Egersund vs Sogndal Prediction

Egersund
3-3
Finished
HT 2-1
Sogndal
XL-BYGG Sorvest Arena·M. Koloy 18/10/2026
EgersundEgersund
3-3
Finished
SogndalSogndal

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Partial
Match Importance
3.2 / 10
AI Best Pick
72%Trust
Double Chance
Home Win or Draw
1.31
SignalGOODModel48%SurpriseHighGap-4.3%
Egersund Rest
3 days
Sogndal Rest
3 days

Egersund vs Sogndal: the result in context

Egersund and Sogndal drew 3-3 in the 1. Division on 18 Oct 2026. The two went into the match with similar recent form.

Sogndal have had the better of this fixture, winning 3 of the 5 previous meetings, which averaged 3.0 goals a game.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
50%1.80
X
22%3.98
2
28%3.45
Double Chance
1X
72%1.31
X2
50%1.86
Both Teams to Score
Yes
68%1.36
No
32%2.90
Goals
Projected Goals: 2.14 + 1.24 = 3.38
Over 1.5
86%1.08
Over 2.5
69%1.33
Over 3.5
48%1.91
Under 1.5
14%6.26
Under 2.5
31%2.96
Under 3.5
52%1.80
Corners

Corner forecasts not available for this match

Cards

Card forecasts not available for this match

Match Events

7'E. Hovland
17'K. Arierhi
28'R. GyamfiAssist: K. Eggen
30'N. Tornvig
46'L. Gausdal INV. Hagen out
46'M. Oren INP. Asp out
46'E. Hovland INF. Flo out
47'K. Arierhi
58'J. Gregersen INS. Vatne out
72'R. Gyamfi INB. Baxter out
72'S. R. Michalsen INH. Hardarson out
74'P. Asp
77'T. Pippola INL. Vapne out
78'K. Arierhi INO. Helen out
80'P. Asp
82'F. Flo
86'B. Maeland INP. Hovland out
86'K. Eggen INJ. Jorgensen out
90+1'J. Haruna
90+4'H. Kleppa

Team Comparison

EgersundEgersund
SogndalSogndal
1505Elo Rating 1436
1.96Attack 1.84
1.59Defense 1.40
41%Hit Rate 42%

AI Insights

⚽High Goal Expectancy3.37 goals
📈BTTS Trend40% in H2H
⚠️Away Rotation Risk60%

Game State Tendencies

EgersundEgersund
  • Leads at half-time in 60% of matches
  • Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 100% of the time
  • Starts fast - scores more in 1st half (1.2 vs 0.8 in second half)
  • Concedes more in 1st half - tightens up after the break
SogndalSogndal
  • Tied at half-time in 60% of matches
  • Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 50% of the time
  • Scores more in 2nd half (1.4 vs 0.4 in first half)
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late

Head to Head

Last 5 meetings, all competitions

EgersundEgersund1Wins · 20%
Draws120%
SogndalSogndal3Wins · 60%
3.0Avg Goals
40%Both teams scored2 of 5
40%3+ goals2 of 5

Previous meetings

1. Division27/06/2026
SogndalEgersund
42
1. Division25/10/2025
SogndalEgersund
01
1. Division25/05/2025
EgersundSogndal
02
1. Division03/08/2024
EgersundSogndal
02
1. Division09/06/2024
SogndalEgersund
22

Recent Form

EgersundEgersund
3W4D3L
14/10/2026
MossEgersund
00
D
11/10/2026
Egersundhodd
31
W
02/10/2026
RanheimEgersund
50
L
20/09/2026
ODD BallklubbEgersund
51
L
16/09/2026
jervEgersund
12
W
13/09/2026
EgersundKongsvinger
11
D
06/09/2026
LynEgersund
11
D
30/08/2026
EgersundAsane
22
D
26/08/2026
HaugesundEgersund
30
L
22/08/2026
VågEgersund
25
W
SogndalSogndal
3W2D5L
14/10/2026
SogndalODD Ballklubb
01
L
11/10/2026
AsaneSogndal
21
L
20/09/2026
StabaekSogndal
21
L
16/09/2026
SotraSogndal
3151
W
13/09/2026
SogndalStrommen
11
D
05/09/2026
HaugesundSogndal
20
L
30/08/2026
SogndalStromsgodset
23
L
26/08/2026
MossSogndal
22
D
21/08/2026
FjøraSogndal
08
W
16/08/2026
SogndalSandnes ULF
20
W

League Table

1. Division 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1HaugesundHaugesund29212684:48+3665WWLWD
2StromsgodsetStromsgodset29196479:34+4563WLWWW
3KongsvingerKongsvinger28185582:45+3759LWLWW
4StabaekStabaek28174766:34+3255WWWDL
5ODD BallklubbODD Ballklubb29137957:46+1146DLLWW
6BryneBryne291341243:41+243WDLDL
7RanheimRanheim291251273:69+441WWWDL
8EgersundEgersund291081148:57-938WDDDW
9hoddhodd291151349:59-1038LLWDL
10StrommenStrommen291061350:62-1236LWWWD
11LynLyn291041546:59-1334WLWLL
12SogndalSogndal29861548:63-1530LWWDL
13Sandnes ULFSandnes ULF29861542:58-1630DWLLD
14MossMoss29851641:62-2129LLLDW
15AsaneAsane29751741:65-2426LWLLW
16RaufossRaufoss29622131:78-4720LLLLD
#TeamMPGPts
1HaugesundHaugesund2984:4865
2StromsgodsetStromsgodset2979:3463
3KongsvingerKongsvinger2882:4559
4StabaekStabaek2866:3455
5ODD BallklubbODD Ballklubb2957:4646
6BryneBryne2943:4143
7RanheimRanheim2973:6941
8EgersundEgersund2948:5738
9hoddhodd2949:5938
10StrommenStrommen2950:6236
11LynLyn2946:5934
12SogndalSogndal2948:6330
13Sandnes ULFSandnes ULF2942:5830
14MossMoss2941:6229
15AsaneAsane2941:6526
16RaufossRaufoss2931:7820
PromotionRelegation

About the Egersund vs Sogndal forecast

The forecasts for this 1. Division match are built from team Elo ratings, recent form, scoring data and the head-to-head record, and are updated as new data arrives before kickoff.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

Egersund and Sogndal in the 1. Division table

In the 1. Division table, Egersund are 8th and Sogndal 12th, 8 points apart. League goal record so far: Egersund 48-57, Sogndal 48-63. The full standings are on the 1. Division Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

Egersund have led at half-time in 60% of their recent matches. Some underlying data for this fixture is limited, which the model accounts for with a lower confidence rating.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.