Cheltenham vs Rotherham Prediction

Cheltenham
2-1
Finished
HT 1-0
Rotherham
Whaddon Road, Cheltenham·H. Wager 15/08/2026

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
3.6 / 10
Value Analysis
59%Trust
Goals O/U
Under 2.5 Goals
1.82
SignalSOLIDModel35%SurpriseMediumGap+6.8%
Cheltenham Rest
6 days
Rotherham Rest
6 days

Cheltenham vs Rotherham: result, form and history

Cheltenham beat Rotherham 2-1 in the League Two on 15 Aug 2026. The two went into the match with similar recent form.

Their 3 previous meetings averaged 2.3 goals, with both teams scoring in 1 of them. Referee H. Wager averages 4.50 cards a game, 0.59 more than other referees in the same competitions.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
41%2.65
X
29%3.30
2
30%2.55
Double Chance
1X
70%1.46
X2
58%1.44
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%1.70
No
53%2.04
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.16 + 0.95 = 2.11
Over 1.5
68%1.29
Over 2.5
42%1.94
Over 3.5
20%3.31
Under 1.5
32%3.33
Under 2.5
58%1.82
Under 3.5
80%1.27
Corners
Projected Corners: 5 + 4 = 9
Over 8.5
55%1.47
Over 9.5
46%1.83
Over 10.5
31%2.28
Under 8.5
45%2.47
Under 9.5
54%1.88
Under 10.5
69%1.54
Cards
Projected Cards: 2.3 + 2.5 = 4.8
Over 3.5
68%-
Over 4.5
48%-
Under 3.5
32%-
Under 4.5
52%-

Match Events

30'C. McCannAssist: R. Broom
35'K. SpenceDelay of game
38'J. TomkinsonUnsportsmanlike conduct
40'S. McWilliamsFoul
46'S. McWilliams INJ. Evans out
58'K. Otchere INJ. Bickerstaff out
62'J. BuyabuAssist: F. Tavares
70'R. Broom INJ. Tomlinson out
70'J. Shipley INA. Weimann out
71'J. EvansAssist: R. Cundy
72'S. Aljofree INT. Bradshaw out
72'B. Cover INO. Ashley out
73'P. SweeneyDelay of game
79'J. Buyabu INA. Martha out
90+1'C. McCann INF. Willcox out

Team Comparison

CheltenhamCheltenham
RotherhamRotherham
1501Elo Rating 1431
1.71Attack 1.43
1.15Defense 0.12
50%Hit Rate 0%
8.9Shots per Game 10.7
3.0Shots on Target 3.7
4.3Corners per Game 3.9
2.4Cards per Game 2.9

AI Insights

📈BTTS Trend33% in H2H
📊Home Overperforming

Game State Tendencies

CheltenhamCheltenham
  • Leads at half-time in 60% of matches
  • Starts fast - scores more in 1st half (1.3 vs 0.4 in second half)
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late
RotherhamRotherham
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
  • Starts fast - scores more in 1st half (1.2 vs 0.3 in second half)
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late

Head to Head

Last 3 meetings, all competitions

CheltenhamCheltenham1Wins · 33%
Draws00%
RotherhamRotherham2Wins · 67%
2.3Avg Goals
33%Both teams scored1 of 3
33%3+ goals1 of 3

Previous meetings

FA Cup02/11/2024
RotherhamCheltenham
13
League One22/01/2022
RotherhamCheltenham
10
League One02/10/2021
CheltenhamRotherham
02

Recent Form

CheltenhamCheltenham
4W1D5L
08/08/2026
CheltenhamCharlton
13
L
01/08/2026
CheltenhamMilton Keynes Dons
02
L
18/07/2026
Evesham UnitedCheltenham
03
W
02/05/2026
CheltenhamColchester
14
L
25/04/2026
Bristol RoversCheltenham
40
L
21/04/2026
CheltenhamTranmere
13
L
18/04/2026
CheltenhamNewport County
10
W
14/04/2026
CheltenhamGillingham
21
W
11/04/2026
WalsallCheltenham
04
W
06/04/2026
CheltenhamCambridge United
11
D
RotherhamRotherham
3W4D3L
08/08/2026
RotherhamWest Brom
14
L
04/08/2026
RotherhamDerby
11
D
28/07/2026
Darlington 1883Rotherham
02
W
25/07/2026
RotherhamSheffield Utd
02
L
21/07/2026
Alfreton TownRotherham
01
W
18/07/2026
Matlock TownRotherham
11
D
14/07/2026
AFC EmleyRotherham
11
D
10/07/2026
ParkgateRotherham
01
W
02/05/2026
WycombeRotherham
32
L
25/04/2026
RotherhamReading
11
D

Referee Profile

H. Wager71 matches

4.50Cards per match
4.40Yellow cards per match
0.10Red cards per match
22.6Fouls per match

Compared with other referees

H. Wager4.50
Other referees3.91

4.50 cards a match, 0.59 more than other referees in the same competitions and seasons (3.91).

Cards come from 10 matches with official statistics.

Full referee stats

League Table

League Two 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1Salford CitySalford City14101325:15+1031WWWWW
2BarnetBarnet1375128:18+1026DWDLW
3WalsallWalsall1357121:12+922WLWDD
4CreweCrewe1457217:17022DLLWW
5CheltenhamCheltenham1463523:25-221LWWLL
6GrimsbyGrimsby1455424:18+620WWDLL
7YorkYork1455424:21+320LLWDD
8GillinghamGillingham1455420:19+120WLDLW
9Accrington STAccrington ST1447323:17+619DWDWD
10ChesterfieldChesterfield1454524:21+319LWDLD
11TranmereTranmere1447319:17+219WDWLD
12Exeter CityExeter City1454511:9+219LWWDW
13Swindon TownSwindon Town1454515:17-219WDWDL
14Newport CountyNewport County1446420:17+318WLDDW
15ShrewsburyShrewsbury1453617:22-518LDWWL
16Fleetwood TownFleetwood Town1445518:18017WLLWD
17Bristol RoversBristol Rovers1451817:23-616LDLLL
18Port ValePort Vale1243510:14-415WLDWW
19RochdaleRochdale1443717:26-915LLDLD
20NorthamptonNorthampton123549:9014DWLWD
21OldhamOldham1333714:19-512LDLWD
22RotherhamRotherham1426618:25-712LDDLL
23ColchesterColchester1326512:19-712LLDDL
24Crawley TownCrawley Town1223713:21-89WDLLD
#TeamMPGPts
1Salford CitySalford City1425:1531
2BarnetBarnet1328:1826
3WalsallWalsall1321:1222
4CreweCrewe1417:1722
5CheltenhamCheltenham1423:2521
6GrimsbyGrimsby1424:1820
7YorkYork1424:2120
8GillinghamGillingham1420:1920
9Accrington STAccrington ST1423:1719
10ChesterfieldChesterfield1424:2119
11TranmereTranmere1419:1719
12Exeter CityExeter City1411:919
13Swindon TownSwindon Town1415:1719
14Newport CountyNewport County1420:1718
15ShrewsburyShrewsbury1417:2218
16Fleetwood TownFleetwood Town1418:1817
17Bristol RoversBristol Rovers1417:2316
18Port ValePort Vale1210:1415
19RochdaleRochdale1417:2615
20NorthamptonNorthampton129:914
21OldhamOldham1314:1912
22RotherhamRotherham1418:2512
23ColchesterColchester1312:1912
24Crawley TownCrawley Town1213:219
PromotionRelegation

About the Cheltenham vs Rotherham forecast

Every forecast on this page comes from the same model inputs: team ratings, recent form, goals scored and conceded, and how these sides have fared against each other.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

Cheltenham and Rotherham in the League Two table

In the League Two table, Cheltenham are 5th and Rotherham 22nd, 9 points apart. League goal record so far: Cheltenham 23-25, Rotherham 18-25. The full standings are on the League Two Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

Cheltenham have led at half-time in 60% of their recent matches. This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.