Cardiff MET vs Caernarfon Town Prediction
Wales · Regular Season - 11
AI Best Pick
Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.
Cardiff MET vs Caernarfon Town: the result in context
Cardiff MET and Caernarfon Town drew 2-2 in the Premier League on 26 Sep 2026. The two went into the match with similar recent form.
When these two meet, goals usually follow: 3.3 a game across 10 meetings, with both teams scoring in 7.
Match Forecasts
Both teams to score forecasts not available for this match
Goal forecasts not available for this match
Corner forecasts not available for this match
Card forecasts not available for this match
Match Events
Team Comparison
Cardiff MET
Caernarfon TownAI Insights
Game State Tendencies
Cardiff MET- Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
- Scores more in 2nd half (1.2 vs 0.7 in first half)
- Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late
Caernarfon Town- Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
- Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late
Head to Head
Last 10 meetings, all competitions
Cardiff MET4Wins · 40%4Wins · 40%Previous meetings
13/12/2025Cardiff METCaernarfon Town
28/09/2025Caernarfon TownCardiff MET09/08/2025Cardiff METCaernarfon Town11/05/2025Caernarfon TownCardiff MET19/04/2025Caernarfon TownCardiff MET08/03/2025Cardiff METCaernarfon Town05/10/2024Cardiff METCaernarfon Town31/08/2024Caernarfon TownCardiff MET10/05/2024Caernarfon TownCardiff MET23/03/2024Caernarfon TownCardiff METRecent Form
Cardiff MET
GAP Connah S Quay FCCardiff MET
Flint Town UnitedCardiff METCardiff MET
Cambrian & Clydach
Ammanford AFCCardiff METCardiff MET
Briton FerryCardiff MET
The New Saints
Barry TownCardiff MET
Airbus UKCardiff METCardiff MET
HolywellCardiff METFlint Town UnitedCaernarfon TownCaernarfon TownCambrian & Clydach
LlandudnoCaernarfon TownAmmanford AFCCaernarfon TownCaernarfon TownFlint Town UnitedCaernarfon TownThe New SaintsHolywellCaernarfon Town
TrefelinCaernarfon TownCaernarfon Town
Colwyn BayCaernarfon Town
PenybontGAP Connah S Quay FCCaernarfon TownLeague Table
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | The New Saints | 15 | 13 | 2 | 0 | 53:6 | +47 | 41 | DWWWW |
| 2 | GAP Connah S Quay FC | 15 | 11 | 2 | 2 | 32:9 | +23 | 35 | DWWWW |
| 3 | Penybont | 14 | 10 | 3 | 1 | 30:11 | +19 | 33 | WWLWW |
| 4 | Caernarfon Town | 15 | 9 | 2 | 4 | 42:19 | +23 | 29 | LWWLD |
| 5 | Colwyn Bay | 15 | 9 | 2 | 4 | 26:17 | +9 | 29 | WDWLW |
| 6 | Barry Town | 15 | 9 | 1 | 5 | 32:26 | +6 | 28 | WLLWL |
| 7 | Airbus UK | 15 | 9 | 0 | 6 | 31:22 | +9 | 27 | WWWWL |
| 8 | Cardiff MET | 15 | 6 | 4 | 5 | 26:23 | +3 | 22 | LDLWW |
| 9 | Cambrian & Clydach | 15 | 5 | 3 | 7 | 23:38 | -15 | 18 | LLLLW |
| 10 | Llandudno | 15 | 5 | 1 | 9 | 22:28 | -6 | 16 | LLLLL |
| 11 |  Haverfordwest County AFC | 15 | 5 | 1 | 9 | 12:20 | -8 | 16 | WWLLL |
| 12 | Briton Ferry | 15 | 4 | 3 | 8 | 16:25 | -9 | 15 | WLLWD |
| 13 | Flint Town United | 15 | 4 | 2 | 9 | 19:25 | -6 | 14 | WWLWW |
| 14 | Ammanford AFC | 15 | 2 | 3 | 10 | 10:42 | -32 | 9 | LLWWL |
| 15 | Trefelin | 15 | 1 | 3 | 11 | 8:36 | -28 | 6 | LLWLL |
| 16 | Holywell | 14 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 14:49 | -35 | 2 | LLLDL |
| # | Team | MP | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | The New Saints | 15 | 53:6 | 41 |
| 2 | GAP Connah S Quay FC | 15 | 32:9 | 35 |
| 3 | Penybont | 14 | 30:11 | 33 |
| 4 | Caernarfon Town | 15 | 42:19 | 29 |
| 5 | Colwyn Bay | 15 | 26:17 | 29 |
| 6 | Barry Town | 15 | 32:26 | 28 |
| 7 | Airbus UK | 15 | 31:22 | 27 |
| 8 | Cardiff MET | 15 | 26:23 | 22 |
| 9 | Cambrian & Clydach | 15 | 23:38 | 18 |
| 10 | Llandudno | 15 | 22:28 | 16 |
| 11 | Haverfordwest County AFC | 15 | 12:20 | 16 |
| 12 | Briton Ferry | 15 | 16:25 | 15 |
| 13 | Flint Town United | 15 | 19:25 | 14 |
| 14 | Ammanford AFC | 15 | 10:42 | 9 |
| 15 | Trefelin | 15 | 8:36 | 6 |
| 16 | Holywell | 14 | 14:49 | 2 |
Explore more predictions
This match
More Premier League matches
- Airbus UK vs Holywell 31/08/26
- GAP Connah S Quay FC vs Haverfordwest County AFC 04/09/26
- Airbus UK vs Flint Town United 18/09/26
- GAP Connah S Quay FC vs Cardiff MET 18/09/26
- Colwyn Bay vs Haverfordwest County AFC 26/09/26
- Flint Town United vs Ammanford AFC 26/09/26
- Holywell vs Briton Ferry 26/09/26
- Penybont vs Airbus UK 26/09/26
About the Cardiff MET vs Caernarfon Town forecast
The forecasts for this Premier League match are built from team Elo ratings, recent form, scoring data and the head-to-head record, and are updated as new data arrives before kickoff.
How to Read These Forecasts
Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.
Cardiff MET and Caernarfon Town in the Premier League table
In the Premier League table, Caernarfon Town are 4th and Cardiff MET 8th, 7 points apart. League goal record so far: Cardiff MET 26-23, Caernarfon Town 42-19. The full standings are on the Premier League Table 2026 page.
Key Factors for This Match
Some underlying data for this fixture is limited, which the model accounts for with a lower confidence rating.
All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.