Avondale vs Dandenong Thunder Prediction

Avondale
11-0
Finished
HT 3-0
Dandenong Thunder
Avenger park, Melbourne 20/06/2026

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Partial
Match Importance
3.2 / 10
AI Best Pick
78%Trust
1X2
Home Win
1.30
SignalHIGHModel100%SurpriseMediumGap+0.9%
Avondale Rest
14 days
Dandenong Thunder Rest
13 days

Avondale vs Dandenong Thunder: the result in context

Avondale beat Dandenong Thunder 11-0 in the Victoria NPL on 20 Jun 2026. It was in line with recent form: Avondale had won 4 of their previous five, compared with none for Dandenong Thunder.

Avondale have had the better of this fixture, winning 6 of the 10 previous meetings, which averaged 3.4 goals a game.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
78%1.30
X
12%5.00
2
10%7.00
Double Chance
1X
90%1.06
X2
22%3.17
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%1.65
No
49%2.10
Goals
Projected Goals: 2.79 + 0.84 = 3.63
Over 1.5
89%1.11
Over 2.5
71%1.40
Over 3.5
52%1.97
Under 1.5
11%5.80
Under 2.5
29%2.72
Under 3.5
48%1.73
Corners

Corner forecasts not available for this match

Cards

Card forecasts not available for this match

Match Events

23'B. Fornaroli
25'J. Wiseman
32'B. Fornaroli
45+1'K. Trajceski
47'G. Ott
52'P. Flottmann
56'B. Fornaroli
60'B. Carpenter
63'E. Wellsmore
68'G. Ott
71'B. Fornaroli
83'G. Ott

Team Comparison

AvondaleAvondale
Dandenong ThunderDandenong Thunder
1602Elo Rating 1327
1.51Attack 0.00
1.67Defense 0.00
31%Hit Rate 0%

AI Insights

🏠Strong Home Advantage+275 Elo
⚽High Goal Expectancy3.63 goals
📈BTTS Trend70% in H2H

Game State Tendencies

AvondaleAvondale
  • Tied at half-time in 60% of matches
  • Starts fast - scores more in 1st half (0.9 vs 0.6 in second half)
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late
Dandenong ThunderDandenong Thunder
  • No tendency data available

Head to Head

Last 10 meetings, all competitions

AvondaleAvondale6Wins · 60%
Draws110%
Dandenong ThunderDandenong Thunder3Wins · 30%
3.4Avg Goals
70%Both teams scored7 of 10
70%3+ goals7 of 10

Previous meetings

Victoria NPL07/03/2026
Dandenong ThunderAvondale
01
Victoria NPL28/06/2025
AvondaleDandenong Thunder
11
Victoria NPL22/03/2025
Dandenong ThunderAvondale
21
Victoria NPL20/07/2024
AvondaleDandenong Thunder
21
Victoria NPL20/04/2024
Dandenong ThunderAvondale
08
Victoria NPL08/07/2023
AvondaleDandenong Thunder
51
Victoria NPL08/04/2023
Dandenong ThunderAvondale
13
Victoria NPL02/07/2022
AvondaleDandenong Thunder
01
Victoria NPL02/04/2022
Dandenong ThunderAvondale
21
Victoria NPL24/04/2021
AvondaleDandenong Thunder
21

Recent Form

AvondaleAvondale
7W1D2L
05/06/2026
Green GullyAvondale
02
W
30/05/2026
AvondaleBentleigh Greens
40
W
25/05/2026
South MelbourneAvondale
04
W
16/05/2026
Hume CityAvondale
30
L
09/05/2026
AvondaleAltona Magic
51
W
02/05/2026
AvondaleSunshine Georgies
52
W
24/04/2026
Heidelberg UnitedAvondale
21
L
18/04/2026
AvondaleMelbourne City II
31
W
10/04/2026
St. Albans SaintsAvondale
23
W
28/03/2026
AvondaleOakleigh Cannons
11
D
Dandenong ThunderDandenong Thunder
2W2D6L
06/06/2026
Dandenong ThunderSunshine Georgies
23
L
29/05/2026
Heidelberg UnitedDandenong Thunder
42
L
24/05/2026
Melbourne City IIDandenong Thunder
20
L
16/05/2026
Dandenong ThunderSt. Albans Saints
22
D
08/05/2026
Oakleigh CannonsDandenong Thunder
20
L
02/05/2026
Dandenong ThunderPreston Lions
01
L
24/04/2026
Dandenong CityDandenong Thunder
01
W
18/04/2026
Altona MagicDandenong Thunder
24
W
11/04/2026
Dandenong ThunderGreen Gully
11
D
27/03/2026
Bentleigh GreensDandenong Thunder
21
L

League Table

Victoria NPL 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1Oakleigh CannonsOakleigh Cannons26166456:24+3254LWWDL
2Preston LionsPreston Lions26156541:19+2251DDWDW
3Hume CityHume City26154751:36+1549LWWWL
4AvondaleAvondale26152965:34+3147WWLWW
5South MelbourneSouth Melbourne261321139:36+341LLWWW
6Heidelberg UnitedHeidelberg United26117842:34+840WWLLD
7Sunshine GeorgiesSunshine Georgies26911635:34+138WLWDD
8Dandenong CityDandenong City26107935:31+437WDWWD
9St. Albans SaintsSt. Albans Saints26971036:43-734WWDLW
10Melbourne City IIMelbourne City II26861242:42030LLLLL
11Altona MagicAltona Magic26771228:42-1428DLLDW
12Bentleigh GreensBentleigh Greens26661427:51-2424LWDDL
13Green GullyGreen Gully26461623:52-2918WLLDD
14Dandenong ThunderDandenong Thunder26431923:65-4215LLLLL
#TeamMPGPts
1Oakleigh CannonsOakleigh Cannons2656:2454
2Preston LionsPreston Lions2641:1951
3Hume CityHume City2651:3649
4AvondaleAvondale2665:3447
5South MelbourneSouth Melbourne2639:3641
6Heidelberg UnitedHeidelberg United2642:3440
7Sunshine GeorgiesSunshine Georgies2635:3438
8Dandenong CityDandenong City2635:3137
9St. Albans SaintsSt. Albans Saints2636:4334
10Melbourne City IIMelbourne City II2642:4230
11Altona MagicAltona Magic2628:4228
12Bentleigh GreensBentleigh Greens2627:5124
13Green GullyGreen Gully2623:5218
14Dandenong ThunderDandenong Thunder2623:6515

About the Avondale vs Dandenong Thunder forecast

The forecasts for this Victoria NPL match are built from team Elo ratings, recent form, scoring data and the head-to-head record, and are updated as new data arrives before kickoff.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

Avondale and Dandenong Thunder in the Victoria NPL table

The table shows a wide gap: Avondale are 4th in the Victoria NPL, while Dandenong Thunder sit 14th, 32 points behind. League goal record so far: Avondale 65-34, Dandenong Thunder 23-65. The full standings are on the Victoria NPL Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

Some underlying data for this fixture is limited, which the model accounts for with a lower confidence rating.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.