Aurora vs Nacional Potosí Prediction
Bolivia · Apertura - 21
Felix Capriles, Cochabamba 11/10/2026
AI Best Pick
Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.
Data Quality
Partial
Match Importance
3.2 / 10
AI Best Pick
73%Trust
Double Chance
Home Win or Draw
1.18
SignalGOODModel55%SurpriseMediumGap-11.8%
Aurora Rest
4 days
Nacional Potosí Rest
3 days
Aurora vs Nacional Potosí: the result in context
Aurora and Nacional Potosí drew 2-2 in the Primera División on 11 Oct 2026. The two went into the match with similar recent form.
Their 10 previous meetings averaged 2.9 goals, with both teams scoring in 6 of them.
Match Forecasts
Match Result
151%1.67
X22%3.81
227%4.14
Double Chance
1X73%1.18
X249%2.00
Both Teams to Score
Yes59%1.56
No41%2.23
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.59 + 1.38 = 2.97
Over 1.579%1.18
Over 2.558%1.57
Over 3.537%2.41
Under 1.521%4.33
Under 2.542%2.25
Under 3.563%1.49
Corners
Corner forecasts not available for this match
Cards
Card forecasts not available for this match
Match Events
16'Alan Miguel Terrazas Castro(Penalty)
21'P. AzogueFoul
36'P. AzogueAssist: A. Torrico
45'Ivan Huayhuata INI. Vidaurre out
45'Ronaldo Sánchez INErwin Junior Sanchez out
45'Michael Rangel INHarrison Mojica out
45+9'Penalty confirmedWilson Álvarez
45+11'M. Tomianovic(Penalty)
45+14'leandro barroDissent
59'Alan Miguel Terrazas Castro INHenry Vaca out
61'Schneider Peña Vaca INWeslen Junior out
69'Óscar Damián VillalbaDissent
69'Rodrigo Ramallo
73'Weslen JuniorFoul
75'Harrison MojicaFoul
79'Jair TorricoFoul
82'D. Hoyos INOscar Baldomar out
82'Weslen Junior INTommy Tobar out
89'Maximiliano Núñez INjuan orellana out
89'M. Tomianovic INJuan Batista out
89'Harrison Mojica INMoisés Eduardo Velazco Gomez out
90+4'Juan BatistaFoul
Lineups
AuroraNacional Potosí
4-4-2Coach: Dailer GutiérrezAvg ratingAvg rating
12R. Cordano
16D. Barro
23I. Huayhuata
22J. Velázquez
70J. Torrico
5A. Amarilla
69A. Terrazas
14H. Sánchez
10R. Ramallo88L. Viviani
9M. Rangel
23P. Galindo
34K. Medina
5S. Alvarez
33L. Demiquel
16A. Torrico
10M. Núñez
18P. Azogue
22D. Hoyos
28S. Peña
19W. Álvarez
11M. TomianovicAurora Substitutes
18S. Rojas
32S. Altamirano
11H. Mojica45'for Michael Rangel75'89'for Moisés Eduardo Velazco Gomez
21M. Ortiz
20A. Pacheco
25Alvaro Rios
19J. Sánchez45'for Ronaldo Sánchez
1J. Terrazas
7H. Vaca59'for Alan Miguel Terrazas Castro
90Moisés Eduardo Velazco Gomez89'replaced by Harrison Mojica
4I. Vidaurre45'for Ivan Huayhuata
26D. Villca
Nacional Potosí Substitutes
27C. Abastoflor
1E. Arauz
15Jhojan Fenando Arce Pari
21Ó. Baldomar82'for D. Hoyos
14Juan Batista89'for M. Tomianovic90+4'
29Weslen Júnior61'for Schneider Peña Vaca73'82'for Tommy Tobar
30Y. Martínez
25J. Orellana89'for Maximiliano Núñez
7M. Solís
9T. Tobar82'replaced by Weslen Junior
99D. Villalba69'
2Rodrigo Fabián Ávila Sóliz
Match Stats
AuroraNacional Potosí 58%Ball Possession42%
12Corner Kicks4
3Yellow Cards4
31Total Shots19
7Shots on Goal8
12Shots off Goal5
20Shots Inside Box14
11Shots Outside Box5
12Blocked Shots6
8Fouls14
6Offsides0
6Goalkeeper Saves5
390Total Passes280
316Passes Accurate221
12Free Kicks7
Team Comparison
AuroraNacional Potosí1496Elo Rating 1555
0.78Attack 2.02
1.50Defense 1.50
23%Hit Rate 41%
14.2Shots per Game 22.4
4.1Shots on Target 7.5
5.8Corners per Game 6.9
3.3Cards per Game 2.2
AI Insights
⚽High Goal Expectancy2.97 goals
📈BTTS Trend60% in H2H
📉Home Underperforming
Game State Tendencies
Aurora- Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 50% of the time
- Concedes more in 1st half - tightens up after the break
Nacional Potosí- Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
- Scores more in 2nd half (1.4 vs 0.6 in first half)
Head to Head
Last 10 meetings, all competitions
Aurora3Wins · 30%Draws220%
Nacional Potosí5Wins · 50%
5Wins · 50%2.9Avg Goals
60%Both teams scored6 of 10
50%3+ goals5 of 10
Previous meetings
10/07/2026Nacional PotosíAurora20
27/09/2025AuroraNacional Potosí12
17/05/2025Nacional PotosíAurora31
18/12/2024AuroraNacional Potosí11
14/09/2024Nacional PotosíAurora13
12/03/2024AuroraNacional Potosí41
03/03/2024Nacional PotosíAurora10
22/07/2023Nacional PotosíAurora00
20/02/2023AuroraNacional Potosí20
10/09/2022AuroraNacional Potosí15
Recent Form
Aurora6W3D1L
07/10/2026Aurora
ABB
03/10/2026AuroraABB20
W
Real PotosíAurora11
D30/09/2026Aurora
San Antonio Bulo Bulo
AuroraSan Antonio Bulo Bulo22
D25/09/2026ABBAurora
19/09/2026ABBAurora01
WAurora
Universitario de Vinto42
W16/09/2026
GuabiráAurora
GuabiráAurora31
L12/09/2026San Antonio Bulo BuloAurora
San Antonio Bulo BuloAurora02
W09/09/2026AuroraReal Potosí
AuroraReal Potosí10
W05/09/2026Aurora
Gualberto Villarroel SJ
AuroraGualberto Villarroel SJ30
W02/09/2026Universitario de VintoAurora
Universitario de VintoAurora11
DNacional Potosí6W2D2L
08/10/2026
Always ReadyNacional Potosí
03/10/2026Always ReadyNacional Potosí23
WNacional Potosí
Real Oruro20
W01/10/2026
Real TomayapoNacional Potosí
Real TomayapoNacional Potosí11
D26/09/2026Nacional PotosíAlways Ready
Nacional PotosíAlways Ready90
W23/09/2026Nacional PotosíReal Potosí
Nacional PotosíReal Potosí01
L20/09/2026Real PotosíNacional Potosí
Real PotosíNacional Potosí22
D17/09/2026Nacional PotosíAlways Ready
Nacional PotosíAlways Ready04
L12/09/2026Gualberto Villarroel SJNacional Potosí
Gualberto Villarroel SJNacional Potosí03
W09/09/2026Real OruroNacional Potosí
Real OruroNacional Potosí02
W07/09/2026Nacional Potosí
Blooming
Nacional PotosíBlooming21
WLeague Table
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Bolívar | 24 | 18 | 3 | 3 | 60:24 | +36 | 57 | WWWWW |
| 2 | Always Ready | 24 | 16 | 6 | 2 | 58:17 | +41 | 54 | WWLWW |
| 3 |  The Strongest | 24 | 14 | 6 | 4 | 46:28 | +18 | 48 | WLWLW |
| 4 | Real Potosí | 24 | 10 | 9 | 5 | 31:17 | +14 | 39 | DLWWW |
| 5 |  Oriente Petrolero | 24 | 11 | 5 | 8 | 41:30 | +11 | 38 | DWDWW |
| 6 | Aurora | 24 | 8 | 11 | 5 | 35:31 | +4 | 35 | DWLDL |
| 7 | Nacional Potosí | 24 | 9 | 5 | 10 | 36:32 | +4 | 32 | DWLDL |
| 8 |  Independiente Petrolero | 24 | 8 | 6 | 10 | 32:40 | -8 | 30 | DWDLL |
| 9 | Guabirá | 24 | 8 | 6 | 10 | 35:49 | -14 | 30 | LLDLW |
| 10 | Blooming | 23 | 6 | 10 | 7 | 31:25 | +6 | 28 | LDLDW |
| 11 | Real Oruro | 24 | 8 | 4 | 12 | 38:57 | -19 | 28 | DLWWL |
| 12 | San Antonio Bulo Bulo | 24 | 8 | 3 | 13 | 27:45 | -18 | 27 | WWLDW |
| 13 | Universitario de Vinto | 24 | 6 | 3 | 15 | 31:48 | -17 | 21 | LLWLD |
| 14 | Gualberto Villarroel SJ | 24 | 4 | 8 | 12 | 29:44 | -15 | 20 | LWLWL |
| 15 | ABB | 24 | 6 | 2 | 16 | 35:54 | -19 | 20 | LLLLL |
| 16 | Real Tomayapo | 23 | 5 | 5 | 13 | 16:40 | -24 | 20 | LWDLL |
| # | Team | MP | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Bolívar | 24 | 60:24 | 57 |
| 2 | Always Ready | 24 | 58:17 | 54 |
| 3 | The Strongest | 24 | 46:28 | 48 |
| 4 | Real Potosí | 24 | 31:17 | 39 |
| 5 | Oriente Petrolero | 24 | 41:30 | 38 |
| 6 | Aurora | 24 | 35:31 | 35 |
| 7 | Nacional Potosí | 24 | 36:32 | 32 |
| 8 | Independiente Petrolero | 24 | 32:40 | 30 |
| 9 | Guabirá | 24 | 35:49 | 30 |
| 10 | Blooming | 23 | 31:25 | 28 |
| 11 | Real Oruro | 24 | 38:57 | 28 |
| 12 | San Antonio Bulo Bulo | 24 | 27:45 | 27 |
| 13 | Universitario de Vinto | 24 | 31:48 | 21 |
| 14 | Gualberto Villarroel SJ | 24 | 29:44 | 20 |
| 15 | ABB | 24 | 35:54 | 20 |
| 16 | Real Tomayapo | 23 | 16:40 | 20 |
Explore more predictions
This match
More Primera División matches
- Real Tomayapo vs Oriente Petrolero 18/09/26
- San Antonio Bulo Bulo vs Real Tomayapo 09/10/26
- Universitario de Vinto vs Real Oruro 10/10/26
- Oriente Petrolero vs ABB 11/10/26
- Gualberto Villarroel SJ vs Guabirá 12/10/26
- Real Tomayapo vs Gualberto Villarroel SJ 17/10/26
- Real Oruro vs Aurora 17/10/26
- Universitario de Vinto vs San Antonio Bulo Bulo 17/10/26
About the Aurora vs Nacional Potosí forecast
The forecasts for this Primera División match are built from team Elo ratings, recent form, scoring data and the head-to-head record, and are updated as new data arrives before kickoff.
How to Read These Forecasts
Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.
Aurora and Nacional Potosí in the Primera División table
Aurora and Nacional Potosí are close in the Primera División table, 6th and 7th, with 3 points between them. League goal record so far: Aurora 35-31, Nacional Potosí 36-32. The full standings are on the Primera División Table 2026 page.
Key Factors for This Match
Some underlying data for this fixture is limited, which the model accounts for with a lower confidence rating.
All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.