Gresford Athletic vs Porthmadog Prediction

10/10/2026

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Partial
Match Importance
4.0 / 10
AI Best Pick
76%Trust
Double Chance
Draw or Away Win
1.15
SignalHIGHModel61%SurpriseMediumGap-11.3%
Gresford Athletic Rest
7 days
Porthmadog Rest
7 days

Gresford Athletic vs Porthmadog: the result in context

Porthmadog beat Gresford Athletic 1-0 in the FAW Championship on 10 Oct 2026. The two went into the match with similar recent form.

Gresford Athletic have had the better of this fixture, winning 4 of the 6 previous meetings, which averaged 4.0 goals a game.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
23%4.25
X
22%4.05
2
55%1.60
Double Chance
1X
45%2.08
X2
77%1.15
Both Teams to Score

Both teams to score forecasts not available for this match

Goals

Goal forecasts not available for this match

Corners

Corner forecasts not available for this match

Cards

Card forecasts not available for this match

Match Events

31'C. WhelanOG

Team Comparison

Gresford AthleticGresford Athletic
PorthmadogPorthmadog
1369Elo Rating 1456
1.12Attack 0.50
1.67Defense 1.81
42%Hit Rate 50%

AI Insights

📈BTTS Trend67% in H2H

Game State Tendencies

Gresford AthleticGresford Athletic
  • Starts fast - scores more in 1st half (0.7 vs 0.4 in second half)
  • Concedes more in 1st half - tightens up after the break
PorthmadogPorthmadog
  • Starts fast - scores more in 1st half (0.4 vs 0.1 in second half)

Head to Head

Last 6 meetings, all competitions

Gresford AthleticGresford Athletic4Wins · 67%
Draws00%
PorthmadogPorthmadog2Wins · 33%
4.0Avg Goals
67%Both teams scored4 of 6
67%3+ goals4 of 6

Previous meetings

FAW Championship02/03/2024
PorthmadogGresford Athletic
01
FAW Championship09/09/2023
Gresford AthleticPorthmadog
23
FAW Championship07/04/2023
Gresford AthleticPorthmadog
31
FAW Championship02/08/2022
PorthmadogGresford Athletic
01
FAW Championship01/02/2020
Gresford AthleticPorthmadog
71
Welsh Cup09/11/2019
PorthmadogGresford Athletic
41

Recent Form

Gresford AthleticGresford Athletic
2W1D7L
03/10/2026
PenrhyncochGresford Athletic
01
W
26/09/2026
Gresford AthleticRhyl
31
W
12/09/2026
GuilsfieldGresford Athletic
11
D
06/09/2026
Gresford AthleticMold Alexandra
15
L
31/08/2026
LlanuwchllynGresford Athletic
20
L
21/08/2026
Bala TownGresford Athletic
30
L
16/08/2026
Gresford AthleticBrickfield Rangers
05
L
08/08/2026
CaerswsGresford Athletic
10
L
02/08/2026
Gresford AthleticNewtown AFC
03
L
18/04/2026
GuilsfieldGresford Athletic
40
L
PorthmadogPorthmadog
6W2D2L
03/10/2026
PorthmadogBangor City 1876 FC
10
W
26/09/2026
Newtown AFCPorthmadog
01
W
12/09/2026
PorthmadogRuthin Town
30
W
05/09/2026
PorthmadogBala Town
12
L
31/08/2026
Holyhead HotspurPorthmadog
22
D
28/08/2026
PorthmadogCaersws
13
L
21/08/2026
Denbigh TownPorthmadog
23
W
15/08/2026
Buckley TownPorthmadog
11
D
08/08/2026
PorthmadogRhyl
10
W
01/08/2026
PenrhyncochPorthmadog
13
W

League Table

FAW Championship 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1Brickfield RangersBrickfield Rangers13101228:11+1731DWLWW
2Newtown AFCNewtown AFC1283122:5+1727WDDWL
3Mold AlexandraMold Alexandra1273230:15+1524WWLWD
4PorthmadogPorthmadog1373320:14+624DLWWW
5Bala TownBala Town1363426:24+221DDLDL
6CaerswsCaersws1255225:18+720DDDDW
7Bangor City 1876 FCBangor City 1876 FC1254325:19+619DDLLW
8GuilsfieldGuilsfield1346320:18+218DDLWW
9Buckley TownBuckley Town1343625:23+215LLWDW
10LlanuwchllynLlanuwchllyn1343623:31-815LDWLL
11Holyhead HotspurHolyhead Hotspur1242617:20-314WWDWL
12Denbigh TownDenbigh Town1241724:26-213WWLLW
13RhylRhyl1326521:24-312LDDLL
14Ruthin TownRuthin Town1233612:22-1012WDDWL
15Gresford AthleticGresford Athletic112187:24-177LLWWD
16PenrhyncochPenrhyncoch1201116:37-311LLLLL
#TeamMPGPts
1Brickfield RangersBrickfield Rangers1328:1131
2Newtown AFCNewtown AFC1222:527
3Mold AlexandraMold Alexandra1230:1524
4PorthmadogPorthmadog1320:1424
5Bala TownBala Town1326:2421
6CaerswsCaersws1225:1820
7Bangor City 1876 FCBangor City 1876 FC1225:1919
8GuilsfieldGuilsfield1320:1818
9Buckley TownBuckley Town1325:2315
10LlanuwchllynLlanuwchllyn1323:3115
11Holyhead HotspurHolyhead Hotspur1217:2014
12Denbigh TownDenbigh Town1224:2613
13RhylRhyl1321:2412
14Ruthin TownRuthin Town1212:2212
15Gresford AthleticGresford Athletic117:247
16PenrhyncochPenrhyncoch126:371

About the Gresford Athletic vs Porthmadog forecast

The forecasts for this FAW Championship match are built from team Elo ratings, recent form, scoring data and the head-to-head record, and are updated as new data arrives before kickoff.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

Gresford Athletic and Porthmadog in the FAW Championship table

The table shows a wide gap: Porthmadog are 4th in the FAW Championship, while Gresford Athletic sit 15th, 17 points behind. League goal record so far: Gresford Athletic 7-24, Porthmadog 20-14. The full standings are on the FAW Championship Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

Some underlying data for this fixture is limited, which the model accounts for with a lower confidence rating.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.