Floriana vs Marsaxlokk Prediction

Floriana
2-5
Finished
HT 1-3
Marsaxlokk
12/09/2026

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Partial
Match Importance
4.0 / 10
AI Best Pick
84%Trust
Double Chance
Home Win or Draw
1.30
SignalSTRONGModel66%SurpriseMediumGap+6.8%
Floriana Rest
5 days
Marsaxlokk Rest
7 days

Floriana vs Marsaxlokk: result, form and history

Marsaxlokk beat Floriana 5-2 in the Premier League on 12 Sep 2026. The two went into the match with similar recent form.

Floriana have had the better of this fixture, winning 7 of the 10 previous meetings, which averaged 2.3 goals a game.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
65%2.15
X
21%3.14
2
14%3.13
Double Chance
1X
86%1.30
X2
35%1.60
Both Teams to Score

Both teams to score forecasts not available for this match

Goals

Goal forecasts not available for this match

Corners

Corner forecasts not available for this match

Cards

Card forecasts not available for this match

Match Events

9'R. Linden
21'R. Muric(Penalty missed)
22'F. Varela
32'M. Garcia
37'U. Arias
46'S. Odey INR. Muric out
53'M. Beerman IND. Vella out
53'A. C. N Dri INY. Jbira out
57'A. Drina INKauan out
58'J. Minala(Penalty)
61'C. Zammit Lonardelli
65'U. Arias IND. Simkus out
71'R. Linden INS. Smajlagic out
71'Dodo INR. Mihana out
73'
75'Y. Jbira
78'J. Minala
80'N. Muscat INL. Caruana out
80'M. Garcia INT. Caruana out
84'S. Smajlagic

Team Comparison

FlorianaFloriana
MarsaxlokkMarsaxlokk
1597Elo Rating 1547
1.81Attack 1.13
1.48Defense 1.27
14%Hit Rate 36%

AI Insights

📈BTTS Trend70% in H2H
💎Value Analysis Identified

Game State Tendencies

FlorianaFloriana
  • Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 50% of the time
  • Starts fast - scores more in 1st half (1.4 vs 0.4 in second half)
  • Concedes more in 1st half - tightens up after the break
MarsaxlokkMarsaxlokk
  • Tied at half-time in 60% of matches
  • Starts fast - scores more in 1st half (0.7 vs 0.4 in second half)
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late

Head to Head

Last 10 meetings, all competitions

FlorianaFloriana7Wins · 70%
Draws220%
MarsaxlokkMarsaxlokk1Wins · 10%
2.3Avg Goals
70%Both teams scored7 of 10
60%3+ goals6 of 10

Previous meetings

Premier League16/05/2026
FlorianaMarsaxlokk
21
Premier League15/04/2026
MarsaxlokkFloriana
13
Premier League18/02/2026
FlorianaMarsaxlokk
00
FA Trophy03/01/2026
FlorianaMarsaxlokk
10
Premier League23/11/2025
FlorianaMarsaxlokk
21
Premier League20/09/2025
MarsaxlokkFloriana
12
Premier League12/04/2025
FlorianaMarsaxlokk
21
Premier League09/02/2025
FlorianaMarsaxlokk
21
Premier League21/10/2024
MarsaxlokkFloriana
11
Premier League20/04/2024
MarsaxlokkFloriana
10

Recent Form

FlorianaFloriana
5W2D3L
07/09/2026
FlorianaValletta FC
02
L
02/09/2026
FlorianaGzira United
41
W
29/08/2026
Hamrun SpartansFloriana
11
D
21/08/2026
FlorianaSliema Wanderers
20
W
14/08/2026
BirzebbugaFloriana
03
W
28/07/2026
DritaFloriana
2111
L
21/07/2026
FlorianaDrita
11
D
14/07/2026
Shamrock RoversFloriana
51
L
07/07/2026
FlorianaShamrock Rovers
20
W
16/05/2026
FlorianaMarsaxlokk
21
W
MarsaxlokkMarsaxlokk
5W2D3L
05/09/2026
MarsaxlokkMosta
11
D
28/08/2026
Valletta FCMarsaxlokk
12
W
21/08/2026
MarsaxlokkHibernians
10
W
14/08/2026
Balzan FCMarsaxlokk
11
D
16/07/2026
Pyunik YerevanMarsaxlokk
10
L
09/07/2026
MarsaxlokkPyunik Yerevan
03
L
16/05/2026
FlorianaMarsaxlokk
21
L
09/05/2026
MarsaxlokkHamrun Spartans
2111
W
02/05/2026
MarsaxlokkNaxxar Lions
32
W
26/04/2026
MarsaxlokkValletta FC
10
W

League Table

Premier League 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1Valletta FCValletta FC1071222:9+1322LWWWW
2Sliema WanderersSliema Wanderers1153315:14+118DWWLD
3Hamrun SpartansHamrun Spartans1145217:13+417DWDDD
4MarsaxlokkMarsaxlokk1052316:14+217LLWWL
5FlorianaFloriana1044222:14+816LDDDW
6HiberniansHibernians1144313:15-216WDWWD
7BirkirkaraBirkirkara1143414:11+315DWDLL
8Zabbar St. PatrickZabbar St. Patrick1142517:16+114WWLWL
9MostaMosta1135315:20-514LDLDD
10Balzan FCBalzan FC1125413:14-111LLDLD
11BirzebbugaBirzebbuga111379:21-126DDWLD
12Gzira UnitedGzira United100559:21-125DLDDD
#TeamMPGPts
1Valletta FCValletta FC1022:922
2Sliema WanderersSliema Wanderers1115:1418
3Hamrun SpartansHamrun Spartans1117:1317
4MarsaxlokkMarsaxlokk1016:1417
5FlorianaFloriana1022:1416
6HiberniansHibernians1113:1516
7BirkirkaraBirkirkara1114:1115
8Zabbar St. PatrickZabbar St. Patrick1117:1614
9MostaMosta1115:2014
10Balzan FCBalzan FC1113:1411
11BirzebbugaBirzebbuga119:216
12Gzira UnitedGzira United109:215
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About the Floriana vs Marsaxlokk forecast

Every forecast on this page comes from the same model inputs: team ratings, recent form, goals scored and conceded, and how these sides have fared against each other.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

Floriana and Marsaxlokk in the Premier League table

Marsaxlokk and Floriana are close in the Premier League table, 4th and 5th, with 1 point between them. League goal record so far: Floriana 22-14, Marsaxlokk 16-14. The full standings are on the Premier League Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

Some underlying data for this fixture is limited, which the model accounts for with a lower confidence rating.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.