Chengdu Better City vs Chongqing Tongliang Long Prediction

Wuliangye Sports Center Stadium, Chengdu·Qiu Zhaojun, China 11/07/2026

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
4.2 / 10
AI Best Pick
79%Trust
Goals O/U
Over 1.5 Goals
1.20
SignalHIGHModel62%SurpriseMediumGap-4.6%
Value Analysis
56%Trust
BTTS
Both Teams to Score
1.95
SignalNEUTRALModel59%SurpriseMediumGap+9.0%
Chengdu Better City Rest
6 days
Chongqing Tongliang Long Rest
7 days

Chengdu Better City vs Chongqing Tongliang Long: the result in context

Chengdu Better City and Chongqing Tongliang Long drew 1-1 in the Super League on 11 Jul 2026. The two went into the match with similar recent form.

Chongqing Tongliang Long tend to win more corners, 6.4 a game to 3.6 for Chengdu Better City.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
61%1.33
X
21%4.85
2
18%8.45
Double Chance
1X
82%1.06
X2
39%3.00
Both Teams to Score
Yes
56%1.95
No
44%1.75
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.81 + 0.97 = 2.78
Over 1.5
79%1.20
Over 2.5
52%1.65
Over 3.5
29%2.61
Under 1.5
21%4.26
Under 2.5
48%2.17
Under 3.5
71%1.45
Corners
Projected Corners: 6.3 + 3.9 = 10.2
Over 8.5
64%1.42
Over 9.5
52%1.72
Over 10.5
41%2.08
Under 8.5
36%2.67
Under 9.5
48%2.00
Under 10.5
59%1.66
Cards
Projected Cards: 1.9 + 2.1 = 4
Over 3.5
50%-
Over 4.5
37%-
Under 3.5
50%-
Under 4.5
63%-

Match Events

15'Yang Ming-Yang
30'Wu Yongqiang
35'Felipe Silva
46'Wu Yongqiang ING. Cimpanu out
49'L. DimataAssist: Zhang Yingkai
62'Liu Jiale INXiang Yuwang out
76'He Yiran INWang Dongsheng out
81'Wei Shihao
90'Zhang Zhixiong INRuan Qilong out
90'L. Dimata INDu Yuezheng out
90'He Xiaoqiang INWei Suowei out
90+4'Han PengfeiMisses next match

Team Comparison

Chengdu Better CityChengdu Better City
Chongqing Tongliang LongChongqing Tongliang Long
1624Elo Rating 1518
0.28Attack 1.13
1.71Defense 1.94
14%Hit Rate 27%
8.9Shots per Game 10.1
2.8Shots on Target 4.1
3.6Corners per Game 6.4
2.2Cards per Game 0.4

AI Insights

🏠Strong Home Advantage+105 Elo
📉Home Underperforming

Game State Tendencies

Chengdu Better CityChengdu Better City
  • Tied at half-time in 80% of matches
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late
Chongqing Tongliang LongChongqing Tongliang Long
  • Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 50% of the time
  • Starts fast - scores more in 1st half (0.7 vs 0.4 in second half)

Head to Head

Last 2 meetings, all competitions

Chengdu Better CityChengdu Better City0Wins · 0%
Draws2100%
Chongqing Tongliang LongChongqing Tongliang Long0Wins · 0%
3.0Avg Goals
50%Both teams scored1 of 2
50%3+ goals1 of 2

Previous meetings

Super League21/03/2026
Chongqing Tongliang LongChengdu Better City
33
FA Cup23/06/2023
Chongqing Tongliang LongChengdu Better City
1000

Recent Form

Chengdu Better CityChengdu Better City
7W1D2L
05/07/2026
Qingdao JonoonChengdu Better City
11
D
27/06/2026
Sichuan JiuniuChengdu Better City
23
W
20/06/2026
Shanghai ZetianChengdu Better City
04
W
30/05/2026
Chengdu Better CityShandong Luneng
10
W
23/05/2026
Dalian ZhixingChengdu Better City
20
L
19/05/2026
Chengdu Better CitySHANGHAI SIPG
01
L
15/05/2026
Tianjin TedaChengdu Better City
12
W
09/05/2026
Chengdu Better CityHenan Jianye
30
W
05/05/2026
Shenyang UrbanChengdu Better City
01
W
01/05/2026
Shanghai ShenhuaChengdu Better City
23
W
Chongqing Tongliang LongChongqing Tongliang Long
3W3D4L
04/07/2026
Shenyang UrbanChongqing Tongliang Long
31
L
27/06/2026
Chongqing Tongliang LongTianjin Teda
10
W
20/06/2026
Ningbo ProfessionalChongqing Tongliang Long
02
W
30/05/2026
Chongqing Tongliang LongBeijing Guoan
23
L
24/05/2026
Qingdao JonoonChongqing Tongliang Long
01
W
20/05/2026
Chongqing Tongliang LongYunnan Yukun
00
D
16/05/2026
Shandong LunengChongqing Tongliang Long
31
L
09/05/2026
Shanghai ShenhuaChongqing Tongliang Long
22
D
05/05/2026
Chongqing Tongliang LongHenan Jianye
11
D
01/05/2026
Dalian ZhixingChongqing Tongliang Long
10
L

Referee Profile

Qiu Zhaojun3 matches analysed

4.25Cards per match
4.06Yellow cards per match
0.18Red cards per match
24.9Fouls per match

Strictness

Stricter than 31% of referees analysed

Model estimates, weighted toward the competition average while the sample is small.

Full referee stats

League Table

Super League 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1Chengdu Better CityChengdu Better City29157751:35+1652LLLDW
2Dalian ZhixingDalian Zhixing291541046:43+349WWWWD
3Beijing GuoanBeijing Guoan291410557:36+2147WWWDD
4Shandong LunengShandong Luneng29155957:47+1044WWDDW
5SHANGHAI SIPGSHANGHAI SIPG29138850:36+1442WWWDW
6Yunnan YukunYunnan Yukun291171157:60-340DDLWL
7Qingdao Youth IslandQingdao Youth Island29815632:38-639DLLDD
8Shanghai ShenhuaShanghai Shenhua291451063:50+1337LWWWL
9Chongqing Tongliang LongChongqing Tongliang Long29812931:34-336WDDLD
10Hangzhou GreentownHangzhou Greentown291161251:54-334WLLWL
11Sichuan JiuniuSichuan Jiuniu29951539:51-1232WLDDL
12Tianjin TedaTianjin Teda291181039:35+431LWWWW
13Shenyang UrbanShenyang Urban29851641:52-1129LWDLL
14Henan JianyeHenan Jianye298101138:42-428LLDDD
15Wuhan Three TownsWuhan Three Towns295121244:55-1122LLDLD
16Qingdao JonoonQingdao Jonoon29632034:62-2814LLLLL
#TeamMPGPts
1Chengdu Better CityChengdu Better City2951:3552
2Dalian ZhixingDalian Zhixing2946:4349
3Beijing GuoanBeijing Guoan2957:3647
4Shandong LunengShandong Luneng2957:4744
5SHANGHAI SIPGSHANGHAI SIPG2950:3642
6Yunnan YukunYunnan Yukun2957:6040
7Qingdao Youth IslandQingdao Youth Island2932:3839
8Shanghai ShenhuaShanghai Shenhua2963:5037
9Chongqing Tongliang LongChongqing Tongliang Long2931:3436
10Hangzhou GreentownHangzhou Greentown2951:5434
11Sichuan JiuniuSichuan Jiuniu2939:5132
12Tianjin TedaTianjin Teda2939:3531
13Shenyang UrbanShenyang Urban2941:5229
14Henan JianyeHenan Jianye2938:4228
15Wuhan Three TownsWuhan Three Towns2944:5522
16Qingdao JonoonQingdao Jonoon2934:6214
Champions LeagueRelegation

About the Chengdu Better City vs Chongqing Tongliang Long forecast

The forecasts for this Super League match are built from team Elo ratings, recent form, scoring data and the head-to-head record, and are updated as new data arrives before kickoff.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

Chengdu Better City and Chongqing Tongliang Long in the Super League table

In the Super League table, Chengdu Better City are 1st and Chongqing Tongliang Long 9th, 16 points apart. League goal record so far: Chengdu Better City 51-35, Chongqing Tongliang Long 31-34. The full standings are on the Super League Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

Chengdu Better City and Chongqing Tongliang Long have met only 2 times recently, averaging 3.0 goals per game in those meetings. This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.