Chonburi FC vs BG Pathum United Prediction

OBD Stadium, Mueang Chon Buri 02/11/2026

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
3.2 / 10
AI Best Pick
68%Trust
Double Chance
Draw or Away Win
1.36
SignalSOLIDModel44%SurpriseMediumGap-5.5%
Chonburi FC Rest
8 days
BG Pathum United Rest
3 days

Chonburi FC vs BG Pathum United: result, form and history

Chonburi FC beat BG Pathum United 1-0 in the Thai League 1 on 2 Nov 2026. The two went into the match with similar recent form.

Games between these two are rarely quiet: their 10 previous meetings averaged 3.0 goals, and both sides scored in 8 of them. Chonburi FC tend to win more corners, 6.0 a game to 3.7 for BG Pathum United.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
33%2.66
X
27%3.30
2
40%2.29
Double Chance
1X
60%1.49
X2
68%1.36
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%1.67
No
45%2.05
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.18 + 1.66 = 2.84
Over 1.5
74%1.25
Over 2.5
51%1.85
Over 3.5
31%3.04
Under 1.5
26%3.34
Under 2.5
49%1.85
Under 3.5
69%1.31
Corners

Corner forecasts not available for this match

Cards

Card forecasts not available for this match

Match Events

24'Edin OsmanovićFoul
31'Jorge Fellipe de Oliveira FigueiroFoul
45'Santipharp Channgom INChayathorn Tapsuvanavon out
45'Waris Chuthong INChanapach Buaphan out
45'Akarapong Pumwisat INFabio Kaufmann out
45'Edin Osmanović INRunphiset Phuthummee out
61'Stenio Marcos da Fonseca SalazarFoul
62'Sarach YooyenFoul
64'Saharat SontisawatAssist: Stenio Marcos da Fonseca Salazar
70'Joao Magno INAshley Mark Coffey out
74'Chanapach BuaphanFoul
74'Yotsakon Burapha INKorawich Tasa out
74'Saharat Sontisawat INChaowat Veerachat out
78'Chanathip SongkrasinFoul
80'Ashley Mark CoffeyFoul
81'Sarach Yooyen INLucas Andersen out
85'Guilherme Ferreira Pinto INDennis Murillo Skrzypiec out
90+4'Runphiset PhuthummeeFoul

Lineups

Chonburi FC
4-4-2Coach: W. Laohakul
BG Pathum United
4-1-4-1Coach: Peerapong Pichitchotirat
Avg rating6.73
Avg rating6.44
K. Mendoza6.51K. Mendoza
T. Do6.919T. Do
K. Linares6.72K. Linares
Jorge Fellipe7.047J. Fellipe
J. Sattham6.636J. Sattham
S. Channgom6.823S. Channgom
S. Sontisawat8.215S. Sontisawat
Wellington Priori6.26W. Priori
Negueba6.310Negueba
Y. Burapha6.38Y. Burapha
Stênio Júnior7.218S. Júnior
S. Anuin6.928S. Anuin
W. Choolthong6.748W. Choolthong
K. Kaman7.25K. Kaman
E. Dolah6.817E. Dolah
E. Osmanović6.650E. Osmanović
S. Yooyen7.06S. Yooyen
A. Pumwisat6.08A. Pumwisat
A. Belmonte6.626A. Belmonte
C. Songkrasin6.518C. Songkrasin
9191R. Buaban
João Magno6.345J. Magno

Chonburi FC Substitutes

46N. Kadtoon
32R. Moraksa
9Dennis Murillo85'for Guilherme Ferreira Pinto6.6
3Peerapat Notchaiya
87T. Panthong
31S. Paso
5N. Sayriya
80C. Tapsuvanavon45'for Santipharp Channgom6.5
11K. Tasa74'for Yotsakon Burapha6.4
14Chaowat Veerachat74'replaced by Saharat Sontisawat
30Bruno Ritter

BG Pathum United Substitutes

19A. Coffey70'for Joao Magno80'6.2
22Matheus Costa
49N. Ineachaeoen
4L. James
37F. Kaufmann45'for Akarapong Pumwisat6.2
79W. Phraothaisong
62Runphiset Phuthummee45'replaced by Edin Osmanović90+4'
10Lucas Andersen81'replaced by Sarach Yooyen
39T. Siripala
2C. Tamma
13I. Waewdee
15C. Buaphan45'for Waris Chuthong74'6.1

Match Stats

Chonburi FCBG Pathum United
36%Ball Possession64%
5Corner Kicks3
2Yellow Cards6
15Total Shots7
3Shots on Goal1
5Shots off Goal5
5Shots Inside Box4
10Shots Outside Box3
7Blocked Shots1
9Fouls18
0Offsides1
1Goalkeeper Saves2
277Total Passes479
219Passes Accurate430
17Free Kicks9

Team Comparison

Chonburi FCChonburi FC
BG Pathum UnitedBG Pathum United
1468Elo Rating 1603
1.36Attack 1.57
0.72Defense 2.36
27%Hit Rate 50%
16.4Shots per Game 11.9
5.3Shots on Target 5.0
6.0Corners per Game 3.7
3.1Cards per Game 1.5

AI Insights

⚽High Goal Expectancy2.84 goals
📈BTTS Trend80% in H2H
📉Home Underperforming

Game State Tendencies

Chonburi FCChonburi FC
  • Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 33% of the time
BG Pathum UnitedBG Pathum United
  • Leads at half-time in 60% of matches
  • Starts fast - scores more in 1st half (1.3 vs 0.2 in second half)

Head to Head

Last 10 meetings, all competitions

Chonburi FCChonburi FC2Wins · 20%
Draws330%
BG Pathum UnitedBG Pathum United5Wins · 50%
3.0Avg Goals
80%Both teams scored8 of 10
50%3+ goals5 of 10

Previous meetings

Thai League 108/03/2026
BG Pathum UnitedChonburi FC
23
Thai League 102/11/2025
Chonburi FCBG Pathum United
12
Thai League 120/04/2024
BG Pathum UnitedChonburi FC
11
League Cup13/03/2024
Chonburi FCBG Pathum United
14
FA Cup20/12/2023
Chonburi FCBG Pathum United
2121
Thai League 125/11/2023
Chonburi FCBG Pathum United
13
Thai League 112/05/2023
BG Pathum UnitedChonburi FC
10
Thai League 131/08/2022
Chonburi FCBG Pathum United
10
Thai League 104/05/2022
BG Pathum UnitedChonburi FC
41
Thai League 105/09/2021
Chonburi FCBG Pathum United
11

Recent Form

Chonburi FCChonburi FC
2W2D6L
24/10/2026
RatchaburiChonburi FC
12
W
20/10/2026
Chonburi FCPattaya City
25
L
17/10/2026
Chonburi FCPrachuap
12
L
11/10/2026
Sisaket UnitedChonburi FC
21
L
20/09/2026
Chonburi FCBuriram United
01
L
13/09/2026
Chonburi FCRayong FC
23
L
05/09/2026
Chiangrai UnitedChonburi FC
10
L
10/05/2026
Chonburi FCNakhon Ratchasima FC
21
W
02/05/2026
KanchanaburiChonburi FC
22
D
26/04/2026
Chonburi FCMuangthong United
00
D
BG Pathum UnitedBG Pathum United
3W4D3L
29/10/2026
Wofoo Tai PoBG Pathum United
03
W
24/10/2026
BG Pathum UnitedChiangrai United
20
W
21/10/2026
Khon Kaen UnitedBG Pathum United
10
L
18/10/2026
Sisaket UnitedBG Pathum United
11
D
15/10/2026
BG Pathum UnitedAdelaide United
12
L
10/10/2026
BG Pathum UnitedAyutthaya FC
11
D
20/09/2026
Bangkok UnitedBG Pathum United
32
L
17/09/2026
Home UnitedBG Pathum United
11
D
12/09/2026
BG Pathum UnitedRasi Salai United
32
W
04/09/2026
PattaniBG Pathum United
00
D

League Table

Thai League 1 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1Port FCPort FC650114:7+715WWWLW
2RatchaburiRatchaburi741217:8+913WLWWD
3Ayutthaya FCAyutthaya FC741212:7+513WWLDL
4PrachuapPrachuap64118:3+513DWWWW
5Buriram UnitedBuriram United641111:7+413LWWWD
6Bangkok UnitedBangkok United741210:6+413WDLWW
7Uthai ThaniUthai Thani731313:11+210LLDWW
8Lamphun WarriorLamphun Warrior731312:10+210WWWLD
9Sisaket UnitedSisaket United731310:13-310LWDWW
10BG Pathum UnitedBG Pathum United72329:8+19LWDDL
11Sukhothai FCSukhothai FC730410:16-69LWWLW
12Rayong FCRayong FC72239:15-68LLDLD
13PattaniPattani72147:12-57WLLLL
14Chonburi FCChonburi FC72057:10-36WWLLL
15Chiangrai UnitedChiangrai United61144:8-44LLLLD
16Rasi Salai UnitedRasi Salai United70169:21-121LLLLD
#TeamMPGPts
1Port FCPort FC614:715
2RatchaburiRatchaburi717:813
3Ayutthaya FCAyutthaya FC712:713
4PrachuapPrachuap68:313
5Buriram UnitedBuriram United611:713
6Bangkok UnitedBangkok United710:613
7Uthai ThaniUthai Thani713:1110
8Lamphun WarriorLamphun Warrior712:1010
9Sisaket UnitedSisaket United710:1310
10BG Pathum UnitedBG Pathum United79:89
11Sukhothai FCSukhothai FC710:169
12Rayong FCRayong FC79:158
13PattaniPattani77:127
14Chonburi FCChonburi FC77:106
15Chiangrai UnitedChiangrai United64:84
16Rasi Salai UnitedRasi Salai United79:211
Champions LeagueRelegation

About the Chonburi FC vs BG Pathum United forecast

Every forecast on this page comes from the same model inputs: team ratings, recent form, goals scored and conceded, and how these sides have fared against each other.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

Chonburi FC and BG Pathum United in the Thai League 1 table

In the Thai League 1 table, BG Pathum United are 10th and Chonburi FC 14th, 3 points apart. League goal record so far: Chonburi FC 7-10, BG Pathum United 9-8. The full standings are on the Thai League 1 Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

BG Pathum United have led at half-time in 60% of their recent matches. This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.