FC Gomel vs ML Vitebsk Prediction

FC Gomel
1-5
Finished
HT 1-2
ML Vitebsk
Central Stadion, Gomel 11/10/2026

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
3.2 / 10
AI Best Pick
76%Trust
Double Chance
Draw or Away Win
1.22
SignalHIGHModel48%SurpriseMediumGap-5.9%
FC Gomel Rest
9 days
ML Vitebsk Rest
22 days

FC Gomel vs ML Vitebsk: the result in context

ML Vitebsk beat FC Gomel 5-1 in the Premier League on 11 Oct 2026. That went against recent form: FC Gomel had won 4 of their previous five, compared with 2 for ML Vitebsk.

Their 3 previous meetings averaged 2.3 goals, and not once did both teams score. ML Vitebsk tend to win more corners, 6.7 a game to 2.1 for FC Gomel.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
24%3.91
X
29%3.29
2
47%1.94
Double Chance
1X
54%1.81
X2
76%1.22
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%1.95
No
47%1.75
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.1 + 1.36 = 2.46
Over 1.5
68%1.36
Over 2.5
44%2.19
Over 3.5
27%3.84
Under 1.5
32%2.70
Under 2.5
56%1.63
Under 3.5
73%1.18
Corners

Corner forecasts not available for this match

Cards

Card forecasts not available for this match

Match Events

1'Artem KontsevoyAssist: Aleksandar Mesarovic
5'Artem KontsevoyAssist: Radivoj Bosić
21'Radivoj BosićFoul
24'Damir·Shaikhtdinov INVadim Martinkevich out
30'Aleksei Gavrilovich(Penalty)
34'Aleksandar Mesarovic INSilas Gnaka out
45'Sergei Balanovich INYan Skibsky out
49'Denilho CleoniseAssist: Radivoj Bosić
51'Raymond Adeola INDenis·Kovalevich out
69'Valeri GromykoAssist: Silas Gnaka
72'Valeri Gromyko INM. Bulanov out
72'Denilho Cleonise INTimur Ivanov out
76'Radivoj Bosić INValery Bocherov out
78'Victor Sotnikov INMaksim Mardas out
82'M. BulanovAssist: Valery Bocherov
86'Vladislav LazarevFoul

Lineups

FC Gomel
5-4-1Coach: A. Gorovtsov
ML Vitebsk
4-3-3Coach: Juan Díaz
S. Kleshchuk44S. Kleshchuk
D. Shaykhtdinov43D. Shaykhtdinov
I. Zayats16I. Zayats
V. Sotnikov33V. Sotnikov
A. Gavrilovich4A. Gavrilovich
P. Pashevich14P. Pashevich
R. Adeola7R. Adeola
D. Silinskiy19D. Silinskiy
V. Lazarev77V. Lazarev
K. Danilin23K. Danilin
T. Simanenka11T. Simanenka
P. Pavlyuchenko1P. Pavlyuchenko
S. Balanovich23S. Balanovich
Z. Volkov20Z. Volkov
K. Gomanov6K. Gomanov
I. Moskalenchik45I. Moskalenchik
V. Gromyko55V. Gromyko
A. Ode4A. Ode
A. Mesarović27A. Mesarović
D. Cleonise10D. Cleonise
A. Kontsevoy80A. Kontsevoy
R. Bosić12R. Bosić

FC Gomel Substitutes

13M. Mardas78'for Victor Sotnikov
21D. Kovalevich51'for Raymond Adeola
49A. Karatay
8E. Barsukov
17V. Martinkevich24'for Damir·Shaikhtdinov
3S. Matveychik
88A. Ryzhchenko

ML Vitebsk Substitutes

3N. Baranok
15V. Bocherov76'for Radivoj Bosić
99M. Bulanov72'for Valeri Gromyko82'
8S. Gnaka34'for Aleksandar Mesarovic
7T. Ivanov72'for Denilho Cleonise
5M. Mohammadi
2Aleksey Nosko
30Pavel Shcherbachenya
22Y. Skibskiy45'for Sergei Balanovich

Match Stats

FC GomelML Vitebsk
48%Ball Possession52%
3Corner Kicks4
1Yellow Cards1
12Total Shots10
5Shots on Goal5
7Shots off Goal5
0Blocked Shots0

Team Comparison

FC GomelFC Gomel
ML VitebskML Vitebsk
1568Elo Rating 1709
1.39Attack 1.69
0.75Defense 2.59
17%Hit Rate 73%
7.0Shots per Game 11.3
3.5Shots on Target 6.0
2.1Corners per Game 6.7
2.1Cards per Game 0.9

AI Insights

📈BTTS Trend

Game State Tendencies

FC GomelFC Gomel
  • Starts fast - scores more in 1st half (1.1 vs 0.3 in second half)
ML VitebskML Vitebsk
  • Leads at half-time in 80% of matches

Head to Head

Last 3 meetings, all competitions

FC GomelFC Gomel0Wins · 0%
Draws133%
ML VitebskML Vitebsk2Wins · 67%
2.3Avg Goals
0%Both teams scored0 of 3
33%3+ goals1 of 3

Previous meetings

Premier League22/05/2026
ML VitebskFC Gomel
00
Premier League23/11/2025
ML VitebskFC Gomel
50
Premier League28/06/2025
FC GomelML Vitebsk
02

Recent Form

FC GomelFC Gomel
5W1D4L
02/10/2026
FC GomelBelshina
10
W
20/09/2026
BaranovichiFC Gomel
02
W
13/09/2026
FC Isloch Minsk R.FC Gomel
21
L
05/09/2026
Torpedo ZhodinoFC Gomel
12
W
28/08/2026
FC GomelBelshina
10
W
22/08/2026
Slavia MozyrFC Gomel
00
D
15/08/2026
FC GomelNaftan
60
W
09/08/2026
FC GomelFC Minsk
01
L
01/08/2026
FC GomelFC Vitebsk
01
L
25/07/2026
FC GomelFC Vitebsk
1121
L
ML VitebskML Vitebsk
4W4D2L
18/09/2026
ML VitebskArsenal
51
W
13/09/2026
FC Dnepr MogilevML Vitebsk
11
D
06/09/2026
ML VitebskDinamo Minsk
00
D
02/09/2026
ML VitebskBelshina
11
D
29/08/2026
Dinamo BrestML Vitebsk
13
W
23/08/2026
ML VitebskBate Borisov
00
D
19/08/2026
ML VitebskBaranovichi
20
W
13/08/2026
ML VitebskBorac Banja Luka
2140
L
06/08/2026
Borac Banja LukaML Vitebsk
10
L
30/07/2026
SutjeskaML Vitebsk
12
W

League Table

Premier League 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1Dinamo MinskDinamo Minsk26184450:22+2858WWWWW
2ML VitebskML Vitebsk26168252:19+3356LWWWW
3FC Isloch Minsk R.FC Isloch Minsk R.26167348:20+2855WWWDL
4Dinamo BrestDinamo Brest27155748:27+2150WDWWW
5NemanNeman26134932:25+743LLWWW
6FC VitebskFC Vitebsk27117930:26+440LWDWD
7FC GomelFC Gomel26117837:27+1040LDLWL
8FC MinskFC Minsk261041233:36-334LLLLW
9Torpedo ZhodinoTorpedo Zhodino26961132:35-333LWLWL
10Slavia MozyrSlavia Mozyr26871133:35-231WWLLL
11BaranovichiBaranovichi27871230:43-1331WWLLL
12ArsenalArsenal27691225:44-1927WDLLL
13BelshinaBelshina26661428:47-1924LWLLW
14Bate BorisovBate Borisov27491419:34-1521LLLLW
15FC Dnepr MogilevFC Dnepr Mogilev263111224:40-1620DWLLD
16NaftanNaftan27451824:65-4117LLLWW
#TeamMPGPts
1Dinamo MinskDinamo Minsk2650:2258
2ML VitebskML Vitebsk2652:1956
3FC Isloch Minsk R.FC Isloch Minsk R.2648:2055
4Dinamo BrestDinamo Brest2748:2750
5NemanNeman2632:2543
6FC VitebskFC Vitebsk2730:2640
7FC GomelFC Gomel2637:2740
8FC MinskFC Minsk2633:3634
9Torpedo ZhodinoTorpedo Zhodino2632:3533
10Slavia MozyrSlavia Mozyr2633:3531
11BaranovichiBaranovichi2730:4331
12ArsenalArsenal2725:4427
13BelshinaBelshina2628:4724
14Bate BorisovBate Borisov2719:3421
15FC Dnepr MogilevFC Dnepr Mogilev2624:4020
16NaftanNaftan2724:6517
Champions LeagueConference LeagueRelegation

About the FC Gomel vs ML Vitebsk forecast

The forecasts for this Premier League match are built from team Elo ratings, recent form, scoring data and the head-to-head record, and are updated as new data arrives before kickoff.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

FC Gomel and ML Vitebsk in the Premier League table

In the Premier League table, ML Vitebsk are 2nd and FC Gomel 7th, 16 points apart. League goal record so far: FC Gomel 37-27, ML Vitebsk 52-19. The full standings are on the Premier League Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

ML Vitebsk have led at half-time in 80% of their recent matches. This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.