Farul Constanta vs Petrolul Ploiesti Prediction

Stadionul Viitorul, Ovidiu·Horatiu Fesnic 11/10/2026

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
4.0 / 10
AI Best Pick
74%Trust
Double Chance
Home Win or Draw
1.25
SignalGOODModel47%SurpriseMediumGap-6.0%
Farul Constanta Rest
21 days
Petrolul Ploiesti Rest
8 days

Farul Constanta vs Petrolul Ploiesti: result, form and history

Farul Constanta beat Petrolul Ploiesti 3-1 in the Liga I on 11 Oct 2026. That went against recent form: Petrolul Ploiesti had won 3 of their previous five, compared with 1 for Farul Constanta.

Farul Constanta have had the better of this fixture, winning 8 of the 10 previous meetings, which averaged 2.7 goals a game.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
49%1.89
X
27%3.52
2
24%3.67
Double Chance
1X
76%1.25
X2
51%1.83
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%1.67
No
45%2.10
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.37 + 1.07 = 2.44
Over 1.5
76%1.22
Over 2.5
51%1.78
Over 3.5
30%2.90
Under 1.5
24%3.80
Under 2.5
49%2.00
Under 3.5
70%1.36
Corners

Corner forecasts not available for this match

Cards

Card forecasts not available for this match

Match Events

5'Cristian GaneaAssist: Ionuț Vână
22'Matteo AhlinviAssist: Eduard Radaslavescu
33'Alejandro BranAssist: Teixeira leo
51'Victor DicanFoul
63'Eddy Sylvestre INNarek Grigoryan out
63'Eduard Radaslavescu INRăzvan Marincean out
63'Muhamet Hyseni INRazvan Tanasa out
63'Luciano Gaston Vega Albornoz INMario Ioniță out
63'Sergiu Hanca INisrael ola out
70'israel olaFoul
75'Matteo Ahlinvi INNicolas Popescu out
78'Paul Papp INRareș Leescu out
78'mark tutu INTiberiu Căpuşă out
78'Alejandro Bran INKilian Ludewig out
89'Răzvan MarinceanAssist: Razvan Tanasa
89'Andres DumitrescuDissent

Lineups

Farul Constanta
3-4-3Coach: Ovidiu Sabău
Petrolul Ploiesti
4-2-3-1Coach: Ricardo Sousa
Avg rating6.92
Avg rating6.25
R. Munteanu7.112R. Munteanu
S. Bouzamoucha6.624S. Bouzamoucha
I. Larie6.617I. Larie
V. Dican6.36V. Dican
I. Vînă7.58I. Vînă
T. Njiké6.523T. Njiké
M. Ahlinvi7.870M. Ahlinvi
C. Ganea8.211C. Ganea
E. Sylvestre6.310E. Sylvestre
M. Hyseni6.49M. Hyseni
E. Rădăslăvescu7.020E. Rădăslăvescu
L. Zima6.938L. Zima
M. Țuțu6.322M. Țuțu
P. Papp6.54P. Papp
B. Malula6.671B. Malula
A. Dumitrescu5.32A. Dumitrescu
L. Vega5.98L. Vega
S. Hanca6.420S. Hanca
Léo Teixeira6.519L. Teixeira
A. Bran7.110A. Bran
Rodrigo Martins6.47R. Martins
D. Nlundulu6.69D. Nlundulu

Farul Constanta Substitutes

27Hassane Rachid Seyd Sabour Traoré
2D. Maftei
99Răzvan Marincean63'for Eduard Radaslavescu89'7.7
80N. Popescu75'for Matteo Ahlinvi6.2
71R. Tănasă63'for Muhamet Hyseni6.8
3V. Țicu
33João Ferreira
30N. Grigoryan63'for Eddy Sylvestre6.9
29A. Goncear
1A. Buzbuchi

Petrolul Ploiesti Substitutes

66T. Căpușă78'for mark tutu5.8
18C. Hüseynov
29K. Ludewig78'for Alejandro Bran5.9
21David Ionut
24Adam Zaian
28M. Costache
12Ș. Georgescu
80M. Ioniță63'for Luciano Gaston Vega Albornoz5.8
99O. Dele63'for Sergiu Hanca70'6.0
30R. Leescu78'for Paul Papp6.0

Match Stats

Farul ConstantaPetrolul Ploiesti
40%Ball Possession60%
6Corner Kicks5
1Yellow Cards2
16Total Shots16
8Shots on Goal6
6Shots off Goal5
9Shots Inside Box8
7Shots Outside Box8
2Blocked Shots5
6Fouls13
0Offsides2
5Goalkeeper Saves6
425Total Passes412
345Passes Accurate347
12Free Kicks6

Team Comparison

Farul ConstantaFarul Constanta
Petrolul PloiestiPetrolul Ploiesti
1548Elo Rating 1565
2.23Attack 2.95
0.59Defense 2.08
61%Hit Rate 64%
11.3Shots per Game 13.7
5.5Shots on Target 5.0
3.0Corners per Game 3.4
1.4Cards per Game 1.7

AI Insights

📈BTTS Trend60% in H2H
📊Away Overperforming

Game State Tendencies

Farul ConstantaFarul Constanta
  • Leads at half-time in 60% of matches
  • Starts fast - scores more in 1st half (1.6 vs 0.6 in second half)
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late
Petrolul PloiestiPetrolul Ploiesti
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
  • Scores more in 2nd half (1.6 vs 1.4 in first half)

Head to Head

Last 10 meetings, all competitions

Farul ConstantaFarul Constanta8Wins · 80%
Draws110%
Petrolul PloiestiPetrolul Ploiesti1Wins · 10%
2.7Avg Goals
60%Both teams scored6 of 10
50%3+ goals5 of 10

Previous meetings

Liga I15/03/2026
Farul ConstantaPetrolul Ploiesti
20
Liga I25/01/2026
Petrolul PloiestiFarul Constanta
01
Liga I01/09/2025
Farul ConstantaPetrolul Ploiesti
21
Liga I28/04/2025
Petrolul PloiestiFarul Constanta
01
Liga I03/02/2025
Farul ConstantaPetrolul Ploiesti
21
Liga I14/09/2024
Petrolul PloiestiFarul Constanta
11
Liga I10/12/2023
Farul ConstantaPetrolul Ploiesti
31
Liga I06/08/2023
Petrolul PloiestiFarul Constanta
32
Liga I18/02/2023
Farul ConstantaPetrolul Ploiesti
20
Liga I16/09/2022
Petrolul PloiestiFarul Constanta
13

Recent Form

Petrolul PloiestiPetrolul Ploiesti
6W1D3L
03/10/2026
Chindia TargovistePetrolul Ploiesti
10
L
02/10/2026
Petrolul PloiestiCS Afumati
32
W
21/09/2026
Petrolul PloiestiCsikszereda
20
W
14/09/2026
FCSBPetrolul Ploiesti
22
D
06/09/2026
Petrolul PloiestiCorvinul Hunedoara
20
W
01/09/2026
Universitatea ClujPetrolul Ploiesti
10
L
28/08/2026
Universitatea ClujPetrolul Ploiesti
23
W
21/08/2026
Petrolul PloiestiRapid
02
L
18/08/2026
CSM ReşiţaPetrolul Ploiesti
2232
W
14/08/2026
FC VoluntariPetrolul Ploiesti
12
W

Referee Profile

Horatiu Fesnic196 matches

4.85Cards per match
4.59Yellow cards per match
0.26Red cards per match
29.2Fouls per match

Compared with other referees

Horatiu Fesnic4.85
Other referees4.58

4.85 cards a match, 0.27 more than other referees in the same competitions and seasons (4.58).

Cards come from 140 matches with official statistics.

Full referee stats

League Table

Liga I 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1Dinamo BucurestiDinamo Bucuresti14103131:9+2233WDWWW
2Universitatea CraiovaUniversitatea Craiova14102234:10+2432WWWWW
3RapidRapid1493223:13+1030WLWWW
4Petrolul PloiestiPetrolul Ploiesti1473419:18+124DWDLW
5Farul ConstantaFarul Constanta1465323:21+223WWLWL
6Universitatea ClujUniversitatea Cluj1371525:20+522WDLWW
7FCSBFCSB1363420:19+121WWWLD
8Corvinul HunedoaraCorvinul Hunedoara1454516:16019WLLWW
9CFR 1907 ClujCFR 1907 Cluj1453620:21-118DDLWL
10Uta AradUta Arad1453616:19-318LWWLW
11Sepsi OSK Sfantu GheorgheSepsi OSK Sfantu Gheorghe143659:19-1015DLDLL
12FC BotosaniFC Botosani1435618:19-114LLLWL
13OţelulOţelul1426616:22-612DLDLL
14Arges PitestiArges Pitesti143388:16-812LLDLL
15FC VoluntariFC Voluntari14221014:31-178LLLLL
16CsikszeredaCsikszereda1412119:28-195LWDLL
#TeamMPGPts
1Dinamo BucurestiDinamo Bucuresti1431:933
2Universitatea CraiovaUniversitatea Craiova1434:1032
3RapidRapid1423:1330
4Petrolul PloiestiPetrolul Ploiesti1419:1824
5Farul ConstantaFarul Constanta1423:2123
6Universitatea ClujUniversitatea Cluj1325:2022
7FCSBFCSB1320:1921
8Corvinul HunedoaraCorvinul Hunedoara1416:1619
9CFR 1907 ClujCFR 1907 Cluj1420:2118
10Uta AradUta Arad1416:1918
11Sepsi OSK Sfantu GheorgheSepsi OSK Sfantu Gheorghe149:1915
12FC BotosaniFC Botosani1418:1914
13OţelulOţelul1416:2212
14Arges PitestiArges Pitesti148:1612
15FC VoluntariFC Voluntari1414:318
16CsikszeredaCsikszereda149:285
PromotionRelegation

About the Farul Constanta vs Petrolul Ploiesti forecast

Every forecast on this page comes from the same model inputs: team ratings, recent form, goals scored and conceded, and how these sides have fared against each other.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

Farul Constanta and Petrolul Ploiesti in the Liga I table

Petrolul Ploiesti and Farul Constanta are close in the Liga I table, 4th and 5th, with 1 point between them. League goal record so far: Farul Constanta 23-21, Petrolul Ploiesti 19-18. The full standings are on the Liga I Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

Farul Constanta have led at half-time in 60% of their recent matches. This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.