Defensor Sporting vs Deportivo Maldonado Prediction

Primera DivisiónUruguay Uruguay · Clausura - 6
Defensor Sporting
1-0
Finished
HT 0-0
Deportivo Maldonado
Estadio Luis Franzini, Montevideo·Mathias De Armas, Uruguay 13/09/2026
Defensor SportingDefensor Sporting
1-0
Finished
Deportivo MaldonadoDeportivo Maldonado

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Partial
Match Importance
3.2 / 10
AI Best Pick
66%Trust
Double Chance
Draw or Away Win
1.38
SignalSOLIDModel46%SurpriseHighGap-6.1%
Defensor Sporting Rest
3 days
Deportivo Maldonado Rest
3 days

Defensor Sporting vs Deportivo Maldonado: result, form and history

Defensor Sporting beat Deportivo Maldonado 1-0 in the Primera División on 13 Sep 2026. That went against recent form: Deportivo Maldonado had won 3 of their previous five, compared with none for Defensor Sporting.

Meetings between them tend to be tight, with just 1.6 goals a game across 5 matches. Referee Mathias De Armas averages 4.73 cards a game, 1.23 fewer than other referees in the same competitions.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
26%2.70
X
28%3.08
2
46%2.45
Double Chance
1X
54%1.45
X2
74%1.38
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%1.87
No
52%1.85
Goals
Projected Goals: 0.93 + 1.51 = 2.44
Over 1.5
68%1.36
Over 2.5
46%2.11
Over 3.5
25%3.98
Under 1.5
32%2.90
Under 2.5
54%1.65
Under 3.5
75%1.22
Corners

Corner forecasts not available for this match

Cards

Card forecasts not available for this match

Match Events

18'M. Gonzalez
21'C. Tabo
38'G. Larrazabal
46'H. Menosse INN. Fuica out
64'A. Torterolo INN. Scotti out
70'N. Wunsch INT. A. Pozzo out
70'G. Barrios INE. Cuello out
73'G. Larrazabal INL. Nunez out
73'M. Gonzalez INC. Mayada out
80'C. Tabo ING. Sosa out
80'B. Montenegro
80'L. de los Santos(Penalty missed)
80'S. Cartagena
84'E. Elizalde
88'B. Montenegro INJ. Diaz out
89'S. Ramirez INL. Ibanez out
89'G. Rodriguez INM. Rabunal out

Lineups

Defensor Sporting
Coach: Mauricio Larriera
Deportivo Maldonado
Coach: Joaquin Boghossian

Defensor Sporting Starting XI

12Kevin Dawson
4Geanfranco Rodríguez
15Axel Frugone
3Guillermo De los Santos
11Lucas Agazzi
2Edgar Elizalde84'
5Germán Barrios70'replaced by E. Cuello
8Nicolás Wunsch70'replaced by T. A. Pozzo
24Lucas De los Santos
22Alan Torterolo64'replaced by N. Scotti
26Brian Montenegro80'88'replaced by J. Diaz

Deportivo Maldonado Starting XI

1Diego Segovia
22Juan Ramos
4Juan Martin Ginzo
3Hernán Menosse46'replaced by N. Fuica
19Facundo Tealde
28Santiago Cartagena80'
8Maximiliano González18'73'replaced by C. Mayada
7Gonzalo Larrazabal38'73'replaced by L. Nunez
17Santiago Ramírez89'replaced by L. Ibanez
14Christian Tabó21'80'replaced by G. Sosa
16Renato César

Defensor Sporting Substitutes

21Nicolas Scotti Urruty64'for A. Torterolo
30Erico Cuello Gutiérrez70'for G. Barrios
29Tomás Pozzo70'for N. Wunsch
1Lucas Machado
25Diego Abella
55Martín Rabuñal89'replaced by G. Rodriguez
10Xavier Biscayzacu
7Nicolás Medina
6Bruno Pereira
19Diaz88'for B. Montenegro

Deportivo Maldonado Substitutes

2Nicolás Fuica46'for H. Menosse
18Camilo Mayada73'for M. Gonzalez
5Lucas Núñez73'for G. Larrazabal
99Adriano Freitas
20Sebastian Tormo
32Hernán Petrik
42Joaquín Fernández
27Gonzalo Sosa80'for C. Tabo
23Adrián Vila
30Lautaro Ibáñez Benítez89'for S. Ramirez

Team Comparison

Defensor SportingDefensor Sporting
Deportivo MaldonadoDeportivo Maldonado
1454Elo Rating 1669
1.53Attack 2.43
0.74Defense 1.77
0%Hit Rate 54%
6.9Shots per Game 5.5
3.9Shots on Target 2.7
4.3Corners per Game 6.4
3.5Cards per Game 2.7

AI Insights

📈BTTS Trend40% in H2H
📊Away Overperforming

Game State Tendencies

Defensor SportingDefensor Sporting
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late
Deportivo MaldonadoDeportivo Maldonado
  • Tied at half-time in 60% of matches
  • Scores more in 2nd half (2 vs 0.4 in first half)

Head to Head

Last 5 meetings, all competitions

Defensor SportingDefensor Sporting1Wins · 20%
Draws240%
Deportivo MaldonadoDeportivo Maldonado2Wins · 40%
1.6Avg Goals
40%Both teams scored2 of 5
0%3+ goals0 of 5

Previous meetings

Primera División - Apertura15/03/2026
Deportivo MaldonadoDefensor Sporting
10
Primera División - Apertura09/06/2024
Deportivo MaldonadoDefensor Sporting
02
Primera División - Apertura24/03/2024
Deportivo MaldonadoDefensor Sporting
10
Primera División - Apertura23/04/2023
Defensor SportingDeportivo Maldonado
11
Primera División - Apertura29/05/2022
Defensor SportingDeportivo Maldonado
11

Recent Form

Defensor SportingDefensor Sporting
1W5D4L
10/09/2026
Cerro LargoDefensor Sporting
11
D
06/09/2026
Central EspanolDefensor Sporting
11
D
29/08/2026
Defensor SportingAtletico Torque
13
L
25/08/2026
Defensor SportingRentistas
00
D
22/08/2026
Cerro LargoDefensor Sporting
11
D
16/08/2026
Defensor SportingLiverpool Montevideo
04
L
09/08/2026
Defensor SportingWanderers
01
L04/08/2026
Defensor SportingCerro
21
W25/07/2026
Defensor SportingLiverpool Montevideo
12
L14/07/2026
Cerro LargoDefensor Sporting
11
D
Deportivo MaldonadoDeportivo Maldonado
4W4D2L
10/09/2026
Deportivo MaldonadoWanderers
41
W
05/09/2026
Deportivo MaldonadoWanderers
20
W
02/09/2026
CerritoDeportivo Maldonado
02
W
29/08/2026
JuventudDeportivo Maldonado
20
L
22/08/2026
Deportivo MaldonadoPenarol
00
D
16/08/2026
ProgresoDeportivo Maldonado
02
W11/08/2026
Deportivo MaldonadoRacing Montevideo
22
D01/08/2026
Deportivo MaldonadoJuventud
00
D18/07/2026
ProgresoDeportivo Maldonado
10
L11/07/2026
Deportivo MaldonadoAlbion FC
11
D

Referee Profile

Mathias De Armas119 matches

4.73Cards per match
4.54Yellow cards per match
0.19Red cards per match
23.4Fouls per match

Compared with other referees

Mathias De Armas4.73
Other referees5.96

4.73 cards a match, 1.23 fewer than other referees in the same competitions and seasons (5.96).

Cards come from 26 matches with official statistics.

Full referee stats

League Table

Primera División 2026

Primera: Tabla Anual

#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1PenarolPenarol34198751:27+2464DLWLW
2Deportivo MaldonadoDeportivo Maldonado34188854:32+2262DWWLW
3Atletico TorqueAtletico Torque341861057:40+1760DLDLL
4Club NacionalClub Nacional341841251:41+1058WLLWW
5Racing MontevideoRacing Montevideo341512742:30+1257DWWWD
6Liverpool MontevideoLiverpool Montevideo341511845:31+1456LWLDD
7WanderersWanderers341481241:43-250LLLWL
8Albion FCAlbion FC341371447:44+346WWDDW
9JuventudJuventud3410111337:41-441DWLLL
10Central EspanolCentral Espanol341081633:47-1438LDWWD
11Cerro LargoCerro Largo349101532:38-637LDDWL
12Boston RiverBoston River341071733:45-1237WLWWL
13CerroCerro341071728:51-2337DDWLW
14Defensor SportingDefensor Sporting348121433:43-1036DWLDD
15ProgresoProgreso341051931:47-1635WLLDD
16DanubioDanubio346141428:43-1532DDDLD
#TeamMPGPts
1PenarolPenarol3451:2764
2Deportivo MaldonadoDeportivo Maldonado3454:3262
3Atletico TorqueAtletico Torque3457:4060
4Club NacionalClub Nacional3451:4158
5Racing MontevideoRacing Montevideo3442:3057
6Liverpool MontevideoLiverpool Montevideo3445:3156
7WanderersWanderers3441:4350
8Albion FCAlbion FC3447:4446
9JuventudJuventud3437:4141
10Central EspanolCentral Espanol3433:4738
11Cerro LargoCerro Largo3432:3837
12Boston RiverBoston River3433:4537
13CerroCerro3428:5137
14Defensor SportingDefensor Sporting3433:4336
15ProgresoProgreso3431:4735
16DanubioDanubio3428:4332

Primera: Promedios

#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1PenarolPenarol71431414117:61+56143DLWLW
2Club NacionalClub Nacional71421415127:74+53137WLLWW
3Deportivo MaldonadoDeportivo Maldonado34188854:32+2262DWWLW
4Liverpool MontevideoLiverpool Montevideo7133221696:68+28121LWLDD
5Racing MontevideoRacing Montevideo7129231981:68+13110DWWWD
6Atletico TorqueAtletico Torque71311624111:91+20109DLDLL
7JuventudJuventud7128182582:80+2102DWLLL
8Defensor SportingDefensor Sporting7126192675:81-697DWLDD
9Albion FCAlbion FC341371447:44+346WWDDW
10Boston RiverBoston River7124202783:84-192WLWWL
11Cerro LargoCerro Largo7121232773:79-686LDDWL
12CerroCerro7122183161:93-3283DDWLW
13WanderersWanderers7120213066:90-2481LLLWL
14Central EspanolCentral Espanol341081633:47-1438LDWWD
15DanubioDanubio7116272869:84-1575DDDLD
16ProgresoProgreso7120143769:107-3874WLLDD
#TeamMPGPts
1PenarolPenarol71117:61143
2Club NacionalClub Nacional71127:74137
3Deportivo MaldonadoDeportivo Maldonado3454:3262
4Liverpool MontevideoLiverpool Montevideo7196:68121
5Racing MontevideoRacing Montevideo7181:68110
6Atletico TorqueAtletico Torque71111:91109
7JuventudJuventud7182:80102
8Defensor SportingDefensor Sporting7175:8197
9Albion FCAlbion FC3447:4446
10Boston RiverBoston River7183:8492
11Cerro LargoCerro Largo7173:7986
12CerroCerro7161:9383
13WanderersWanderers7166:9081
14Central EspanolCentral Espanol3433:4738
15DanubioDanubio7169:8475
16ProgresoProgreso7169:10774

Primera: Torneo Intermedio — Group 1

#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1PenarolPenarol751112:3+916DLWLW
2Cerro LargoCerro Largo73227:5+211LDDWL
3Racing MontevideoRacing Montevideo72414:3+110DWWWD
4Liverpool MontevideoLiverpool Montevideo72325:509LWLDD
5Central EspanolCentral Espanol72324:409LDWWD
6CerroCerro73046:10-49DDWLW
7Defensor SportingDefensor Sporting71336:9-36DWLDD
8Boston RiverBoston River71245:10-55WLWWL
#TeamMPGPts
1PenarolPenarol712:316
2Cerro LargoCerro Largo77:511
3Racing MontevideoRacing Montevideo74:310
4Liverpool MontevideoLiverpool Montevideo75:59
5Central EspanolCentral Espanol74:49
6CerroCerro76:109
7Defensor SportingDefensor Sporting76:96
8Boston RiverBoston River75:105

Primera: Torneo Intermedio — Group 2

#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1WanderersWanderers743012:4+815LLLWL
2Club NacionalClub Nacional74128:8013WLLWW
3Deportivo MaldonadoDeportivo Maldonado733112:6+612DWWLW
4Atletico TorqueAtletico Torque740311:11012DLDLL
5JuventudJuventud72238:11-38DWLLL
6Albion FCAlbion FC71336:8-26WWDDW
7ProgresoProgreso72056:11-56WLLDD
8DanubioDanubio70435:9-44DDDLD
#TeamMPGPts
1WanderersWanderers712:415
2Club NacionalClub Nacional78:813
3Deportivo MaldonadoDeportivo Maldonado712:612
4Atletico TorqueAtletico Torque711:1112
5JuventudJuventud78:118
6Albion FCAlbion FC76:86
7ProgresoProgreso76:116
8DanubioDanubio75:94

Primera: Apertura

#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1Racing MontevideoRacing Montevideo1594223:14+931DWWWD
2Deportivo MaldonadoDeportivo Maldonado1592424:16+829DWWLW
3Albion FCAlbion FC1584326:16+1028WWDDW
4PenarolPenarol1583423:16+727DLWLW
5Central EspanolCentral Espanol1573523:22+124LDWWD
6Atletico TorqueAtletico Torque1565422:16+623DLDLL
7Club NacionalClub Nacional1571726:21+522WLLWW
8Defensor SportingDefensor Sporting1556413:11+221DWLDD
9Liverpool MontevideoLiverpool Montevideo1555520:18+220LWLDD
10WanderersWanderers1562716:21-520LLLWL
11DanubioDanubio1546517:21-418DDDLD
12Cerro LargoCerro Largo1552816:19-317LDDWL
13Boston RiverBoston River1552814:20-617WLWWL
14JuventudJuventud1543817:22-515DWLLL
15ProgresoProgreso1524912:23-1110WLLDD
16CerroCerro152498:24-1610DDWLW
#TeamMPGPts
1Racing MontevideoRacing Montevideo1523:1431
2Deportivo MaldonadoDeportivo Maldonado1524:1629
3Albion FCAlbion FC1526:1628
4PenarolPenarol1523:1627
5Central EspanolCentral Espanol1523:2224
6Atletico TorqueAtletico Torque1522:1623
7Club NacionalClub Nacional1526:2122
8Defensor SportingDefensor Sporting1513:1121
9Liverpool MontevideoLiverpool Montevideo1520:1820
10WanderersWanderers1516:2120
11DanubioDanubio1517:2118
12Cerro LargoCerro Largo1516:1917
13Boston RiverBoston River1514:2017
14JuventudJuventud1517:2215
15ProgresoProgreso1512:2310
16CerroCerro158:2410

Primera: Clausura

#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1Liverpool MontevideoLiverpool Montevideo1283120:8+1227LWLDD
2Atletico TorqueAtletico Torque1281324:13+1125DLDLL
3Club NacionalClub Nacional1272317:12+523WLLWW
4Deportivo MaldonadoDeportivo Maldonado1263318:10+821DWWLW
5PenarolPenarol1264216:8+821DLWLW
6ProgresoProgreso1261513:13019WLLDD
7JuventudJuventud1246212:8+418DWLLL
8CerroCerro1253414:17-318DDWLW
9Racing MontevideoRacing Montevideo1244415:13+216DWWWD
10Boston RiverBoston River1243514:15-115WLWWL
11WanderersWanderers1243513:18-515LLLWL
12Albion FCAlbion FC1240815:20-512WWDDW
13DanubioDanubio122466:13-710DDDLD
14Cerro LargoCerro Largo121659:14-59LDDWL
15Defensor SportingDefensor Sporting1223714:23-99DWLDD
16Central EspanolCentral Espanol121296:21-155LDWWD
#TeamMPGPts
1Liverpool MontevideoLiverpool Montevideo1220:827
2Atletico TorqueAtletico Torque1224:1325
3Club NacionalClub Nacional1217:1223
4Deportivo MaldonadoDeportivo Maldonado1218:1021
5PenarolPenarol1216:821
6ProgresoProgreso1213:1319
7JuventudJuventud1212:818
8CerroCerro1214:1718
9Racing MontevideoRacing Montevideo1215:1316
10Boston RiverBoston River1214:1515
11WanderersWanderers1213:1815
12Albion FCAlbion FC1215:2012
13DanubioDanubio126:1310
14Cerro LargoCerro Largo129:149
15Defensor SportingDefensor Sporting1214:239
16Central EspanolCentral Espanol126:215
PromotionRelegation

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About the Defensor Sporting vs Deportivo Maldonado forecast

Every forecast on this page comes from the same model inputs: team ratings, recent form, goals scored and conceded, and how these sides have fared against each other.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

Defensor Sporting and Deportivo Maldonado in the Primera División table

The table shows a wide gap: Deportivo Maldonado are 2nd in the Primera División, while Defensor Sporting sit 14th, 26 points behind. League goal record so far: Defensor Sporting 33-43, Deportivo Maldonado 54-32. The full standings are on the Primera División Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

Some underlying data for this fixture is limited, which the model accounts for with a lower confidence rating.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.