Forge vs Supra du Quebec Prediction

Forge
1-0
Finished
HT 1-0
Supra du Quebec
Tim Hortons Field 16/09/2026

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Partial
Match Importance
6.3 / 10
Value Analysis
72%Trust
1X2
Home Win
1.49
SignalGOODModel72%SurpriseMediumGap+5.0%
Forge Rest
3 days
Supra du Quebec Rest
3 days

Forge vs Supra du Quebec: the result in context

Forge beat Supra du Quebec 1-0 in the Canadian Championship on 16 Sep 2026. The two went into the match with similar recent form.

Forge have had the better of this fixture, winning 3 of the 5 previous meetings, which averaged 2.4 goals a game.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
70%1.49
X
17%4.05
2
13%5.00
Double Chance
1X
87%1.12
X2
30%2.35
Both Teams to Score

Both teams to score forecasts not available for this match

Goals

Goal forecasts not available for this match

Corners

Corner forecasts not available for this match

Cards

Card forecasts not available for this match

Match Events

25'K. Bekker INB. Paton out
26'B. Paton
28'I. Conde
45+5'A. Aromatario
64'M. Bourgeois INL. Johnson out
64'B. Wright INI. Oketokoun out
66'C. Auguste INZ. Brault-Guillard out
73'D. Choiniere INA. Makarova out
73'T. Lebeuf INR. Bey out
75'A. Sadek INN. Jensen out
75'A. Aromatario INM. James out
79'S. Mlah INO. El Kalkouli out
79'K. Ferdinand INN. Santos out
83'R. Bey
90+1'M. Chretien

Team Comparison

ForgeForge
Supra du QuebecSupra du Quebec
1638Elo Rating 1510
2.62Attack 2.48
2.08Defense 1.50
59%Hit Rate 63%
18.8Shots per Game 17.0
6.7Shots on Target 5.8
6.8Corners per Game 5.5
1.5Cards per Game 2.3

AI Insights

🏠Strong Home Advantage+129 Elo
📈BTTS Trend60% in H2H

Game State Tendencies

ForgeForge
  • Leads at half-time in 100% of matches
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late
Supra du QuebecSupra du Quebec
  • Leads at half-time in 60% of matches
  • Scores more in 2nd half (1.7 vs 0.8 in first half)
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late

Head to Head

Last 5 meetings, all competitions

ForgeForge3Wins · 60%
Draws120%
Supra du QuebecSupra du Quebec1Wins · 20%
2.4Avg Goals
60%Both teams scored3 of 5
40%3+ goals2 of 5

Previous meetings

Canadian Championship02/09/2026
Supra du QuebecForge
11
Canadian Premier League29/08/2026
Supra du QuebecForge
10
Canadian Premier League20/08/2026
ForgeSupra du Quebec
32
Canadian Premier League05/07/2026
Supra du QuebecForge
12
Canadian Premier League13/05/2026
ForgeSupra du Quebec
10

Recent Form

ForgeForge
4W3D3L
13/09/2026
ForgeAtlético Ottawa
30
W
06/09/2026
ForgeYork United
11
D
02/09/2026
Supra du QuebecForge
11
D
29/08/2026
Supra du QuebecForge
10
L
23/08/2026
ForgePacific FC
20
W
20/08/2026
ForgeSupra du Quebec
32
W
15/08/2026
Cavalry FCForge
21
L
08/08/2026
ForgeVancouver FC
01
L
03/08/2026
HFX Wanderers FCForge
00
D
26/07/2026
York UnitedForge
13
W
Supra du QuebecSupra du Quebec
2W4D4L
12/09/2026
Supra du QuebecHFX Wanderers FC
02
L
07/09/2026
Vancouver FCSupra du Quebec
32
L
02/09/2026
Supra du QuebecForge
11
D
29/08/2026
Supra du QuebecForge
10
W
23/08/2026
York UnitedSupra du Quebec
11
D
20/08/2026
ForgeSupra du Quebec
32
L
16/08/2026
Supra du QuebecAtlético Ottawa
12
L
12/08/2026
Atlético OttawaSupra du Quebec
33
D
09/08/2026
Supra du QuebecCavalry FC
11
D
01/08/2026
Pacific FCSupra du Quebec
12
W

Bracket

Quarter-finals
Semi-finals
Final
CF Montreal12
Forge14
On penalties

About the Forge vs Supra du Quebec forecast

As a knockout tie in the Canadian Championship, there is more at stake than league points; the forecasts weigh that alongside team ratings, recent form and the head-to-head record.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

About Canadian Championship

More Canadian Championship fixtures and forecasts are on the Canadian Championship Predictions page.

Key Factors for This Match

Forge have led at half-time in 100% of their recent matches. Supra du Quebec have led at half-time in 60% of their recent matches. Some underlying data for this fixture is limited, which the model accounts for with a lower confidence rating.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.