Étoile Carouge vs Yverdon Sport Prediction

Stade de la Fontenette, Carouge 09/10/2026

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Partial
Match Importance
4.0 / 10
AI Best Pick
72%Trust
Double Chance
Draw or Away Win
1.25
SignalGOODModel48%SurpriseMediumGap-7.6%
Étoile Carouge Rest
21 days
Yverdon Sport Rest
7 days

Étoile Carouge vs Yverdon Sport: the result in context

Yverdon Sport beat Étoile Carouge 2-0 in the Challenge League on 9 Oct 2026. It was in line with recent form: Yverdon Sport had won 3 of their previous five, compared with 1 for Étoile Carouge.

When these two meet, goals usually follow: 3.9 a game across 7 meetings, with both teams scoring in 4.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
25%3.45
X
24%3.68
2
51%1.88
Double Chance
1X
49%1.81
X2
75%1.25
Both Teams to Score

Both teams to score forecasts not available for this match

Goals

Goal forecasts not available for this match

Corners

Corner forecasts not available for this match

Cards

Card forecasts not available for this match

Match Events

46'V. Fazliu INV. Tasar out
54'L. EssienaFoul
59'H. Sessolo INB. Toma out
60'J. OkitaAssist: S. Demhasaj
65'L. Essiena INRicardo Alves out
65'N. Boulkous INV. Felder out
68'S. Demhasaj INJ. Augustin out
68'J. Okita INJ. Mayorga out
73'M. El JaouhariFoul
75'L. PosFoul
77'M. El Jaouhari INO. Sene out
77'M. Tsoungui INF. Hoxha out
78'B. Toma
84'E. Pasche INM. Kanoute out
87'G. Zrankeon INI. Strohbach out

Team Comparison

Étoile CarougeÉtoile Carouge
Yverdon SportYverdon Sport
1458Elo Rating 1615
1.14Attack 2.41
0.75Defense 1.54
23%Hit Rate 59%

Game State Tendencies

Étoile CarougeÉtoile Carouge
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
  • Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 33% of the time
  • Scores more in 2nd half (0.7 vs 0.4 in first half)
  • Concedes more in 1st half - tightens up after the break
Yverdon SportYverdon Sport
  • Tied at half-time in 60% of matches
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late

Head to Head

Last 7 meetings, all competitions

Étoile CarougeÉtoile Carouge3Wins · 43%
Draws229%
Yverdon SportYverdon Sport2Wins · 28%
3.9Avg Goals
57%Both teams scored4 of 7
57%3+ goals4 of 7

Previous meetings

Challenge League31/07/2026
Yverdon SportÉtoile Carouge
11
Challenge League03/05/2026
Yverdon SportÉtoile Carouge
35
Challenge League20/02/2026
Étoile CarougeYverdon Sport
22
Challenge League30/11/2025
Yverdon SportÉtoile Carouge
20
Challenge League12/09/2025
Étoile CarougeYverdon Sport
21
1. Liga Promotion05/06/2021
Étoile CarougeYverdon Sport
20
1. Liga Promotion05/09/2020
Yverdon SportÉtoile Carouge
60

Recent Form

Étoile CarougeÉtoile Carouge
3W3D4L
18/09/2026
SC KriensÉtoile Carouge
41
L
11/09/2026
Étoile CarougeFC Winterthur
01
L
04/09/2026
Étoile CarougeFC WIL 1900
11
D
01/09/2026
Stade Lausanne-OuchyÉtoile Carouge
30
L
28/08/2026
Étoile CarougeRapperswil
21
W
21/08/2026
Stade NyonnaisÉtoile Carouge
00
D
15/08/2026
Collex-BossyÉtoile Carouge
02
W
07/08/2026
Étoile CarougeNeuchatel Xamax FC
01
L
31/07/2026
Yverdon SportÉtoile Carouge
11
D
24/07/2026
Étoile CarougeFC Aarau
30
W
Yverdon SportYverdon Sport
6W3D1L
02/10/2026
GrasshoppersYverdon Sport
23
W
20/09/2026
Yverdon SportStade Lausanne-Ouchy
00
D
11/09/2026
RapperswilYverdon Sport
20
L
06/09/2026
Yverdon SportStade Nyonnais
41
W
01/09/2026
Neuchatel Xamax FCYverdon Sport
12
W
28/08/2026
Yverdon SportFC WIL 1900
11
D
23/08/2026
Yverdon SportFC Aarau
21
W
16/08/2026
Terre SainteYverdon Sport
05
W
07/08/2026
SC KriensYverdon Sport
02
W
31/07/2026
Yverdon SportÉtoile Carouge
11
D

League Table

Challenge League 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1Stade Lausanne-OuchyStade Lausanne-Ouchy1284023:5+1828WDWDW
2FC WinterthurFC Winterthur1273226:11+1524WWLWW
3Yverdon SportYverdon Sport1264223:14+922LWWDL
4SC KriensSC Kriens1244421:19+216DLDWD
5Neuchatel Xamax FCNeuchatel Xamax FC1251616:20-416LDWLW
6FC AarauFC Aarau1243519:21-215WLLLD
7Étoile CarougeÉtoile Carouge1234512:17-513DWLLL
8RapperswilRapperswil1232718:25-711LDLWW
9FC WIL 1900FC WIL 19001225518:27-911LDDWL
10Stade NyonnaisStade Nyonnais1222812:29-178WLWLL
#TeamMPGPts
1Stade Lausanne-OuchyStade Lausanne-Ouchy1223:528
2FC WinterthurFC Winterthur1226:1124
3Yverdon SportYverdon Sport1223:1422
4SC KriensSC Kriens1221:1916
5Neuchatel Xamax FCNeuchatel Xamax FC1216:2016
6FC AarauFC Aarau1219:2115
7Étoile CarougeÉtoile Carouge1212:1713
8RapperswilRapperswil1218:2511
9FC WIL 1900FC WIL 19001218:2711
10Stade NyonnaisStade Nyonnais1212:298
PromotionRelegation

About the Étoile Carouge vs Yverdon Sport forecast

The forecasts for this Challenge League match are built from team Elo ratings, recent form, scoring data and the head-to-head record, and are updated as new data arrives before kickoff.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

Étoile Carouge and Yverdon Sport in the Challenge League table

The table shows a wide gap: Yverdon Sport are 3rd in the Challenge League, while Étoile Carouge sit 7th, 9 points behind. League goal record so far: Étoile Carouge 12-17, Yverdon Sport 23-14. The full standings are on the Challenge League Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

Some underlying data for this fixture is limited, which the model accounts for with a lower confidence rating.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.