BFA vs Hegelmann II Prediction

BFA
0-1
Finished
HT 0-0
Hegelmann II
Sirvintu stadionas, Sirvintos 20/06/2026
BFABFA
0-1
Finished
Hegelmann IIHegelmann II

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Partial
Match Importance
3.2 / 10
AI Best Pick
73%Trust
1X2
Home Win
1.35
SignalGOODModel100%SurpriseMediumGap-1.3%
Value Analysis
72%Trust
Goals O/U
Over 2.5 Goals
1.44
SignalGOODModel72%SurpriseMediumGap+8.9%
BFA Rest
7 days
Hegelmann II Rest
8 days

BFA vs Hegelmann II: the result in context

Hegelmann II beat BFA 1-0 in the 1 Lyga on 20 Jun 2026. That went against recent form: BFA had won 3 of their previous five, compared with none for Hegelmann II.

BFA have had the better of this fixture, winning 3 of the 4 previous meetings, which averaged 2.8 goals a game.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
73%1.35
X
15%4.60
2
12%6.42
Double Chance
1X
88%1.06
X2
27%2.79
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%1.65
No
49%2.05
Goals
Projected Goals: 2.72 + 0.99 = 3.71
Over 1.5
90%1.13
Over 2.5
72%1.44
Over 3.5
52%2.10
Under 1.5
10%5.00
Under 2.5
28%2.50
Under 3.5
48%1.61
Corners

Corner forecasts not available for this match

Cards

Card forecasts not available for this match

Match Events

63'

Team Comparison

BFABFA
Hegelmann IIHegelmann II
1522Elo Rating 1334
1.32Attack 1.25
1.21Defense 0.28
41%Hit Rate 19%

AI Insights

🏠Strong Home Advantage+188 Elo
⚽High Goal Expectancy3.72 goals
📈BTTS Trend50% in H2H

Game State Tendencies

BFABFA
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
  • Starts fast - scores more in 1st half (1.1 vs 0.3 in second half)
  • Concedes more in 1st half - tightens up after the break
Hegelmann IIHegelmann II
  • Scores more in 2nd half (0.8 vs 0.5 in first half)
  • Concedes more in 1st half - tightens up after the break

Head to Head

Last 4 meetings, all competitions

BFABFA3Wins · 75%
Draws00%
Hegelmann IIHegelmann II1Wins · 25%
2.8Avg Goals
50%Both teams scored2 of 4
50%3+ goals2 of 4

Previous meetings

1 Lyga09/08/2025
BFAHegelmann II
10
1 Lyga04/04/2025
Hegelmann IIBFA
12
1 Lyga28/09/2024
BFAHegelmann II
32
1 Lyga13/05/2024
Hegelmann IIBFA
20

Recent Form

BFABFA
6W0D4L
13/06/2026
MinijaBFA
30
L
30/05/2026
BFAJonava
10
W
22/05/2026
Žalgiris IIBFA
34
W
19/05/2026
BFAGarliava
21
W
16/05/2026
BFAAtmosfera
05
L
09/05/2026
BFAGarliava
12
L
01/05/2026
BabrungasBFA
40
L
28/04/2026
BFABabrungas
10
W
25/04/2026
BFATauras
31
W
17/04/2026
Neptūną KlaipėdaBFA
13
W
Hegelmann IIHegelmann II
2W1D7L
12/06/2026
Hegelmann IIBabrungas
01
L
30/05/2026
TaurasHegelmann II
61
L
22/05/2026
Hegelmann IINeptūną Klaipėda
23
L
15/05/2026
DainavaHegelmann II
32
L
11/05/2026
Hegelmann IITransinvest 2
12
L
03/05/2026
FA Šiauliai IIHegelmann II
20
L
24/04/2026
Hegelmann IIKauno Žalgiris II
20
W
18/04/2026
EkranasHegelmann II
13
W
05/04/2026
Hegelmann IIBe1 NFA
03
L
21/03/2026
GarliavaHegelmann II
11
D

League Table

1 Lyga 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1BabrungasBabrungas29225253:14+3971DWWWW
2MinijaMinija27221471:18+5367LLWWW
3Be1 NFABe1 NFA28184650:29+2158DWWDW
4Žalgiris IIŽalgiris II29155946:38+850DWLWL
5TaurasTauras28145950:38+1247WLDWL
6BFABFA281441042:41+146WLLDW
7DainavaDainava28128840:29+1144LWDLW
8Neptūną KlaipėdaNeptūną Klaipėda291421333:37-444LLLLL
9AtmosferaAtmosfera271071043:35+837WWDDL
10JonavaJonava29871433:40-731DLWLL
11GarliavaGarliava28851532:35-329LWDWL
12Kauno Žalgiris IIKauno Žalgiris II29921829:48-1929WWLDL
13Transinvest 2Transinvest 228841635:61-2628WWDLW
14Hegelmann IIHegelmann II28821835:64-2926LDWLL
15FA Šiauliai IIFA Šiauliai II28461834:65-3118LLDWL
16EkranasEkranas29532130:64-3418LWLDL
#TeamMPGPts
1BabrungasBabrungas2953:1471
2MinijaMinija2771:1867
3Be1 NFABe1 NFA2850:2958
4Žalgiris IIŽalgiris II2946:3850
5TaurasTauras2850:3847
6BFABFA2842:4146
7DainavaDainava2840:2944
8Neptūną KlaipėdaNeptūną Klaipėda2933:3744
9AtmosferaAtmosfera2743:3537
10JonavaJonava2933:4031
11GarliavaGarliava2832:3529
12Kauno Žalgiris IIKauno Žalgiris II2929:4829
13Transinvest 2Transinvest 22835:6128
14Hegelmann IIHegelmann II2835:6426
15FA Šiauliai IIFA Šiauliai II2834:6518
16EkranasEkranas2930:6418

About the BFA vs Hegelmann II forecast

The forecasts for this 1 Lyga match are built from team Elo ratings, recent form, scoring data and the head-to-head record, and are updated as new data arrives before kickoff.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

BFA and Hegelmann II in the 1 Lyga table

In the 1 Lyga table, BFA are 6th and Hegelmann II 14th, 20 points apart. League goal record so far: BFA 42-41, Hegelmann II 35-64. The full standings are on the 1 Lyga Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

Some underlying data for this fixture is limited, which the model accounts for with a lower confidence rating.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.