:5028
8Pacific FCPacific FC2833:6215

About the Atlético Ottawa vs York United forecast

Every forecast on this page comes from the same model inputs: team ratings, recent form, goals scored and conceded, and how these sides have fared against each other.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

Atlético Ottawa and York United in the Canadian Premier League table

In the Canadian Premier League table, Atlético Ottawa are 3rd and York United 6th, 13 points apart. League goal record so far: Atlético Ottawa 42-45, York United 42-65. The full standings are on the Canadian Premier League Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

Some underlying data for this fixture is limited, which the model accounts for with a lower confidence rating.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.