Dinamo Minsk vs Neftchi Baku Prediction

Dinamo Minsk
0-1
Finished
HT 0-1
Neftchi Baku
Beroe Stadium, Stara Zagora·Tim Marshall, Northern Ireland 30/07/2026

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Partial
Match Importance
4.8 / 10
AI Best Pick
74%Trust
Double Chance
Home Win or Draw
1.52
SignalGOODModel59%SurpriseMediumGap+8.5%
Value Analysis
54%Trust
Goals O/U
Over 2.5 Goals
1.93
SignalNEUTRALModel51%SurpriseMediumGap+5.4%
Dinamo Minsk Rest
8 days
Neftchi Baku Rest
8 days

Dinamo Minsk vs Neftchi Baku: the result in context

Neftchi Baku beat Dinamo Minsk 1-0 in the UEFA Europa Conference League on 30 Jul 2026. The two went into the match with similar recent form.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
65%2.80
X
9%3.25
2
26%2.40
Double Chance
1X
74%1.52
X2
35%1.38
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%1.71
No
50%1.99
Goals
Projected Goals: 2.04 + 0.91 = 2.95
Over 1.5
76%1.30
Over 2.5
53%1.93
Over 3.5
30%3.30
Under 1.5
24%3.27
Under 2.5
47%1.80
Under 3.5
70%1.28
Corners

Corner forecasts not available for this match

Cards

Card forecasts not available for this match

Match Events

12'Breno Almeida
24'A. Sokolovskiy
30'A. Gravillon
58'L. Tupta INB. Sambou out
66'K. Vardanyan INL. Gweth out
66'A. Sokolovskiy INA. Zhechko out
74'I. Mathew INS. D'Almeida out
74'Breno Almeida INE. Safarov out
83'M. Djimet ING. Alykulov out
83'G. Gurban INM. Shvetsov out
86'E. Mahmudov INIgor Ribeiro out
88'L. Gweth
90+1'E. Malashevich INR. Begunov out
90+4'F. Sacko

Lineups

Dinamo Minsk
4-3-3Coach: Aleksandr Shagoyko
Neftchi Baku
4-3-3Coach: Yuri Vernidub
Ivan Shimakovich1I. Shimakovich
Gleb Gurban44G. Gurban
Aleksey Ivanov12A. Ivanov
Vladislav Kalinin26V. Kalinin
Abdoul Aziz Toure25A. Aziz Toure
Aleksandr Selyava8A. Selyava
Artem Sokolovskiy78A. Sokolovskiy
Fawaz Abdullahi42F. Abdullahi
Moustapha Djimet30M. Djimet
Karen Vardanyan10K. Vardanyan
Yevgeniy Malashevich7Y. Malashevich
Emil Balayev1E. Balayev
Falaye Sacko77F. Sacko
Andreaw Gravillon55A. Gravillon
Murad Khachayev17M. Khachayev
Rüfat Abbasov3R. Abbasov
Gustavo Klismahn20G. Klismahn
Ifeanyi Mathew18I. Mathew
Emin Mahmudov8E. Mahmudov
Breno Almeida33B. Almeida
Lubomir Tupta29L. Tupta
Imad Faraj11I. Faraj

Dinamo Minsk Substitutes

23Aleksey Zhechko66'for A. Sokolovskiy
80Leonard Chatelin Gweth66'for K. Vardanyan88'
21Danila Radkevich
67Roman Begunov90+1'for E. Malashevich
27Mikhail Aleksandrov
3Maksim Shvetsov83'for G. Gurban
24Aleksey Vakulich
5Daniil Dushevskiy
19Rayan-Elie Guibero
13Vladislav Poloz
11Gulzhigit Alykulov83'for M. Djimet
9Andrei Lutskovich

Neftchi Baku Substitutes

97Bassala Sambou58'for L. Tupta
93Rza Cəfərov
13Kenan Pirić
82Mahammad Mammadli
14Elvin Badalov
24Moustapha Seck
5Igor86'for E. Mahmudov
6Sessi D'Almeida74'for I. Mathew
7Emil Safarov
4Elvin Camalov
19Agadadas Salyanskiy

Team Comparison

Dinamo MinskDinamo Minsk
Neftchi BakuNeftchi Baku
1700Elo Rating 1674
2.36Attack 1.88
2.20Defense 1.76
100%Hit Rate 31%
10.8Shots per Game -
5.0Shots on Target -
6.2Corners per Game -
2.3Cards per Game -

AI Insights

⚽High Goal Expectancy2.94 goals
📈BTTS Trend
💎Value Analysis Identified
📊Home Overperforming

Game State Tendencies

Dinamo MinskDinamo Minsk
  • Leads at half-time in 60% of matches
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
  • Scores more in 2nd half (1.4 vs 0.9 in first half)
Neftchi BakuNeftchi Baku
  • Leads at half-time in 60% of matches
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
  • Starts fast - scores more in 1st half (1.2 vs 0.7 in second half)

Head to Head

1 previous meeting, all competitions

Dinamo MinskDinamo Minsk1Wins · 100%
Draws00%
Neftchi BakuNeftchi Baku0Wins · 0%
6.0Avg Goals
100%Both teams scored1 of 1
100%3+ goals1 of 1

Recent Form

Dinamo MinskDinamo Minsk
8W1D1L
22/07/2026
Neftchi BakuDinamo Minsk
24
W
16/07/2026
SileksDinamo Minsk
5061
W
09/07/2026
Dinamo MinskSileks
01
L
02/07/2026
FC MinskDinamo Minsk
03
W
27/06/2026
Dinamo MinskFC Vitebsk
11
D
21/06/2026
NemanDinamo Minsk
13
W
17/06/2026
FC SlutskDinamo Minsk
02
W
13/06/2026
Dinamo MinskFC Gomel
21
W
30/05/2026
ArsenalDinamo Minsk
01
W
24/05/2026
Dinamo MinskFC Dnepr Mogilev
31
W
Neftchi BakuNeftchi Baku
6W1D3L
22/07/2026
Neftchi BakuDinamo Minsk
24
L
10/07/2026
Radnicki NISNeftchi Baku
03
W
06/07/2026
FK PartizanNeftchi Baku
10
L
23/05/2026
KapazNeftchi Baku
01
W
17/05/2026
Sabah FANeftchi Baku
12
W
10/05/2026
Neftchi BakuŞamaxı FK
30
W
05/05/2026
KarvanNeftchi Baku
03
W
30/04/2026
Neftchi BakuQarabag
21
W
26/04/2026
Neftchi BakuQarabag
15
L
17/04/2026
ZiraNeftchi Baku
11
D

Bracket

Qualifying Round 1
Qualifying Round 2
Qualifying Round 3
Play-offs
Lincoln Red Imps FC
Seeded
Larne
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Brighton
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KI Klaksvik
Seeded
PAOK
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Vikingur Reykjavik
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Gornik Zabrze
Seeded
Monaco
Seeded
Hradec Králové
Seeded
SC Freiburg
Seeded
Maccabi Tel Aviv
Seeded
Atalanta
Seeded
Heart Of Midlothian
Seeded
Rangers
Seeded
Shamrock Rovers
Seeded
KuPS
Seeded
Pafos
Seeded
Getafe
Seeded
Tromso
Seeded
HNK Hajduk Split
Seeded
Sheriff Tiraspol
Seeded
FC ST. Gallen
Seeded
Dynamo Kyiv
Seeded
Qarabag
Seeded
Inter Club d'Escaldes
Seeded
Hammarby FF
Seeded
Twente
Seeded
FC Midtjylland
Seeded
Tre Fiori
Seeded
IFK Goteborg
Seeded
Floriana
Seeded
Drita
Seeded
Atert Bissen
Seeded
Gyori ETO FC
Seeded
Neftchi Baku
Seeded
Başakşehir
Seeded
Vardar Skopje
Seeded
Riga
Seeded
Spartak Trnava
Seeded
CSKA 1948
Seeded
Železničar Pančevo
Seeded
SC Braga
Seeded
Hibernian
Seeded
Austria Vienna
Seeded
CFR 1907 Cluj
Seeded
Panevėžys
Seeded
FK Tobol Kostanay
Seeded
HJK Helsinki
Seeded
Coleraine FC
Seeded
Flora Tallinn
Seeded
The New Saints
Seeded
Debreceni VSC
Seeded
Apollon Limassol
Seeded
AEK Larnaca
Seeded
Beitar Jerusalem
Seeded
Raków Częstochowa
Seeded
Valletta FC
Seeded
Dunajska Streda
Seeded
Vestri
Seeded
Gais
Seeded
FC Nordsjaelland
Seeded
FC Sion
Seeded
Rapid Vienna
Seeded
Zimbru
Seeded
FC Noah
Seeded
ML Vitebsk
Seeded
Sutjeska
Seeded
Universitatea Cluj
Seeded
Brann
Seeded
FC Vaduz
Seeded
FCSB
Seeded
Auda
Seeded
NK Varazdin
Seeded
FK Jablonec
Seeded
Aluminij
Seeded
Vojvodina
Seeded
Ajax
Seeded
Polessya
Seeded
FC Copenhagen
Seeded
Paks
Seeded
Panathinaikos
Seeded
Hapoel Tel Aviv
Seeded
Ludogorets
Seeded
Borac Banja Luka
Seeded
Petrocub
Seeded
LNZ Cherkasy
Seeded
Gent
Seeded
FC Lugano
Seeded
Dukagjini
Seeded
Žilina
Seeded
GKS Katowice
Seeded
Motherwell
Seeded
HB Torshavn
Seeded
Bravo
Seeded
Koper
Seeded
HNK Rijeka
Seeded
Derry City
Seeded
Shelbourne
Seeded
FK Partizan
Seeded
Valur Reykjavik
Seeded
Zrinjski
Seeded
Lincoln Red Imps FC
Seeded
Larne
Seeded
Brighton
Seeded
KI Klaksvik
Seeded
PAOK
Seeded
Vikingur Reykjavik
Seeded
Gornik Zabrze
Seeded
Monaco
Seeded
Hradec Králové
Seeded
SC Freiburg
Seeded
Maccabi Tel Aviv
Seeded
Atalanta
Seeded
Heart Of Midlothian
Seeded
Rangers
Seeded
Shamrock Rovers
Seeded
KuPS
Seeded
Pafos
Seeded
Getafe
Seeded
Tromso
Seeded
HNK Hajduk Split
Seeded
Sheriff Tiraspol
Seeded
FC ST. Gallen
Seeded
Dynamo Kyiv
Seeded
Qarabag
Seeded
Inter Club d'Escaldes
Seeded
Hammarby FF
Seeded
Twente
Seeded
FC Midtjylland
Seeded
Tre Fiori
Seeded
Lincoln Red Imps FC
Seeded
Larne
Seeded
Brighton
Seeded
KI Klaksvik
Seeded
PAOK
Seeded
Vikingur Reykjavik
Seeded
Gornik Zabrze
Seeded
Monaco
Seeded
Hradec Králové
Seeded
SC Freiburg
Seeded
Maccabi Tel Aviv
Seeded
Atalanta
Seeded
Heart Of Midlothian
Seeded
Rangers
Seeded
Shamrock Rovers
Seeded
KuPS
Seeded
Pafos
Seeded
Getafe
Seeded
Lincoln Red Imps FC
Seeded
Larne
Seeded
Brighton
Seeded
KI Klaksvik
Seeded
PAOK
Seeded
Vikingur Reykjavik
Seeded
Gornik Zabrze
Seeded
Monaco
Seeded
Hradec Králové
Seeded
SC Freiburg
Seeded
Maccabi Tel Aviv
Seeded
Atalanta
Seeded
Heart Of Midlothian
Seeded
Rangers
Seeded
Shamrock Rovers
Seeded
KuPS
Seeded
Pafos
Seeded
Getafe
Seeded
Tromso
Seeded
HNK Hajduk Split
Seeded
Sheriff Tiraspol
Seeded
FC ST. Gallen
Seeded
Dynamo Kyiv
Seeded
Qarabag
Seeded
Inter Club d'Escaldes
Seeded
Hammarby FF
Seeded
Twente
Seeded
FC Midtjylland
Seeded
Tre Fiori
Seeded

About the Dinamo Minsk vs Neftchi Baku forecast

This is a UEFA Europa Conference League cup fixture; the forecasts combine team ratings, recent form and scoring data, with the cup context taken into account.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

About UEFA Europa Conference League

More UEFA Europa Conference League fixtures and forecasts are on the UEFA Europa Conference League Predictions page.

Key Factors for This Match

Dinamo Minsk have led at half-time in 60% of their recent matches. Neftchi Baku have led at half-time in 60% of their recent matches. Dinamo Minsk and Neftchi Baku have met only 1 time recently, with 6.0 goals in that meeting. Some underlying data for this fixture is limited, which the model accounts for with a lower confidence rating.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.