Esteghlal FC vs Persepolis FC Prediction

Esteghlal FC
1-1
Finished
HT 0-0
Persepolis FC
Azadi Stadium, Tehran 02/09/2026

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Partial
Match Importance
4.5 / 10
AI Best Pick
75%Trust
Double Chance
Home Win or Draw
1.44
SignalGOODModel47%SurpriseMediumGap+5.5%
Esteghlal FC Rest
4 days
Persepolis FC Rest
4 days

Esteghlal FC vs Persepolis FC: the result in context

Esteghlal FC and Persepolis FC drew 1-1 in the Persian Gulf Pro League on 2 Sep 2026. The two went into the match with similar recent form.

Their history points to a close game: 10 previous meetings produced 1.6 goals a game.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
49%2.90
X
29%2.98
2
22%2.44
Double Chance
1X
78%1.44
X2
51%1.34
Both Teams to Score

Both teams to score forecasts not available for this match

Goals

Goal forecasts not available for this match

Corners

Corner forecasts not available for this match

Cards

Card forecasts not available for this match

Match Events

41'A. Razzaghinia
50'M. Mohebi
58'I. Sergeev INM. Omri out
59'J. Asani
75'M. Tikdari
77'H. Goudarzi
78'T. Bifouma INP. Shahrabadi out
78'M. Mohebi INO. Urunov out
88'

Team Comparison

Esteghlal FCEsteghlal FC
Persepolis FCPersepolis FC
1664Elo Rating 1627
0.90Attack 1.47
1.93Defense 2.56
36%Hit Rate 54%
9.4Shots per Game -
1.8Shots on Target -
2.5Corners per Game -
2.4Cards per Game -

AI Insights

🔥Derby Match
💎Value Analysis Identified

Game State Tendencies

Esteghlal FCEsteghlal FC
  • Leads at half-time in 60% of matches
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late
Persepolis FCPersepolis FC
  • Leads at half-time in 60% of matches
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
  • Scores more in 2nd half (0.9 vs 0.5 in first half)
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late

Head to Head

Last 10 meetings, all competitions

Esteghlal FCEsteghlal FC0Wins · 0%
Draws660%
Persepolis FCPersepolis FC4Wins · 40%
1.6Avg Goals
50%Both teams scored5 of 10
30%3+ goals3 of 10

Previous meetings

Persian Gulf Pro League05/12/2025
Persepolis FCEsteghlal FC
00
Persian Gulf Pro League27/02/2025
Persepolis FCEsteghlal FC
21
Persian Gulf Pro League25/09/2024
Esteghlal FCPersepolis FC
01
Persian Gulf Pro League13/03/2024
Esteghlal FCPersepolis FC
00
Persian Gulf Pro League14/12/2023
Persepolis FCEsteghlal FC
11
Hazfi Cup31/05/2023
Esteghlal FCPersepolis FC
12
Persian Gulf Pro League23/04/2023
Persepolis FCEsteghlal FC
10
Persian Gulf Pro League20/12/2022
Esteghlal FCPersepolis FC
22
Persian Gulf Pro League17/03/2022
Persepolis FCEsteghlal FC
11
Persian Gulf Pro League04/12/2021
Esteghlal FCPersepolis FC
00

Recent Form

Esteghlal FCEsteghlal FC
6W1D3L
28/08/2026
Foolad FCEsteghlal FC
00
D
23/08/2026
Esteghlal FCSepahan FC
20
W
18/08/2026
Nassaji MazandaranEsteghlal FC
01
W
14/08/2026
Esteghlal FCMes Shahr-e Babak
40
W
27/02/2026
Esteghlal FCFajr Sepasi
21
W
22/02/2026
Mes RafsanjanEsteghlal FC
01
W
17/02/2026
Al HusseinEsteghlal FC
32
L
10/02/2026
Esteghlal FCAl Hussein
01
L
05/02/2026
Esteghlal FCShams Azar Qazvin
32
W
01/02/2026
PaykanEsteghlal FC
10
L
Persepolis FCPersepolis FC
5W0D5L
29/08/2026
Persepolis FCMalavan
30
W
24/08/2026
Tractor SaziPersepolis FC
10
L
19/08/2026
Persepolis FCEsteghlal Khuzestan
41
W
15/08/2026
Shams Azar QazvinPersepolis FC
02
W
20/02/2026
Persepolis FCKheybar Khorramabad
12
L
14/02/2026
Gol GoharPersepolis FC
31
L
08/02/2026
MalavanPersepolis FC
10
L
03/02/2026
Persepolis FCChadormalu SC
10
W
28/01/2026
Foolad FCPersepolis FC
31
L
23/01/2026
Persepolis FCSepahan FC
21
W

League Table

Persian Gulf Pro League 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1Persepolis FCPersepolis FC1172219:5+1423WLWDW
2Sepahan FCSepahan FC1172219:7+1223WWDWW
3Foolad FCFoolad FC1164111:5+622WWDWW
4Tractor SaziTractor Sazi962112:2+1020WDLWD
5Esteghlal FCEsteghlal FC1055012:3+920DWDWD
6Chadormalu SCChadormalu SC1144311:14-316WDWDW
7Aluminium ArakAluminium Arak1135311:9+214LDLLD
8Kheybar KhorramabadKheybar Khorramabad1135314:13+114LWWDD
9Fajr SepasiFajr Sepasi1035210:12-214DWWLL
10Gol GoharGol Gohar1041510:9+113LLWWL
11PaykanPaykan1134410:11-113WDLDL
12Nassaji MazandaranNassaji Mazandaran112547:10-311LDDDD
13Esteghlal KhuzestanEsteghlal Khuzestan112457:14-710DWLLW
14ZOB AhanZOB Ahan111646:10-49DDLLD
15MalavanMalavan102359:14-59LDLDW
16Shams Azar QazvinShams Azar Qazvin101457:12-57LDDLL
17Sanat NaftSanat Naft101455:15-107LWLLL
18Mes Shahr-e BabakMes Shahr-e Babak110567:22-155LLLLD
#TeamMPGPts
1Persepolis FCPersepolis FC1119:523
2Sepahan FCSepahan FC1119:723
3Foolad FCFoolad FC1111:522
4Tractor SaziTractor Sazi912:220
5Esteghlal FCEsteghlal FC1012:320
6Chadormalu SCChadormalu SC1111:1416
7Aluminium ArakAluminium Arak1111:914
8Kheybar KhorramabadKheybar Khorramabad1114:1314
9Fajr SepasiFajr Sepasi1010:1214
10Gol GoharGol Gohar1010:913
11PaykanPaykan1110:1113
12Nassaji MazandaranNassaji Mazandaran117:1011
13Esteghlal KhuzestanEsteghlal Khuzestan117:1410
14ZOB AhanZOB Ahan116:109
15MalavanMalavan109:149
16Shams Azar QazvinShams Azar Qazvin107:127
17Sanat NaftSanat Naft105:157
18Mes Shahr-e BabakMes Shahr-e Babak117:225
Champions LeagueRelegation

About the Esteghlal FC vs Persepolis FC forecast

As a derby, this Persian Gulf Pro League meeting carries extra weight; the forecasts take that context into account alongside team ratings, recent form and the head-to-head record.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

Esteghlal FC and Persepolis FC in the Persian Gulf Pro League table

In the Persian Gulf Pro League table, Persepolis FC are 1st and Esteghlal FC 5th, 3 points apart. League goal record so far: Esteghlal FC 12-3, Persepolis FC 19-5. The full standings are on the Persian Gulf Pro League Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

Esteghlal FC have led at half-time in 60% of their recent matches. Persepolis FC have led at half-time in 60% of their recent matches. Some underlying data for this fixture is limited, which the model accounts for with a lower confidence rating.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.