Centro Español vs Mercedes Prediction

Primera CArgentina Argentina · Regular Season - 18
Centro Español
0-3
Finished
HT 0-1
Mercedes
06/07/2026
Centro EspañolCentro Español
0-3
Finished
MercedesMercedes

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Partial
Match Importance
3.2 / 10
Value Analysis
69%Trust
Goals O/U
Under 2.5 Goals
1.46
SignalGOODModel35%SurpriseHighGap+6.3%
Centro Español Rest
9 days
Mercedes Rest
9 days

Centro Español vs Mercedes: the result in context

Mercedes beat Centro Español 3-0 in the Primera C on 6 Jul 2026. The two went into the match with similar recent form.

Their history points to a close game: 3 previous meetings produced 1.7 goals a game.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
50%1.95
X
33%2.95
2
17%3.83
Double Chance
1X
83%1.18
X2
50%1.70
Both Teams to Score
Yes
38%2.13
No
62%1.60
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.37 + 0.74 = 2.11
Over 1.5
61%1.44
Over 2.5
31%2.47
Over 3.5
14%4.78
Under 1.5
39%2.42
Under 2.5
69%1.46
Under 3.5
86%1.13
Corners

Corner forecasts not available for this match

Cards

Card forecasts not available for this match

Match Events

10'G. Canete
55'E. Medaglia
60'L. Sanchez Olmos
88'M. H. Pineda
90+5'T. Chaparro

Team Comparison

Centro EspañolCentro Español
MercedesMercedes
1496Elo Rating 1475
1.84Attack 0.96
1.95Defense 2.34
58%Hit Rate 56%

Game State Tendencies

Centro EspañolCentro Español
  • Leads at half-time in 60% of matches
MercedesMercedes
  • Tied at half-time in 60% of matches
  • Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 100% of the time
  • Scores more in 2nd half (0.8 vs 0.2 in first half)

Head to Head

Last 3 meetings, all competitions

Centro EspañolCentro Español1Wins · 33%
Draws00%
MercedesMercedes2Wins · 67%
1.7Avg Goals
33%Both teams scored1 of 3
33%3+ goals1 of 3

Previous meetings

Primera C01/03/2026
MercedesCentro Español
10
Primera C29/11/2024
MercedesCentro Español
10
Primera C01/07/2024
Centro EspañolMercedes
21

Recent Form

Centro EspañolCentro Español
6W2D2L
27/06/2026
Deportivo ParaguayoCentro Español
02
W
14/06/2026
Puerto NuevoCentro Español
02
W
06/06/2026
Centro EspañolLeandro N. Alem
30
W
31/05/2026
Defensores de CambaceresCentro Español
11
D
23/05/2026
Centro EspañolJuventud Unida
23
L
16/05/2026
Centro EspañolFénix
10
W
11/05/2026
SacachispasCentro Español
11
D
04/05/2026
Centro EspañolArgentino Rosario
32
W
26/04/2026
Estrella Del SurCentro Español
10
L
18/04/2026
Central CordobaCentro Español
01
W
MercedesMercedes
2W5D3L
27/06/2026
MercedesJJ Urquiza
50
W
14/06/2026
LuganoMercedes
10
L
06/06/2026
MercedesDeportivo Paraguayo
00
D
30/05/2026
Puerto NuevoMercedes
11
D
23/05/2026
MercedesLeandro N. Alem
20
W
18/05/2026
Deportivo EspañolMercedes
10
L
09/05/2026
Defensores de CambaceresMercedes
21
L
03/05/2026
MercedesJuventud Unida
11
D
26/04/2026
SacachispasMercedes
00
D
18/04/2026
MercedesClaypole
00
D

League Table

Primera C 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1BerazateguiBerazategui321312740:24+1651WLWDW
2SacachispasSacachispas321481033:26+750WDLLL
3Estrella Del SurEstrella Del Sur321212833:30+348WDWDD
4Centro EspañolCentro Español321211943:30+1347LWWLD
5MercedesMercedes321211931:24+747WDWWD
6Victoriano ArenasVictoriano Arenas321114726:19+747WWDWL
7LuganoLugano321113835:29+646LLDDD
8Juventud UnidaJuventud Unida321291139:33+645LWDWL
9Puerto NuevoPuerto Nuevo3210111130:36-641WLLLL
10Defensores de CambaceresDefensores de Cambaceres32991425:34-936LLLDW
11JJ UrquizaJJ Urquiza327141121:26-535WWLDD
12Deportivo ParaguayoDeportivo Paraguayo327111423:41-1832LDDWL
13Leandro N. AlemLeandro N. Alem32871730:58-2831LLWLD
14Argentino RosarioArgentino Rosario324151330:42-1227LWLDL
#TeamMPGPts
1BerazateguiBerazategui3240:2451
2SacachispasSacachispas3233:2650
3Estrella Del SurEstrella Del Sur3233:3048
4Centro EspañolCentro Español3243:3047
5MercedesMercedes3231:2447
6Victoriano ArenasVictoriano Arenas3226:1947
7LuganoLugano3235:2946
8Juventud UnidaJuventud Unida3239:3345
9Puerto NuevoPuerto Nuevo3230:3641
10Defensores de CambaceresDefensores de Cambaceres3225:3436
11JJ UrquizaJJ Urquiza3221:2635
12Deportivo ParaguayoDeportivo Paraguayo3223:4132
13Leandro N. AlemLeandro N. Alem3230:5831
14Argentino RosarioArgentino Rosario3230:4227
PromotionRelegation

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About the Centro Español vs Mercedes forecast

The forecasts for this Primera C match are built from team Elo ratings, recent form, scoring data and the head-to-head record, and are updated as new data arrives before kickoff.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

Centro Español and Mercedes in the Primera C table

In the Primera C table, Centro Español (4th) and Mercedes (5th) are level on 47 points. League goal record so far: Centro Español 43-30, Mercedes 31-24. The full standings are on the Primera C Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

Centro Español have led at half-time in 60% of their recent matches. Some underlying data for this fixture is limited, which the model accounts for with a lower confidence rating.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.