Capital Brasilia vs Aparecidense Prediction

27/06/2026

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Partial
Match Importance
3.7 / 10
AI Best Pick
66%Trust
1X2
Home Win
1.64
SignalSOLIDModel94%SurpriseMediumGap+4.7%
Value Analysis
66%Trust
1X2
Home Win
1.64
SignalGOODModel68%SurpriseMediumGap+10.9%
Capital Brasilia Rest
7 days
Aparecidense Rest
7 days

Capital Brasilia vs Aparecidense: the result in context

Capital Brasilia beat Aparecidense 4-0 in the Serie D on 27 Jun 2026. It was in line with recent form: Capital Brasilia had won 3 of their previous five, compared with none for Aparecidense.

Their history points to a close game: 3 previous meetings produced 2.0 goals a game.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
66%1.64
X
15%3.40
2
19%4.95
Double Chance
1X
81%1.13
X2
34%2.06
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%1.95
No
49%1.68
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.83 + 0.79 = 2.62
Over 1.5
73%1.34
Over 2.5
49%2.08
Over 3.5
29%3.82
Under 1.5
27%2.88
Under 2.5
51%1.65
Under 3.5
71%1.18
Corners

Corner forecasts not available for this match

Cards

Card forecasts not available for this match

Match Events

4'Vanilson
10'Rodriguinho
71'Cesinha
80'Deysinho

Team Comparison

Capital BrasiliaCapital Brasilia
AparecidenseAparecidense
1651Elo Rating 1511
1.50Attack 0.78
2.61Defense 1.00
61%Hit Rate 0%

AI Insights

🏠Strong Home Advantage+140 Elo
📈BTTS Trend67% in H2H

Game State Tendencies

Capital BrasiliaCapital Brasilia
  • Leads at half-time in 60% of matches
  • Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 100% of the time
AparecidenseAparecidense
  • Leads at half-time in 60% of matches
  • Starts fast - scores more in 1st half (0.6 vs 0.2 in second half)
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late

Head to Head

Last 3 meetings, all competitions

Capital BrasiliaCapital Brasilia0Wins · 0%
Draws133%
AparecidenseAparecidense2Wins · 67%
2.0Avg Goals
67%Both teams scored2 of 3
33%3+ goals1 of 3

Previous meetings

Serie D20/06/2026
AparecidenseCapital Brasilia
11
Serie D26/07/2025
AparecidenseCapital Brasilia
21
Serie D20/04/2025
Capital BrasiliaAparecidense
01

Recent Form

Capital BrasiliaCapital Brasilia
6W3D1L
20/06/2026
AparecidenseCapital Brasilia
11
D
07/06/2026
Capital BrasiliaUnião Rondonópolis
20
W
30/05/2026
CEOV OperárioCapital Brasilia
15
W
23/05/2026
Goiatuba ECCapital Brasilia
11
D
17/05/2026
Capital BrasiliaCeilândia
21
W
09/05/2026
Capital BrasiliaMixto
10
W
02/05/2026
MixtoCapital Brasilia
11
D
25/04/2026
CeilândiaCapital Brasilia
12
W
19/04/2026
Capital BrasiliaGoiatuba EC
01
L
12/04/2026
Capital BrasiliaCEOV Operário
10
W
AparecidenseAparecidense
3W5D2L
20/06/2026
AparecidenseCapital Brasilia
11
D
07/06/2026
GamaAparecidense
22
D
30/05/2026
AparecidensePrimavera MG
11
D
24/05/2026
LuverdenseAparecidense
10
L
17/05/2026
InhumasAparecidense
11
D
09/05/2026
AparecidenseBrasiliense
21
W
03/05/2026
BrasilienseAparecidense
11
D
25/04/2026
AparecidenseInhumas
31
W
18/04/2026
AparecidenseLuverdense
01
L
12/04/2026
Primavera MGAparecidense
13
W

Bracket

Round of 32
Round of 16
Quarter-finals
Semi-finals
Final
Sao Jose
Seeded
Goiatuba EC
Seeded
Nacional AM
Seeded
CSA
Seeded
Sao Jose
Seeded
Goiatuba EC
Seeded
Nacional AM
Seeded
CSA
Seeded
Sao Jose
Seeded
Goiatuba EC
Seeded
Nacional AM
Seeded
CSA
Seeded
Sao Jose
Seeded
Goiatuba EC
Seeded
Nacional AM
Seeded
CSA
Seeded
Sao Jose
Seeded
Goiatuba EC
Seeded
Nacional AM
Seeded
CSA
Seeded

League Table

Serie D 2026

Group 3

#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1GamaGama1082023:6+1726DWWWW
2LuverdenseLuverdense1043311:10+115WDWLL
3BrasilienseBrasiliense1035211:10+114WDWLL
4AparecidenseAparecidense1034313:12+113DDLDW
5Primavera MGPrimavera MG1033410:13-312LDLWW
6InhumasInhumas100193:20-171LLLDL
#TeamMPGPts
1GamaGama1023:626
2LuverdenseLuverdense1011:1015
3BrasilienseBrasiliense1011:1014
4AparecidenseAparecidense1013:1213
5Primavera MGPrimavera MG1010:1312
6InhumasInhumas103:201

Group 4

#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1Capital BrasiliaCapital Brasilia1072116:6+1023WWDWW
2Goiatuba ECGoiatuba EC1054113:7+619WDDLD
3CeilândiaCeilândia103349:10-112DDWLL
4MixtoMixto1026210:9+112DDDWL
5União RondonópolisUnião Rondonópolis1023511:18-79LDLWD
6CEOV OperárioCEOV Operário101277:16-95LLDLW
#TeamMPGPts
1Capital BrasiliaCapital Brasilia1016:623
2Goiatuba ECGoiatuba EC1013:719
3CeilândiaCeilândia109:1012
4MixtoMixto1010:912
5União RondonópolisUnião Rondonópolis1011:189
6CEOV OperárioCEOV Operário107:165
Promotion

About the Capital Brasilia vs Aparecidense forecast

As a knockout tie in the Serie D, there is more at stake than league points; the forecasts weigh that alongside team ratings, recent form and the head-to-head record.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

About Serie D

More Serie D fixtures and forecasts are on the Serie D Predictions page.

Key Factors for This Match

Capital Brasilia have led at half-time in 60% of their recent matches. Aparecidense have led at half-time in 60% of their recent matches. Some underlying data for this fixture is limited, which the model accounts for with a lower confidence rating.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.