Erbil vs Diyala Prediction

Erbil
2-0
Finished
HT 1-0
Diyala
Franso Hariri Stadium, Arbil 08/09/2026
ErbilErbil
2-0
Finished
DiyalaDiyala

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Partial
Match Importance
3.2 / 10
AI Best Pick
85%Trust
Double Chance
Home Win or Draw
1.17
SignalSTRONGModel69%SurpriseMediumGap-0.7%
Value Analysis
61%Trust
BTTS
Both Teams NOT to Score
1.83
SignalSOLIDModel61%SurpriseMediumGap+7.4%
Erbil Rest
3 days
Diyala Rest
5 days

Erbil vs Diyala: the result in context

Erbil beat Diyala 2-0 in the Iraqi League on 8 Sep 2026. It was in line with recent form: Erbil had won 3 of their previous five, compared with 1 for Diyala.

Their history points to a close game: 4 previous meetings produced 2.0 goals a game.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
66%1.78
X
22%3.40
2
12%3.91
Double Chance
1X
88%1.17
X2
34%1.83
Both Teams to Score
Yes
39%1.85
No
61%1.83
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.59 + 0.68 = 2.27
Over 1.5
66%1.29
Over 2.5
39%1.93
Over 3.5
19%3.29
Under 1.5
34%3.00
Under 2.5
61%1.75
Under 3.5
81%1.25
Corners

Corner forecasts not available for this match

Cards

Card forecasts not available for this match

Match Events

15'A. Shebar
27'A. Al Matari
90+7'I. Bayesh(Penalty)

Team Comparison

ErbilErbil
DiyalaDiyala
1590Elo Rating 1476
1.64Attack 1.05
1.09Defense 2.30
14%Hit Rate 37%

AI Insights

🏠Strong Home Advantage+114 Elo

Game State Tendencies

ErbilErbil
  • Leads at half-time in 60% of matches
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
  • Starts fast - scores more in 1st half (1 vs 0.6 in second half)
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late
DiyalaDiyala
  • Tied at half-time in 80% of matches
  • Scores more in 2nd half (0.7 vs 0.4 in first half)
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late

Head to Head

Last 4 meetings, all competitions

ErbilErbil2Wins · 50%
Draws125%
DiyalaDiyala1Wins · 25%
2.0Avg Goals
50%Both teams scored2 of 4
25%3+ goals1 of 4

Previous meetings

Iraqi League23/03/2026
ErbilDiyala
20
Iraqi League22/12/2025
DiyalaErbil
11
Iraqi League12/05/2025
DiyalaErbil
10
Iraqi League20/09/2024
ErbilDiyala
21

Recent Form

ErbilErbil
7W2D1L
04/09/2026
Al ShortaErbil
00
D
31/08/2026
ErbilAl Minaa Basra
20
W
25/08/2026
Al KarkhErbil
01
W
21/08/2026
ErbilAl Quwa Al Jawiya
11
D
16/08/2026
ErbilAl Kahrabaa
20
W
02/06/2026
ErbilBaghdad
31
W
28/05/2026
ZakhoErbil
12
W
20/05/2026
Al ShortaErbil
02
W
16/05/2026
ErbilNewroz
01
L
11/05/2026
Al NajafErbil
14
W
DiyalaDiyala
3W2D5L
03/09/2026
DiyalaAl-Karma
12
L
29/08/2026
DiyalaAl-Jolan SC
33
D
25/08/2026
ZakhoDiyala
22
D
21/08/2026
MosulDiyala
21
L
15/08/2026
DiyalaAl Talaba
21
W
01/06/2026
DiyalaDuhok
10
W
27/05/2026
Al-KarmaDiyala
10
L
19/05/2026
DiyalaBaghdad
14
L
15/05/2026
DiyalaAl Shorta
02
L
11/05/2026
ZakhoDiyala
12
W

League Table

Iraqi League 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1NaftNaft1274114:5+925WDWWW
2Al-KarmaAl-Karma1173118:9+924LDWWW
3NewrozNewroz1164116:4+1222DWWDW
4Al ShortaAl Shorta1155112:5+720W
5Al-Jolan SCAl-Jolan SC1255216:12+420WWWDD
6ErbilErbil1153314:7+718LLDWL
7Al Zawra'aAl Zawra'a1153315:9+618LLLWW
8Al Minaa BasraAl Minaa Basra1244412:13-116DWLWD
9DuhokDuhok1136219:15+415WLWDL
10Ghaz Al ShamalGhaz Al Shamal113536:7-114WWLDD
11Al TalabaAl Talaba1135311:14-314WWDDL
12Al Quwa Al JawiyaAl Quwa Al Jawiya1227314:13+113DLDWD
13DiyalaDiyala1134415:16-113DWLDW
14ZakhoZakho113359:15-612WLLLW
15MosulMosul1233613:20-712LDWLL
16GharrafGharraf112456:13-710DWDLL
17Al KarkhAl Karkh1123614:19-59DDLWW
18Al KahrabaaAl Kahrabaa121567:14-78LLLDL
19Naft MaysanNaft Maysan111557:15-88LLDLW
20KarbalaKarbala111379:22-136LLDLL
#TeamMPGPts
1NaftNaft1214:525
2Al-KarmaAl-Karma1118:924
3NewrozNewroz1116:422
4Al ShortaAl Shorta1112:520
5Al-Jolan SCAl-Jolan SC1216:1220
6ErbilErbil1114:718
7Al Zawra'aAl Zawra'a1115:918
8Al Minaa BasraAl Minaa Basra1212:1316
9DuhokDuhok1119:1515
10Ghaz Al ShamalGhaz Al Shamal116:714
11Al TalabaAl Talaba1111:1414
12Al Quwa Al JawiyaAl Quwa Al Jawiya1214:1313
13DiyalaDiyala1115:1613
14ZakhoZakho119:1512
15MosulMosul1213:2012
16GharrafGharraf116:1310
17Al KarkhAl Karkh1114:199
18Al KahrabaaAl Kahrabaa127:148
19Naft MaysanNaft Maysan117:158
20KarbalaKarbala119:226
Champions LeagueRelegation

About the Erbil vs Diyala forecast

The forecasts for this Iraqi League match are built from team Elo ratings, recent form, scoring data and the head-to-head record, and are updated as new data arrives before kickoff.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

Erbil and Diyala in the Iraqi League table

In the Iraqi League table, Erbil are 6th and Diyala 13th, 5 points apart. League goal record so far: Erbil 14-7, Diyala 15-16. The full standings are on the Iraqi League Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

Erbil have led at half-time in 60% of their recent matches. Some underlying data for this fixture is limited, which the model accounts for with a lower confidence rating.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.