Aurora vs Oriente Petrolero Prediction

Aurora
2-2
Finished
HT 1-1
Oriente Petrolero
19/07/2026

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
3.2 / 10
AI Best Pick
63%Trust
1X2
Home Win
1.47
SignalSOLIDModel63%SurpriseMediumGap-4.8%
Value Analysis
65%Trust
Goals O/U
Under 3.5 Goals
1.68
SignalSOLIDModel52%SurpriseMediumGap+9.9%
Aurora Rest
9 days
Oriente Petrolero Rest
3 days

Aurora vs Oriente Petrolero: the result in context

Aurora and Oriente Petrolero drew 2-2 in the Primera División on 19 Jul 2026. Aurora had gone in with the better form, having won 3 of their previous five against 1 for Oriente Petrolero.

Oriente Petrolero have had the better of this fixture, winning 6 of the 10 previous meetings, which averaged 3.3 goals a game. Aurora tend to win more corners, 5.8 a game to 2.7 for Oriente Petrolero.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
63%1.47
X
21%4.40
2
16%5.30
Double Chance
1X
84%1.12
X2
37%2.45
Both Teams to Score
Yes
59%1.51
No
41%2.32
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.92 + 1.1 = 3.02
Over 1.5
82%1.10
Over 2.5
60%1.41
Over 3.5
36%2.06
Under 1.5
18%5.65
Under 2.5
40%2.67
Under 3.5
64%1.68
Corners

Corner forecasts not available for this match

Cards

Card forecasts not available for this match

Team Comparison

AuroraAurora
Oriente PetroleroOriente Petrolero
1496Elo Rating 1518
0.78Attack 1.62
1.50Defense 1.95
23%Hit Rate 56%
14.2Shots per Game 13.3
4.1Shots on Target 4.8
5.8Corners per Game 2.7
3.3Cards per Game 2.3

AI Insights

⚽High Goal Expectancy3.02 goals
📈BTTS Trend60% in H2H
📉Home Underperforming

Game State Tendencies

AuroraAurora
  • Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 50% of the time
  • Concedes more in 1st half - tightens up after the break
Oriente PetroleroOriente Petrolero
  • Leads at half-time in 80% of matches
  • Starts fast - scores more in 1st half (1.1 vs 0.6 in second half)
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late

Head to Head

Last 10 meetings, all competitions

AuroraAurora2Wins · 20%
Draws220%
Oriente PetroleroOriente Petrolero6Wins · 60%
3.3Avg Goals
60%Both teams scored6 of 10
70%3+ goals7 of 10

Previous meetings

Primera División04/08/2025
Oriente PetroleroAurora
30
Primera División30/03/2025
AuroraOriente Petrolero
51
Primera División25/09/2024
Oriente PetroleroAurora
50
Primera División12/05/2024
AuroraOriente Petrolero
31
Primera División13/11/2023
Oriente PetroleroAurora
10
Primera División15/05/2023
AuroraOriente Petrolero
22
Primera División06/09/2022
Oriente PetroleroAurora
21
Primera División21/04/2022
AuroraOriente Petrolero
11
Primera División12/02/2022
Oriente PetroleroAurora
20
Primera División20/11/2021
AuroraOriente Petrolero
12

Recent Form

AuroraAurora
4W4D2L
10/07/2026
Nacional PotosíAurora
20
L
02/06/2026
Universitario de VintoAurora
12
W
16/05/2026
Real TomayapoAurora
02
W
13/05/2026
AuroraReal Oruro
11
D
02/05/2026
AuroraGuabirá
42
W
28/04/2026
AuroraSan Antonio Bulo Bulo
31
W
22/04/2026
Gualberto Villarroel SJAurora
11
D
12/04/2026
AuroraAlways Ready
11
D
04/04/2026
Real PotosíAurora
00
D
02/03/2026
Always ReadyAurora
31
L
Oriente PetroleroOriente Petrolero
4W1D5L
16/07/2026
The StrongestOriente Petrolero
21
L
31/05/2026
Oriente PetroleroBlooming
01
L
15/05/2026
Oriente PetroleroGuabirá
22
D
11/05/2026
ABBOriente Petrolero
31
L
03/05/2026
Oriente PetroleroReal Tomayapo
31
W
27/04/2026
Oriente PetroleroReal Potosí
20
W
22/04/2026
Always ReadyOriente Petrolero
10
L
13/04/2026
Oriente PetroleroGualberto Villarroel SJ
21
W
05/04/2026
San Antonio Bulo BuloOriente Petrolero
20
L
08/02/2026
BloomingOriente Petrolero
23
W

League Table

Primera División 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1BolívarBolívar24183360:24+3657WWWWW
2Always ReadyAlways Ready23156255:16+3951WLWWW
3The StrongestThe Strongest24146446:28+1848WLWLW
4Real PotosíReal Potosí24109531:17+1439DLWWW
5Oriente PetroleroOriente Petrolero24115841:30+1138DWDWW
6AuroraAurora24811535:31+435DWLDL
7Nacional PotosíNacional Potosí24951036:32+432DWLDL
8Independiente PetroleroIndependiente Petrolero24861032:40-830DWDLL
9GuabiráGuabirá24861035:49-1430LLDLW
10BloomingBlooming23610731:25+628LDLDW
11Real OruroReal Oruro24841238:57-1928DLWWL
12San Antonio Bulo BuloSan Antonio Bulo Bulo24831327:45-1827WWLDW
13Universitario de VintoUniversitario de Vinto23631430:45-1521LWLDW
14Gualberto Villarroel SJGualberto Villarroel SJ24481229:44-1520LWLWL
15ABBABB24621635:54-1920LLLLL
16Real TomayapoReal Tomayapo23551316:40-2420LWDLL
#TeamMPGPts
1BolívarBolívar2460:2457
2Always ReadyAlways Ready2355:1651
3The StrongestThe Strongest2446:2848
4Real PotosíReal Potosí2431:1739
5Oriente PetroleroOriente Petrolero2441:3038
6AuroraAurora2435:3135
7Nacional PotosíNacional Potosí2436:3232
8Independiente PetroleroIndependiente Petrolero2432:4030
9GuabiráGuabirá2435:4930
10BloomingBlooming2331:2528
11Real OruroReal Oruro2438:5728
12San Antonio Bulo BuloSan Antonio Bulo Bulo2427:4527
13Universitario de VintoUniversitario de Vinto2330:4521
14Gualberto Villarroel SJGualberto Villarroel SJ2429:4420
15ABBABB2435:5420
16Real TomayapoReal Tomayapo2316:4020

About the Aurora vs Oriente Petrolero forecast

The forecasts for this Primera División match are built from team Elo ratings, recent form, scoring data and the head-to-head record, and are updated as new data arrives before kickoff.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

Aurora and Oriente Petrolero in the Primera División table

Oriente Petrolero and Aurora are close in the Primera División table, 5th and 6th, with 3 points between them. League goal record so far: Aurora 35-31, Oriente Petrolero 41-30. The full standings are on the Primera División Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

Oriente Petrolero have led at half-time in 80% of their recent matches. This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.