FC Lugano vs FC Vaduz Prediction

FC Lugano
2-1
Finished
HT 2-0
FC Vaduz
Cornaredo, Lugano·Alessandro Dudic, Switzerland 26/07/2026

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Partial
Match Importance
4.6 / 10
Value Analysis
69%Trust
Goals O/U
Under 3.5 Goals
1.61
SignalGOODModel52%SurpriseMediumGap+10.2%
FC Lugano Rest
2 days
FC Vaduz Rest
2 days

FC Lugano vs FC Vaduz: result, form and history

FC Lugano beat FC Vaduz 2-1 in the Super League on 26 Jul 2026. The two went into the match with similar recent form.

Their 5 previous meetings averaged 2.4 goals, with both teams scoring in 3 of them. Referee Alessandro Dudic averages 5.38 cards a game, 0.58 more than other referees in the same competitions.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
63%1.47
X
23%4.50
2
14%5.75
Double Chance
1X
86%1.11
X2
37%2.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%1.62
No
49%2.15
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.78 + 1.04 = 2.82
Over 1.5
80%1.15
Over 2.5
55%1.50
Over 3.5
32%2.25
Under 1.5
20%5.00
Under 2.5
45%2.47
Under 3.5
68%1.61
Corners

Corner forecasts not available for this match

Cards

Card forecasts not available for this match

Match Events

29'Antonios PapadopoulosAssist: Lars Lukas Mai
32'Antonios PapadopoulosFoul
37'Lars Lukas MaiAssist: Renato Steffen
46'Dejan Đokić INDejan Sorgić out
57'Mischa Beeli INNicolas Hasler out
58'Juan Cabrera INMischa Eberhard out
59'Renato Steffen INDereck Moncada out
60'Ahmed Kendouci INDaniel Dos Santos out
66'Julian Stark INMiloš Cocić out
70'Elias Pihlström INKevin Behrens out
70'Yanis Cimignani INMattia Zanotti out
71'Lutfi DalipiAssist: Dejan Sorgić
74'Marcel MonsbergerFoul
80'Malik Sawadogo INDominik Schwizer out
82'Leon SchaffranProfessional foul (last man)
90'Ezgjan Alioski INCarbone out

Lineups

FC Lugano
Coach: Mattia Croci-Torti
FC Vaduz
Coach: Marc Schneider

FC Lugano Starting XI

16David von Ballmoos6.3
6Antonios Papadopoulos29'32'7.3
17Lars Lukas Mai37'8.9
18Joel Bichsel7.2
21Yanis Cimignani70'replaced by Mattia Zanotti7.2
25Uran Bislimi7.6
8Anto Grgić8.0
7Ezgjan Alioski90'replaced by Carbone7.5
14Ahmed Kendouci60'replaced by Daniel Dos Santos6.5
11Renato SteffenC59'replaced by Dereck Moncada7.3
24Elias Pihlström70'replaced by Kevin Behrens6.7
Avg rating7.16

FC Vaduz Starting XI

25Leon Schaffran82'7.9
14Mischa Beeli57'replaced by Nicolas Hasler6.3
27Niklas Lang7.6
5Liridon BerishaC6.7
29Malik Sawadogo80'replaced by Dominik Schwizer6.2
17Julian Stark66'replaced by Miloš Cocić6.3
20Luca Mack6.6
10Juan Cabrera58'replaced by Mischa Eberhard6.3
11Lutfi Dalipi71'7.3
9Marcel Monsberger74'5.9
19Dejan Đokić46'replaced by Dejan Sorgić6.9
Avg rating6.74

FC Lugano Substitutes

30Dereck Moncada59'for Renato Steffen6.6
27Daniel Dos Santos60'for Ahmed Kendouci6.3
46Mattia Zanotti70'for Yanis Cimignani6.7
91Kevin Behrens70'for Elias Pihlström7.3
44Carbone90'for Ezgjan Alioski
28Felix Gebhardt
4Damian Kelvin
22Beckham Castro
23Gjan Ajdin

FC Vaduz Substitutes

39Dejan Sorgić46'for Dejan Đokić6.7
4Nicolas Hasler57'for Mischa Beeli7.2
22Mischa Eberhard58'for Juan Cabrera6.7
28Miloš Cocić66'for Julian Stark6.9
7Dominik Schwizer80'for Malik Sawadogo6.3
1Benjamin Büchel
6Denis Simani
37Luca Celentano
23Mats Hammerich

Match Stats

FC LuganoFC Vaduz
48%Ball Possession52%
9Corner Kicks3
1Yellow Cards1
0Red Cards1
22Total Shots11
8Shots on Goal3
10Shots off Goal7
14Shots Inside Box9
8Shots Outside Box2
4Blocked Shots1
14Fouls10
0Offsides1
2Goalkeeper Saves6
401Total Passes440
323Passes Accurate352
81%Pass Accuracy80%

Team Comparison

FC LuganoFC Lugano
FC VaduzFC Vaduz
1875Elo Rating 1592
3.79Attack 1.74
1.67Defense 1.60
100%Hit Rate 37%
16.2Shots per Game 14.6
6.3Shots on Target 5.0
3.7Corners per Game 3.7
3.0Cards per Game 2.0

AI Insights

🏠Strong Home Advantage+283 Elo
⚽High Goal Expectancy2.82 goals
📈BTTS Trend60% in H2H
📊Home Overperforming

Game State Tendencies

FC LuganoFC Lugano
  • Leads at half-time in 60% of matches
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
FC VaduzFC Vaduz
  • No tendency data available

Head to Head

Last 5 meetings, all competitions

FC LuganoFC Lugano1Wins · 20%
Draws240%
FC VaduzFC Vaduz2Wins · 40%
2.4Avg Goals
60%Both teams scored3 of 5
40%3+ goals2 of 5

Previous meetings

Friendlies Clubs17/07/2026
FC LuganoFC Vaduz
12
Super League08/05/2021
FC LuganoFC Vaduz
02
Super League14/03/2021
FC VaduzFC Lugano
03
Super League03/02/2021
FC LuganoFC Vaduz
11
Super League17/10/2020
FC VaduzFC Lugano
11

Recent Form

FC LuganoFC Lugano
6W2D2L
23/07/2026
FC LuganoDukagjini
10
W
17/07/2026
FC LuganoFC Vaduz
12
L
10/07/2026
1. FC HeidenheimFC Lugano
01
W
07/07/2026
MemmingenFC Lugano
04
W
04/07/2026
FC LuganoRapperswil
11
D
27/06/2026
FC LuganoNeuchatel Xamax FC
21
W
17/05/2026
FC LuganoFC Basel 1893
40
W
14/05/2026
FC SionFC Lugano
22
D
10/05/2026
FC LuganoFC ST. Gallen
12
L
03/05/2026
FC LuganoBSC Young Boys
10
W
FC VaduzFC Vaduz
7W1D2L
23/07/2026
FC VaduzAtlètic Club d'Escaldes
40
W
17/07/2026
FC LuganoFC Vaduz
12
W
10/07/2026
SCR AltachFC Vaduz
10
L
04/07/2026
FC VaduzAustria Lustenau
10
W
27/06/2026
SC KriensFC Vaduz
12
W
15/05/2026
FC WIL 1900FC Vaduz
13
W
11/05/2026
FC VaduzFC Aarau
12
L
08/05/2026
Étoile CarougeFC Vaduz
12
W
05/05/2026
FC VaduzEschen / Mauren
43
W
02/05/2026
FC VaduzStade Lausanne-Ouchy
22
D

Referee Profile

Alessandro Dudic125 matches

5.38Cards per match
5.03Yellow cards per match
0.34Red cards per match
24.0Fouls per match

Compared with other referees

Alessandro Dudic5.38
Other referees4.80

5.38 cards a match, 0.58 more than other referees in the same competitions and seasons (4.80).

Cards come from 90 matches with official statistics.

Full referee stats

League Table

Super League 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1FC LuganoFC Lugano12111036:10+2634WWWWW
2BSC Young BoysBSC Young Boys1274138:23+1525LWWWD
3FC SionFC Sion1272325:18+723DWLDW
4FC ZurichFC Zurich1262425:26-120WWWDW
5FC ST. GallenFC ST. Gallen1261519:22-319WLWWL
6Servette FCServette FC1251617:16+116LWWLW
7FC Basel 1893FC Basel 18931242618:22-414LDLLW
8FC LuzernFC Luzern1234519:25-613DLLWL
9FC ThunFC Thun1241724:34-1013WLLWL
10FC VaduzFC Vaduz1231824:25-110DLWLL
11GrasshoppersGrasshoppers1224615:28-1310DDLLL
12LausanneLausanne1213811:22-116LLLLL
#TeamMPGPts
1FC LuganoFC Lugano1236:1034
2BSC Young BoysBSC Young Boys1238:2325
3FC SionFC Sion1225:1823
4FC ZurichFC Zurich1225:2620
5FC ST. GallenFC ST. Gallen1219:2219
6Servette FCServette FC1217:1616
7FC Basel 1893FC Basel 18931218:2214
8FC LuzernFC Luzern1219:2513
9FC ThunFC Thun1224:3413
10FC VaduzFC Vaduz1224:2510
11GrasshoppersGrasshoppers1215:2810
12LausanneLausanne1211:226
Relegation

About the FC Lugano vs FC Vaduz forecast

Every forecast on this page comes from the same model inputs: team ratings, recent form, goals scored and conceded, and how these sides have fared against each other.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

FC Lugano and FC Vaduz in the Super League table

The table shows a wide gap: FC Lugano are 1st in the Super League, while FC Vaduz sit 10th, 24 points behind. League goal record so far: FC Lugano 36-10, FC Vaduz 24-25. The full standings are on the Super League Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

FC Lugano have led at half-time in 60% of their recent matches. Some underlying data for this fixture is limited, which the model accounts for with a lower confidence rating.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.