Buxton vs Brackley Town Prediction

Buxton
5-0
Finished
HT 1-0
Brackley Town
The Silverlands, Buxton 08/09/2026

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Partial
Match Importance
3.2 / 10
Value Analysis
68%Trust
1X2
Home Win
1.63
SignalGOODModel68%SurpriseHighGap+8.7%
Buxton Rest
3 days
Brackley Town Rest
3 days

Buxton vs Brackley Town: the result in context

Buxton beat Brackley Town 5-0 in the National League - North on 8 Sep 2026. The two went into the match with similar recent form.

Their history points to a close game: 6 previous meetings produced 2.0 goals a game.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
67%1.63
X
20%3.85
2
13%4.25
Double Chance
1X
87%1.15
X2
33%2.07
Both Teams to Score

Both teams to score forecasts not available for this match

Goals

Goal forecasts not available for this match

Corners

Corner forecasts not available for this match

Cards

Card forecasts not available for this match

Match Events

7'S. Tuntulwana
58'K. Scales
77'S. Tuntulwana
85'A. Mee
90'M. Woltman

Team Comparison

BuxtonBuxton
Brackley TownBrackley Town
1585Elo Rating 1431
1.89Attack 1.26
1.70Defense 1.20
50%Hit Rate 17%

AI Insights

🏠Strong Home Advantage+154 Elo
📈BTTS Trend33% in H2H
⚠️Home Rotation Risk60%
⚠️Away Rotation Risk60%

Game State Tendencies

BuxtonBuxton
  • Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 33% of the time
  • Scores more in 2nd half (1.2 vs 0.7 in first half)
  • Concedes more in 1st half - tightens up after the break
Brackley TownBrackley Town
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
  • Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 33% of the time
  • Scores more in 2nd half (0.9 vs 0.4 in first half)
  • Concedes more in 1st half - tightens up after the break

Head to Head

Last 6 meetings, all competitions

BuxtonBuxton2Wins · 33%
Draws117%
Brackley TownBrackley Town3Wins · 50%
2.0Avg Goals
33%Both teams scored2 of 6
33%3+ goals2 of 6

Previous meetings

National League - North15/03/2025
Brackley TownBuxton
01
National League - North12/11/2024
BuxtonBrackley Town
02
National League - North27/01/2024
BuxtonBrackley Town
00
National League - North12/08/2023
Brackley TownBuxton
21
National League - North22/04/2023
BuxtonBrackley Town
31
National League - North22/10/2022
Brackley TownBuxton
20

Recent Form

BuxtonBuxton
6W1D3L
05/09/2026
MorecambeBuxton
40
L
31/08/2026
BuxtonMerthyr Town
21
W
28/08/2026
Oxford CityBuxton
23
W
22/08/2026
BuxtonHebburn Town
12
L
18/08/2026
Bedford TownBuxton
21
L
15/08/2026
SouthportBuxton
11
D
08/08/2026
BuxtonHereford
21
W
01/08/2026
Warrington TownBuxton
12
W
21/07/2026
BuxtonScunthorpe
20
W
10/07/2026
BuxtonAshton United
10
W
Brackley TownBrackley Town
4W2D4L
05/09/2026
Brackley TownHarborough Town
10
W
31/08/2026
ChorleyBrackley Town
22
D
22/08/2026
MacclesfieldBrackley Town
21
L
18/08/2026
Brackley TownKing's Lynn Town
02
L
15/08/2026
Brackley TownHebburn Town
11
D
08/08/2026
AFC Telford UnitedBrackley Town
12
W
01/08/2026
Brackley TownMaidenhead
10
W
21/07/2026
Stratford TownBrackley Town
10
L
25/04/2026
CarlisleBrackley Town
30
L
18/04/2026
Brackley TownAldershot Town
21
W

League Table

National League - North 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1Oxford CityOxford City1383225:8+1727WDWDW
2HerefordHereford1382324:8+1626LWLDW
3South ShieldsSouth Shields1382322:18+426WWLLW
4MacclesfieldMacclesfield1273218:11+724LWWDD
5ChesterChester1372417:13+423WLWWL
6BuxtonBuxton1472526:23+323WWDLL
7Bedford TownBedford Town1371517:16+122WWLDL
8Hednesford TownHednesford Town1463523:20+321LWWWW
9King's Lynn TownKing's Lynn Town1463522:21+121LDDWW
10MorecambeMorecambe1362519:12+720WWLDW
11ChorleyChorley1362523:21+220WLWWL
12Worksop TownWorksop Town1462620:20020WDDWL
13Hebburn TownHebburn Town1354418:23-519DLLDW
14Spalding UnitedSpalding United1353516:13+318DLLLW
15MarineMarine1351715:15016LDWWW
16Harborough TownHarborough Town1344512:16-416LDWLD
17AFC Telford UnitedAFC Telford United1444614:20-616WDWLL
18Brackley TownBrackley Town1444617:26-916DLLWW
19Scarborough AthleticScarborough Athletic1343619:18+115LWLDD
20Merthyr TownMerthyr Town1436515:19-415LLDDL
21RadcliffeRadcliffe1450916:24-815LWWWL
22Darlington 1883Darlington 18831432917:25-811LWLDD
23SouthportSouthport1324713:23-1010DLLDL
24Spennymoor TownSpennymoor Town1314812:27-157LLLDD
#TeamMPGPts
1Oxford CityOxford City1325:827
2HerefordHereford1324:826
3South ShieldsSouth Shields1322:1826
4MacclesfieldMacclesfield1218:1124
5ChesterChester1317:1323
6BuxtonBuxton1426:2323
7Bedford TownBedford Town1317:1622
8Hednesford TownHednesford Town1423:2021
9King's Lynn TownKing's Lynn Town1422:2121
10MorecambeMorecambe1319:1220
11ChorleyChorley1323:2120
12Worksop TownWorksop Town1420:2020
13Hebburn TownHebburn Town1318:2319
14Spalding UnitedSpalding United1316:1318
15MarineMarine1315:1516
16Harborough TownHarborough Town1312:1616
17AFC Telford UnitedAFC Telford United1414:2016
18Brackley TownBrackley Town1417:2616
19Scarborough AthleticScarborough Athletic1319:1815
20Merthyr TownMerthyr Town1415:1915
21RadcliffeRadcliffe1416:2415
22Darlington 1883Darlington 18831417:2511
23SouthportSouthport1313:2310
24Spennymoor TownSpennymoor Town1312:277
PromotionRelegation

About the Buxton vs Brackley Town forecast

The forecasts for this National League - North match are built from team Elo ratings, recent form, scoring data and the head-to-head record, and are updated as new data arrives before kickoff.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

Buxton and Brackley Town in the National League - North table

In the National League - North table, Buxton are 6th and Brackley Town 18th, 7 points apart. League goal record so far: Buxton 26-23, Brackley Town 17-26. The full standings are on the National League - North Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

Some underlying data for this fixture is limited, which the model accounts for with a lower confidence rating.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.