Cerro vs Albion FC Prediction
Uruguay · Clausura - 2
J. Burgos 15/08/2026
AI Best Pick
Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.
Data Quality
Partial
Match Importance
3.2 / 10
Value Analysis
67%Trust
Goals O/U
Over 1.5 Goals
1.50
SignalGOODModel31%SurpriseHighGap+5.1%
Cerro Rest
5 days
Albion FC Rest
6 days
Cerro vs Albion FC: the result in context
Cerro beat Albion FC 2-1 in the Primera División on 15 Aug 2026. It was in line with recent form: Cerro had won 3 of their previous five, compared with 1 for Albion FC.
Their 3 previous meetings averaged 2.3 goals, with both teams scoring in 1 of them. Referee J. Burgos averages 6.1 cards a game, stricter than 99% of the referees we track.
Match Forecasts
Match Result
130%3.30
X29%2.88
241%2.25
Double Chance
1X59%1.57
X270%1.30
Both Teams to Score
Yes51%2.06
No49%1.67
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.16 + 1.28 = 2.44
Over 1.567%1.50
Over 2.543%2.48
Over 3.523%4.90
Under 1.533%2.48
Under 2.557%1.49
Under 3.577%1.16
Corners
Corner forecasts not available for this match
Cards
Card forecasts not available for this match
Match Events
8'A. Lopez
12'A. Miranda INR. Mederos out
41'B. Aleman
46'A. Vera INF. Puente out
46'A. Severo INLeonardo Pais out
64'C. Barros INA. Cambon out
77'S. Costa INB. Acosta out
77'H. Toledo INN. Neira out
88'A. Cambon
89'B. Aleman INE. Sosa out
89'J. Alvarez INT. Figueroa out
Team Comparison
Cerro
Albion FC1462Elo Rating 1520
1.08Attack 2.05
1.24Defense 1.44
19%Hit Rate 81%
8.7Shots per Game 8.9
4.7Shots on Target 5.0
2.6Corners per Game 3.0
4.3Cards per Game 2.0
AI Insights
📉Home Underperforming
Game State Tendencies
Cerro- Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
- Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 50% of the time
Albion FC- Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
- Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 100% of the time
- Scores more in 2nd half (1.3 vs 0.7 in first half)
- Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late
Head to Head
Last 3 meetings, all competitions
Cerro2Wins · 67%Draws00%
Albion FC1Wins · 33%
1Wins · 33%2.3Avg Goals
33%Both teams scored1 of 3
67%3+ goals2 of 3
Previous meetings
16/02/2026Albion FCCerro30
17/09/2021CerroAlbion FC10
02/06/2021Albion FCCerro12
Recent Form
Cerro4W0D6L
09/08/2026
DanubioCerro
04/08/2026DanubioCerro01
W
Defensor SportingCerro21
L26/07/2026Cerro
Racing Montevideo
12/07/2026CerroRacing Montevideo10
W
Liverpool MontevideoCerro12
W07/06/2026Cerro
Penarol01
L30/05/2026
Cerro LargoCerro
Cerro LargoCerro20
L24/05/2026Cerro
Central Espanol
CerroCentral Espanol10
W16/05/2026
Boston RiverCerro
Boston RiverCerro41
L11/05/2026
Club NacionalCerro
Club NacionalCerro40
L02/05/2026Cerro
Deportivo Maldonado
CerroDeportivo Maldonado01
LAlbion FC3W3D4L
08/08/2026Liverpool MontevideoAlbion FC
01/08/2026Liverpool MontevideoAlbion FC10
LAlbion FCDanubio22
D17/07/2026Albion FC
Juventud01
L11/07/2026Deportivo MaldonadoAlbion FC11
D07/06/2026
ProgresoAlbion FC
ProgresoAlbion FC12
W31/05/2026Albion FC
Atletico Torque
Albion FCAtletico Torque12
L23/05/2026Club NacionalAlbion FC
Club NacionalAlbion FC10
L17/05/2026Albion FC
Wanderers
Albion FCWanderers00
D09/05/2026DanubioAlbion FC
DanubioAlbion FC01
W04/05/2026Albion FCClub Nacional
Albion FCClub Nacional32
WReferee Profile
6.06Cards per match
5.66Yellow cards per match
0.40Red cards per match
24.5Fouls per match
Strictness
Stricter than 99% of referees analysed
Model estimates, weighted toward the competition average while the sample is small.
League Table
Primera: Tabla Anual
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Penarol | 35 | 19 | 9 | 7 | 52:28 | +24 | 65 | LDLWL |
| 2 | Atletico Torque | 35 | 19 | 6 | 10 | 59:41 | +18 | 63 | WDLDL |
| 3 | Deportivo Maldonado | 34 | 18 | 8 | 8 | 54:32 | +22 | 62 | DWWLW |
| 4 | Club Nacional | 35 | 19 | 4 | 12 | 53:42 | +11 | 61 | LWLLW |
| 5 | Racing Montevideo | 35 | 16 | 12 | 7 | 45:31 | +14 | 60 | WDWWW |
| 6 | Liverpool Montevideo | 35 | 16 | 11 | 8 | 47:31 | +16 | 59 | DLWLD |
| 7 | Wanderers | 35 | 14 | 9 | 12 | 42:44 | -2 | 51 | WLLLW |
| 8 | Albion FC | 34 | 13 | 7 | 14 | 47:44 | +3 | 46 | WWDDW |
| 9 | Juventud | 35 | 10 | 11 | 14 | 37:43 | -6 | 41 | DDWLL |
| 10 | Central Espanol | 35 | 11 | 8 | 16 | 35:48 | -13 | 41 | WLDWW |
| 11 | Defensor Sporting | 35 | 9 | 12 | 14 | 35:43 | -8 | 39 | WDWLD |
| 12 | Cerro Largo | 35 | 9 | 10 | 16 | 33:41 | -8 | 37 | LLDDW |
| 13 | Boston River | 35 | 10 | 7 | 18 | 34:47 | -13 | 37 | LWLWW |
| 14 | Cerro | 35 | 10 | 7 | 18 | 29:53 | -24 | 37 | LDDWL |
| 15 | Progreso | 35 | 10 | 5 | 20 | 31:49 | -18 | 35 | LWLLD |
| 16 | Danubio | 35 | 6 | 14 | 15 | 29:45 | -16 | 32 | WDDDL |
| # | Team | MP | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Penarol | 35 | 52:28 | 65 |
| 2 | Atletico Torque | 35 | 59:41 | 63 |
| 3 | Deportivo Maldonado | 34 | 54:32 | 62 |
| 4 | Club Nacional | 35 | 53:42 | 61 |
| 5 | Racing Montevideo | 35 | 45:31 | 60 |
| 6 | Liverpool Montevideo | 35 | 47:31 | 59 |
| 7 | Wanderers | 35 | 42:44 | 51 |
| 8 | Albion FC | 34 | 47:44 | 46 |
| 9 | Juventud | 35 | 37:43 | 41 |
| 10 | Central Espanol | 35 | 35:48 | 41 |
| 11 | Defensor Sporting | 35 | 35:43 | 39 |
| 12 | Cerro Largo | 35 | 33:41 | 37 |
| 13 | Boston River | 35 | 34:47 | 37 |
| 14 | Cerro | 35 | 29:53 | 37 |
| 15 | Progreso | 35 | 31:49 | 35 |
| 16 | Danubio | 35 | 29:45 | 32 |
Primera: Promedios
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Penarol | 72 | 43 | 15 | 14 | 118:62 | +56 | 144 | LDLWL |
| 2 | Club Nacional | 72 | 43 | 14 | 15 | 129:75 | +54 | 140 | LWLLW |
| 3 | Deportivo Maldonado | 34 | 18 | 8 | 8 | 54:32 | +22 | 62 | DWWLW |
| 4 | Liverpool Montevideo | 72 | 34 | 22 | 16 | 98:68 | +30 | 124 | DLWLD |
| 5 | Racing Montevideo | 72 | 30 | 23 | 19 | 84:69 | +15 | 113 | WDWWW |
| 6 | Atletico Torque | 72 | 32 | 16 | 24 | 113:92 | +21 | 112 | WDLDL |
| 7 | Juventud | 72 | 28 | 18 | 26 | 82:82 | 0 | 102 | DDWLL |
| 8 | Defensor Sporting | 72 | 27 | 19 | 26 | 77:81 | -4 | 100 | WDWLD |
| 9 | Albion FC | 34 | 13 | 7 | 14 | 47:44 | +3 | 46 | WWDDW |
| 10 | Boston River | 72 | 24 | 20 | 28 | 84:86 | -2 | 92 | LWLWW |
| 11 | Cerro Largo | 72 | 21 | 23 | 28 | 74:82 | -8 | 86 | LLDDW |
| 12 | Central Espanol | 35 | 11 | 8 | 16 | 35:48 | -13 | 41 | WLDWW |
| 13 | Cerro | 72 | 22 | 18 | 32 | 62:95 | -33 | 83 | LDDWL |
| 14 | Wanderers | 72 | 20 | 22 | 30 | 67:91 | -24 | 82 | WLLLW |
| 15 | Danubio | 72 | 16 | 27 | 29 | 70:86 | -16 | 75 | WDDDL |
| 16 | Progreso | 72 | 20 | 14 | 38 | 69:109 | -40 | 74 | LWLLD |
| # | Team | MP | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Penarol | 72 | 118:62 | 144 |
| 2 | Club Nacional | 72 | 129:75 | 140 |
| 3 | Deportivo Maldonado | 34 | 54:32 | 62 |
| 4 | Liverpool Montevideo | 72 | 98:68 | 124 |
| 5 | Racing Montevideo | 72 | 84:69 | 113 |
| 6 | Atletico Torque | 72 | 113:92 | 112 |
| 7 | Juventud | 72 | 82:82 | 102 |
| 8 | Defensor Sporting | 72 | 77:81 | 100 |
| 9 | Albion FC | 34 | 47:44 | 46 |
| 10 | Boston River | 72 | 84:86 | 92 |
| 11 | Cerro Largo | 72 | 74:82 | 86 |
| 12 | Central Espanol | 35 | 35:48 | 41 |
| 13 | Cerro | 72 | 62:95 | 83 |
| 14 | Wanderers | 72 | 67:91 | 82 |
| 15 | Danubio | 72 | 70:86 | 75 |
| 16 | Progreso | 72 | 69:109 | 74 |
Primera: Torneo Intermedio — Group 1
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Penarol | 7 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 12:3 | +9 | 16 | LDLWL |
| 2 | Cerro Largo | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 7:5 | +2 | 11 | LLDDW |
| 3 | Racing Montevideo | 7 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 4:3 | +1 | 10 | WDWWW |
| 4 | Liverpool Montevideo | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 5:5 | 0 | 9 | DLWLD |
| 5 | Central Espanol | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 4:4 | 0 | 9 | WLDWW |
| 6 | Cerro | 7 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 6:10 | -4 | 9 | LDDWL |
| 7 | Defensor Sporting | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 6:9 | -3 | 6 | WDWLD |
| 8 | Boston River | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 5:10 | -5 | 5 | LWLWW |
| # | Team | MP | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Penarol | 7 | 12:3 | 16 |
| 2 | Cerro Largo | 7 | 7:5 | 11 |
| 3 | Racing Montevideo | 7 | 4:3 | 10 |
| 4 | Liverpool Montevideo | 7 | 5:5 | 9 |
| 5 | Central Espanol | 7 | 4:4 | 9 |
| 6 | Cerro | 7 | 6:10 | 9 |
| 7 | Defensor Sporting | 7 | 6:9 | 6 |
| 8 | Boston River | 7 | 5:10 | 5 |
Primera: Torneo Intermedio — Group 2
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Wanderers | 7 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 12:4 | +8 | 15 | WLLLW |
| 2 | Club Nacional | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 8:8 | 0 | 13 | LWLLW |
| 3 | Deportivo Maldonado | 7 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 12:6 | +6 | 12 | DWWLW |
| 4 | Atletico Torque | 7 | 4 | 0 | 3 | 11:11 | 0 | 12 | WDLDL |
| 5 | Juventud | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 8:11 | -3 | 8 | DDWLL |
| 6 | Albion FC | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 6:8 | -2 | 6 | WWDDW |
| 7 | Progreso | 7 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 6:11 | -5 | 6 | LWLLD |
| 8 | Danubio | 7 | 0 | 4 | 3 | 5:9 | -4 | 4 | WDDDL |
| # | Team | MP | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Wanderers | 7 | 12:4 | 15 |
| 2 | Club Nacional | 7 | 8:8 | 13 |
| 3 | Deportivo Maldonado | 7 | 12:6 | 12 |
| 4 | Atletico Torque | 7 | 11:11 | 12 |
| 5 | Juventud | 7 | 8:11 | 8 |
| 6 | Albion FC | 7 | 6:8 | 6 |
| 7 | Progreso | 7 | 6:11 | 6 |
| 8 | Danubio | 7 | 5:9 | 4 |
Primera: Apertura
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Racing Montevideo | 15 | 9 | 4 | 2 | 23:14 | +9 | 31 | WDWWW |
| 2 | Deportivo Maldonado | 15 | 9 | 2 | 4 | 24:16 | +8 | 29 | DWWLW |
| 3 | Albion FC | 15 | 8 | 4 | 3 | 26:16 | +10 | 28 | WWDDW |
| 4 | Penarol | 15 | 8 | 3 | 4 | 23:16 | +7 | 27 | LDLWL |
| 5 | Central Espanol | 15 | 7 | 3 | 5 | 23:22 | +1 | 24 | WLDWW |
| 6 | Atletico Torque | 15 | 6 | 5 | 4 | 22:16 | +6 | 23 | WDLDL |
| 7 | Club Nacional | 15 | 7 | 1 | 7 | 26:21 | +5 | 22 | LWLLW |
| 8 | Defensor Sporting | 15 | 5 | 6 | 4 | 13:11 | +2 | 21 | WDWLD |
| 9 | Liverpool Montevideo | 15 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 20:18 | +2 | 20 | DLWLD |
| 10 | Wanderers | 15 | 6 | 2 | 7 | 16:21 | -5 | 20 | WLLLW |
| 11 | Danubio | 15 | 4 | 6 | 5 | 17:21 | -4 | 18 | WDDDL |
| 12 | Cerro Largo | 15 | 5 | 2 | 8 | 16:19 | -3 | 17 | LLDDW |
| 13 | Boston River | 15 | 5 | 2 | 8 | 14:20 | -6 | 17 | LWLWW |
| 14 | Juventud | 15 | 4 | 3 | 8 | 17:22 | -5 | 15 | DDWLL |
| 15 | Progreso | 15 | 2 | 4 | 9 | 12:23 | -11 | 10 | LWLLD |
| 16 | Cerro | 15 | 2 | 4 | 9 | 8:24 | -16 | 10 | LDDWL |
| # | Team | MP | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Racing Montevideo | 15 | 23:14 | 31 |
| 2 | Deportivo Maldonado | 15 | 24:16 | 29 |
| 3 | Albion FC | 15 | 26:16 | 28 |
| 4 | Penarol | 15 | 23:16 | 27 |
| 5 | Central Espanol | 15 | 23:22 | 24 |
| 6 | Atletico Torque | 15 | 22:16 | 23 |
| 7 | Club Nacional | 15 | 26:21 | 22 |
| 8 | Defensor Sporting | 15 | 13:11 | 21 |
| 9 | Liverpool Montevideo | 15 | 20:18 | 20 |
| 10 | Wanderers | 15 | 16:21 | 20 |
| 11 | Danubio | 15 | 17:21 | 18 |
| 12 | Cerro Largo | 15 | 16:19 | 17 |
| 13 | Boston River | 15 | 14:20 | 17 |
| 14 | Juventud | 15 | 17:22 | 15 |
| 15 | Progreso | 15 | 12:23 | 10 |
| 16 | Cerro | 15 | 8:24 | 10 |
Primera: Clausura
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Liverpool Montevideo | 13 | 9 | 3 | 1 | 22:8 | +14 | 30 | DLWLD |
| 2 | Atletico Torque | 13 | 9 | 1 | 3 | 26:14 | +12 | 28 | WDLDL |
| 3 | Club Nacional | 13 | 8 | 2 | 3 | 19:13 | +6 | 26 | LWLLW |
| 4 | Penarol | 13 | 6 | 5 | 2 | 17:9 | +8 | 22 | LDLWL |
| 5 | Deportivo Maldonado | 12 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 18:10 | +8 | 21 | DWWLW |
| 6 | Racing Montevideo | 13 | 5 | 4 | 4 | 18:14 | +4 | 19 | WDWWW |
| 7 | Progreso | 13 | 6 | 1 | 6 | 13:15 | -2 | 19 | LWLLD |
| 8 | Juventud | 13 | 4 | 6 | 3 | 12:10 | +2 | 18 | DDWLL |
| 9 | Cerro | 13 | 5 | 3 | 5 | 15:19 | -4 | 18 | LDDWL |
| 10 | Wanderers | 13 | 4 | 4 | 5 | 14:19 | -5 | 16 | WLLLW |
| 11 | Boston River | 13 | 4 | 3 | 6 | 15:17 | -2 | 15 | LWLWW |
| 12 | Albion FC | 12 | 4 | 0 | 8 | 15:20 | -5 | 12 | WWDDW |
| 13 | Defensor Sporting | 13 | 3 | 3 | 7 | 16:23 | -7 | 12 | WDWLD |
| 14 | Danubio | 13 | 2 | 4 | 7 | 7:15 | -8 | 10 | WDDDL |
| 15 | Cerro Largo | 13 | 1 | 6 | 6 | 10:17 | -7 | 9 | LLDDW |
| 16 | Central Espanol | 13 | 2 | 2 | 9 | 8:22 | -14 | 8 | WLDWW |
| # | Team | MP | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Liverpool Montevideo | 13 | 22:8 | 30 |
| 2 | Atletico Torque | 13 | 26:14 | 28 |
| 3 | Club Nacional | 13 | 19:13 | 26 |
| 4 | Penarol | 13 | 17:9 | 22 |
| 5 | Deportivo Maldonado | 12 | 18:10 | 21 |
| 6 | Racing Montevideo | 13 | 18:14 | 19 |
| 7 | Progreso | 13 | 13:15 | 19 |
| 8 | Juventud | 13 | 12:10 | 18 |
| 9 | Cerro | 13 | 15:19 | 18 |
| 10 | Wanderers | 13 | 14:19 | 16 |
| 11 | Boston River | 13 | 15:17 | 15 |
| 12 | Albion FC | 12 | 15:20 | 12 |
| 13 | Defensor Sporting | 13 | 16:23 | 12 |
| 14 | Danubio | 13 | 7:15 | 10 |
| 15 | Cerro Largo | 13 | 10:17 | 9 |
| 16 | Central Espanol | 13 | 8:22 | 8 |
PromotionRelegation
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This match
More Primera División matches
- Cerro Largo vs Juventud 08/08/26
- Central Espanol vs Progreso 08/08/26
- Defensor Sporting vs Wanderers 09/08/26
- Deportivo Maldonado vs Racing Montevideo 11/08/26
- Progreso vs Deportivo Maldonado 16/08/26
- Penarol vs Central Espanol 16/08/26
- Albion FC vs Boston River 21/08/26
- Cerro Largo vs Defensor Sporting 22/08/26
About the Cerro vs Albion FC forecast
The forecasts for this Primera División match are built from team Elo ratings, recent form, scoring data and the head-to-head record, and are updated as new data arrives before kickoff.
How to Read These Forecasts
Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.
Cerro and Albion FC in the Primera División table
In the Primera División table, Albion FC are 8th and Cerro 14th, 9 points apart. League goal record so far: Cerro 29-53, Albion FC 47-44. The full standings are on the Primera División Table 2026 page.
Key Factors for This Match
Some underlying data for this fixture is limited, which the model accounts for with a lower confidence rating.
All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.