Gyeongju HNP vs Changwon City Prediction

Gyeongju HNP
2-1
Finished
HT 1-1
Changwon City
Gyeongju Civic Stadium, Gyeongju 20/09/2026

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Partial
Match Importance
3.2 / 10
AI Best Pick
74%Trust
Double Chance
Home Win or Draw
1.22
SignalGOODModel47%SurpriseMediumGap-8.0%
Gyeongju HNP Rest
7 days
Changwon City Rest
7 days

Gyeongju HNP vs Changwon City: the result in context

Gyeongju HNP beat Changwon City 2-1 in the K3 League on 20 Sep 2026. It was in line with recent form: Gyeongju HNP had won 3 of their previous five, compared with none for Changwon City.

Their history points to a close game: 10 previous meetings produced 1.1 goals a game.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
47%1.85
X
29%3.30
2
24%3.90
Double Chance
1X
76%1.22
X2
53%1.80
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%1.85
No
50%1.83
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.37 + 1 = 2.37
Over 1.5
69%1.31
Over 2.5
46%2.00
Over 3.5
26%3.42
Under 1.5
31%3.05
Under 2.5
54%1.70
Under 3.5
74%1.23
Corners

Corner forecasts not available for this match

Cards

Card forecasts not available for this match

Match Events

18'
45+3'
76'

Team Comparison

Gyeongju HNPGyeongju HNP
Changwon CityChangwon City
1489Elo Rating 1409
1.79Attack 1.09
1.94Defense 0.93
73%Hit Rate 23%

Game State Tendencies

Gyeongju HNPGyeongju HNP
  • Leads at half-time in 60% of matches
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
  • Starts fast - scores more in 1st half (1.1 vs 0.7 in second half)
Changwon CityChangwon City
  • Tied at half-time in 60% of matches
  • Scores more in 2nd half (0.7 vs 0.4 in first half)
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late

Head to Head

Last 10 meetings, all competitions

Gyeongju HNPGyeongju HNP2Wins · 20%
Draws660%
Changwon CityChangwon City2Wins · 20%
1.1Avg Goals
10%Both teams scored1 of 10
20%3+ goals2 of 10

Previous meetings

K3 League19/04/2026
Changwon CityGyeongju HNP
32
K3 League04/10/2025
Gyeongju HNPChangwon City
00
K3 League07/06/2025
Changwon CityGyeongju HNP
00
K3 League29/09/2024
Gyeongju HNPChangwon City
00
K3 League02/06/2024
Changwon CityGyeongju HNP
01
K3 League08/07/2023
Gyeongju HNPChangwon City
30
K3 League24/03/2023
Changwon CityGyeongju HNP
00
K3 League27/02/2022
Gyeongju HNPChangwon City
00
K3 League01/10/2021
Changwon CityGyeongju HNP
00
K3 League30/05/2021
Gyeongju HNPChangwon City
02

Recent Form

Gyeongju HNPGyeongju HNP
5W3D2L
12/09/2026
Gangneung CityGyeongju HNP
01
W
05/09/2026
Ulsan CitizenGyeongju HNP
12
W
22/08/2026
YangpyeongGyeongju HNP
33
D
25/07/2026
Gyeongju HNPSiheung Citizen
10
W
15/07/2026
CheongjuGyeongju HNP
40
L
11/07/2026
Daejeon KorailGyeongju HNP
01
W
05/07/2026
Gyeongju HNPSeosan Pioneer
30
W
28/06/2026
Gyeongju HNPPocheon
13
L
21/06/2026
Busan TransportationGyeongju HNP
11
D
06/06/2026
Jeonbuk Motors IIGyeongju HNP
11
D
Changwon CityChangwon City
2W4D4L
13/09/2026
Siheung CitizenChangwon City
31
L
05/09/2026
Changwon CityDaejeon Korail
01
L
22/08/2026
Busan TransportationChangwon City
43
L
26/07/2026
Changwon CityJeonbuk Motors II
11
D
15/07/2026
Changwon CityGimhae City
15
L
12/07/2026
Changwon CityChuncheon
11
D
04/07/2026
Changwon CityGeumsan Insam
30
W
27/06/2026
Changwon CityYeoju Sejong
22
D
20/06/2026
Changwon CityMokpo City
11
D
06/06/2026
Dangjin CitizenChangwon City
12
W

League Table

K3 League 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1Siheung CitizenSiheung Citizen25175338:22+1656DLWWW
2PocheonPocheon25148343:22+2150DWDWW
3Daejeon KorailDaejeon Korail25135736:20+1644WLWLW
4Busan TransportationBusan Transportation25117742:31+1140LWLLD
5Gyeongju HNPGyeongju HNP25910639:35+437DDWWW
6ChuncheonChuncheon25106943:37+636WWDWW
7Dangjin CitizenDangjin Citizen251051047:39+835DWLWL
8Gangneung CityGangneung City25961026:33-733WWLLD
9Changwon CityChangwon City2579927:31-430DLWLL
10Ulsan CitizenUlsan Citizen25851225:28-329DLLWL
11Yeoju SejongYeoju Sejong25781030:34-429DLWLL
12Mokpo CityMokpo City255101024:40-1625LDWWL
13YangpyeongYangpyeong25481330:49-1920LWLLL
14Jeonbuk Motors IIJeonbuk Motors II25181627:56-2911DLLLL
#TeamMPGPts
1Siheung CitizenSiheung Citizen2538:2256
2PocheonPocheon2543:2250
3Daejeon KorailDaejeon Korail2536:2044
4Busan TransportationBusan Transportation2542:3140
5Gyeongju HNPGyeongju HNP2539:3537
6ChuncheonChuncheon2543:3736
7Dangjin CitizenDangjin Citizen2547:3935
8Gangneung CityGangneung City2526:3333
9Changwon CityChangwon City2527:3130
10Ulsan CitizenUlsan Citizen2525:2829
11Yeoju SejongYeoju Sejong2530:3429
12Mokpo CityMokpo City2524:4025
13YangpyeongYangpyeong2530:4920
14Jeonbuk Motors IIJeonbuk Motors II2527:5611

About the Gyeongju HNP vs Changwon City forecast

The forecasts for this K3 League match are built from team Elo ratings, recent form, scoring data and the head-to-head record, and are updated as new data arrives before kickoff.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

Gyeongju HNP and Changwon City in the K3 League table

In the K3 League table, Gyeongju HNP are 5th and Changwon City 9th, 7 points apart. League goal record so far: Gyeongju HNP 39-35, Changwon City 27-31. The full standings are on the K3 League Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

Gyeongju HNP have led at half-time in 60% of their recent matches. Some underlying data for this fixture is limited, which the model accounts for with a lower confidence rating.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.