Evergreen vs Hill City Prediction

Evergreen
3-4
Finished
HT 2-3
Hill City
25/06/2026

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Partial
Match Importance
3.2 / 10
AI Best Pick
75%Trust
Double Chance
Home Win or Draw
1.20
SignalGOODModel56%SurpriseMediumGap-8.4%
Value Analysis
74%Trust
Goals O/U
Over 2.5 Goals
1.45
SignalHIGHModel40%SurpriseHighGap+11.3%
Evergreen Rest
3 days
Hill City Rest
4 days

Evergreen vs Hill City: the result in context

Hill City beat Evergreen 4-3 in the USL League Two on 25 Jun 2026. The two went into the match with similar recent form.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
53%1.65
X
22%4.00
2
25%3.90
Double Chance
1X
75%1.20
X2
47%2.02
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%1.49
No
49%2.38
Goals
Projected Goals: 2.29 + 1.36 = 3.65
Over 1.5
90%1.12
Over 2.5
74%1.45
Over 3.5
50%2.18
Under 1.5
10%4.90
Under 2.5
26%2.43
Under 3.5
50%1.58
Corners

Corner forecasts not available for this match

Cards

Card forecasts not available for this match

Team Comparison

EvergreenEvergreen
Hill CityHill City
1510Elo Rating 1460
3.21Attack 1.73
0.88Defense 1.33
34%Hit Rate 61%

AI Insights

⚽High Goal Expectancy3.64 goals
📈BTTS Trend

Game State Tendencies

EvergreenEvergreen
  • Scores more in 2nd half (1.8 vs 1.4 in first half)
  • Concedes more in 1st half - tightens up after the break
Hill CityHill City
  • Leads at half-time in 50% of matches
  • Starts fast - scores more in 1st half (0.8 vs 0.4 in second half)

Recent Form

EvergreenEvergreen
4W3D3L
22/06/2026
Annapolis BluesEvergreen
03
W
18/06/2026
ChristosEvergreen
15
W
14/06/2026
LionsbridgeEvergreen
54
L
10/06/2026
EvergreenCharlottesville Blues
01
L
07/06/2026
Charlottesville BluesEvergreen
11
D
04/06/2026
PatuxentEvergreen
05
W
31/05/2026
Bethesda SCEvergreen
40
L
23/05/2026
EvergreenLoudoun 2
33
D
18/05/2026
EvergreenVirginia Beach City
22
D
11/05/2026
EvergreenVirginia Marauders
30
W
Hill CityHill City
4W0D5L
21/06/2026
Hill CityChristos
12
L
18/06/2026
Annapolis BluesHill City
52
L
14/06/2026
Charlottesville BluesHill City
20
L
11/06/2026
Virginia Beach CityHill City
53
L
04/06/2026
Hill CityBethesda SC
30
W
01/06/2026
Virginia MaraudersHill City
15
W
28/05/2026
Hill CityCharlottesville Blues
01
L
24/05/2026
Hill CityPatuxent
61
W
17/05/2026
Hill CityLoudoun 2
41
W

About the Evergreen vs Hill City forecast

The forecasts for this USL League Two match are built from team Elo ratings, recent form, scoring data and the head-to-head record, and are updated as new data arrives before kickoff.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

About USL League Two

More USL League Two fixtures and forecasts are on the USL League Two Predictions page.

Key Factors for This Match

Hill City have led at half-time in 50% of their recent matches. Evergreen and Hill City have little recent head-to-head history for the model to draw on. Some underlying data for this fixture is limited, which the model accounts for with a lower confidence rating.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.