Corpus Christi vs Sarasota Paradise Prediction

Cabaniss Athletic Complex 21/06/2026

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Partial
Match Importance
3.0 / 10
AI Best Pick
81%Trust
Goals O/U
Under 3.5 Goals
1.33
SignalSTRONGModel14%SurpriseHighGap+5.9%
Corpus Christi Rest
7 days
Sarasota Paradise Rest
7 days

Corpus Christi vs Sarasota Paradise: the result in context

Corpus Christi beat Sarasota Paradise 4-1 in the USL League One on 21 Jun 2026. That went against recent form: Sarasota Paradise had won 4 of their previous five, compared with 2 for Corpus Christi.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
41%1.96
X
25%3.42
2
34%3.30
Double Chance
1X
66%1.27
X2
59%1.70
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%1.65
No
56%2.03
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.2 + 1 = 2.20
Over 1.5
63%1.22
Over 2.5
39%1.78
Over 3.5
19%2.83
Under 1.5
37%3.45
Under 2.5
61%1.92
Under 3.5
81%1.33
Corners

Corner forecasts not available for this match

Cards

Card forecasts not available for this match

Match Events

2'A. Walker
23'S. Gomez
25'J. KeeganAssist: I. Abeal
33'J. KeeganAssist: B. Bowen
37'J. Keaney
46'G. McLaughlin INE. Terzaghi out
46'S. Karani INS. Roed out
53'A. Walker(Penalty)
58'J. Dietrich INR. Cerritos out
62'E. KwakwaAssist: I. Abeal
68'R. Cerritos
74'A. Walker INA. Rodriguez out
77'E. Bryant INB. Krueger out
81'R. Valentine INJ. Pettersen out
84'A. Rosa
84'I. Abeal INK. T. Thomas out
88'J. Talbot
90+2'P. Langlois
90+3'K. T. ThomasAssist: R. Cerritos

Team Comparison

Corpus ChristiCorpus Christi
Sarasota ParadiseSarasota Paradise
1416Elo Rating 1508
0.93Attack 2.36
0.20Defense 0.82
0%Hit Rate 36%

AI Insights

💎Value Analysis Identified

Game State Tendencies

Corpus ChristiCorpus Christi
  • Concedes more in 1st half - tightens up after the break
Sarasota ParadiseSarasota Paradise
  • Tied at half-time in 60% of matches
  • Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 100% of the time
  • Scores more in 2nd half (1.4 vs 0.9 in first half)
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late

Head to Head

1 previous meeting, all competitions

Corpus ChristiCorpus Christi0Wins · 0%
Draws00%
Sarasota ParadiseSarasota Paradise1Wins · 100%
3.0Avg Goals
100%Both teams scored1 of 1
100%3+ goals1 of 1

Previous meetings

USL League One23/04/2026
Sarasota ParadiseCorpus Christi
21

Recent Form

Corpus ChristiCorpus Christi
2W3D5L
14/06/2026
Corpus ChristiRichmond Kickers
10
W
10/06/2026
Birmingham LegionCorpus Christi
30
L
04/06/2026
Corpus ChristiPortland Hearts of Pine
32
W
30/05/2026
Forward MadisonCorpus Christi
30
L
24/05/2026
Corpus ChristiOne Knoxville
22
D
21/05/2026
Fort WayneCorpus Christi
11
D
17/05/2026
Corpus ChristiFC Tulsa
01
L
10/05/2026
Corpus ChristiCharlotte Independence
13
L
03/05/2026
Corpus ChristiSpokane Velocity
00
D
23/04/2026
Sarasota ParadiseCorpus Christi
21
L
Sarasota ParadiseSarasota Paradise
5W0D5L
14/06/2026
Sarasota ParadiseUnion Omaha
20
W
11/06/2026
AltaSarasota Paradise
31
L
07/06/2026
NaplesSarasota Paradise
02
W
31/05/2026
Sarasota ParadiseNY Cosmos
21
W
28/05/2026
BoiseSarasota Paradise
02
W
25/05/2026
Spokane VelocitySarasota Paradise
10
L
17/05/2026
Sarasota ParadiseAlta
12
L
09/05/2026
Chattanooga Red WolvesSarasota Paradise
41
L
03/05/2026
Sarasota ParadiseForward Madison
13
L
23/04/2026
Sarasota ParadiseCorpus Christi
21
W

League Table

USL League One 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1Charlotte IndependenceCharlotte Independence32206674:46+2866LWWWD
2Union OmahaUnion Omaha32195854:34+2062DLLWW
3BoiseBoise32177851:41+1058WWWWL
4Forward MadisonForward Madison32168854:30+2456DWLDL
5Spokane VelocitySpokane Velocity321661050:44+654LDWLW
6One KnoxvilleOne Knoxville32159852:36+1654WLWLD
7Chattanooga Red WolvesChattanooga Red Wolves321451351:45+647DLLWL
8NaplesNaples321441439:46-746WWWWW
9Fort WayneFort Wayne321291147:42+545LLWWD
10Westchester SCWestchester SC321171455:51+440DWWWD
11Sarasota ParadiseSarasota Paradise321171449:51-240DLWWL
12Corpus ChristiCorpus Christi329101336:51-1537DLLLL
13AltaAlta328101440:48-834DLDLL
14Portland Hearts of PinePortland Hearts of Pine328101448:58-1034WLLDL
15Greenville TriumphGreenville Triumph32861837:60-2330WLWDL
16NY CosmosNY Cosmos32761940:66-2627DDLLL
17Richmond KickersRichmond Kickers32752037:65-2826LWLLW
#TeamMPGPts
1Charlotte IndependenceCharlotte Independence3274:4666
2Union OmahaUnion Omaha3254:3462
3BoiseBoise3251:4158
4Forward MadisonForward Madison3254:3056
5Spokane VelocitySpokane Velocity3250:4454
6One KnoxvilleOne Knoxville3252:3654
7Chattanooga Red WolvesChattanooga Red Wolves3251:4547
8NaplesNaples3239:4646
9Fort WayneFort Wayne3247:4245
10Westchester SCWestchester SC3255:5140
11Sarasota ParadiseSarasota Paradise3249:5140
12Corpus ChristiCorpus Christi3236:5137
13AltaAlta3240:4834
14Portland Hearts of PinePortland Hearts of Pine3248:5834
15Greenville TriumphGreenville Triumph3237:6030
16NY CosmosNY Cosmos3240:6627
17Richmond KickersRichmond Kickers3237:6526
Promotion

About the Corpus Christi vs Sarasota Paradise forecast

The forecasts for this USL League One match are built from team Elo ratings, recent form, scoring data and the head-to-head record, and are updated as new data arrives before kickoff.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

Corpus Christi and Sarasota Paradise in the USL League One table

Sarasota Paradise and Corpus Christi are close in the USL League One table, 11th and 12th, with 3 points between them. League goal record so far: Corpus Christi 36-51, Sarasota Paradise 49-51. The full standings are on the USL League One Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

Corpus Christi and Sarasota Paradise have met only 1 time recently, with 3.0 goals in that meeting. Some underlying data for this fixture is limited, which the model accounts for with a lower confidence rating.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.