Hannover 96 vs FC St. Pauli Prediction
Germany · Regular Season - 8
AI Best Pick
Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.
Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
3.6 / 10
AI Best Pick
87%Trust
Goals O/U
Over 1.5 Goals
1.15
SignalSTRONGModel44%SurpriseMediumGap-0.1%
Hannover 96 Rest
7 days
FC St. Pauli Rest
6 days
Hannover 96 vs FC St. Pauli: the result in context
Hannover 96 and FC St. Pauli drew 1-1 in the 2. Bundesliga on 17 Oct 2026. The two went into the match with similar recent form.
Their 8 previous meetings averaged 2.6 goals, with both teams scoring in 4 of them.
Match Forecasts
Match Result
140%2.27
X25%3.59
235%2.75
Double Chance
1X65%1.41
X259%1.58
Both Teams to Score
Yes64%1.47
No36%2.50
Goals
Projected Goals: 2.27 + 1.35 = 3.62
Over 1.586%1.15
Over 2.569%1.53
Over 3.548%2.40
Under 1.514%4.75
Under 2.531%2.25
Under 3.552%1.53
Corners
Projected Corners: 5.7 + 4.7 = 10.4
Over 8.569%1.31
Over 9.557%1.56
Over 10.546%1.93
Under 8.531%2.97
Under 9.543%2.20
Under 10.554%1.79
Cards
Projected Cards: 2.1 + 2.3 = 4.5
Over 3.565%-
Over 4.546%-
Under 3.535%-
Under 4.554%-
Match Events
8'Husseyn ChakrounFoul
9'Goal cancelledHusseyn Chakroun
17'Stefán Teitur ThórdarsonFoul
45+1'Abdoulie CeesayAssist: Louis Oppie
48'Husseyn Chakroun
62'Youssoupha Niang INMartijn Kaars out
62'Mathias Rasmussen INSamuel Klein out
68'Kolja Oudenne INBenedikt Pichler out
75'Husseyn Chakroun INHayate Matsuda out
78'Marcel Hartel INBastian Allgeier out
85'Abdoulie Ceesay INRicky-Jade Jones out
86'Connor Metcalfe INBranimir Hrgota out
90+2'Joel Chima FujitaFoul
90+4'Ricky-Jade Jones INTaichi Hara out
Lineups
Hannover 96FC St. Pauli
3-4-2-1Coach: M. RappAvg ratingAvg rating
30L. Weinkauf
5V. Ghiță
3B. Tomiak
4J. Hugonet
33M. Neubauer
14H. Chakroun
8W. Taïbi
23S. Þórðarson
29K. Oudenne
9B. Källman
10M. Hartel
1B. Voll
4D. Nemeth
8E. Smith
21L. Ritzka
11A. Pyrka
20M. Rasmussen
16J. Fujita
23L. Oppie
7Y. Niang
24C. Metcalfe
9A. CeesayHannover 96 Substitutes
17B. Allgeier78'for Marcel Hartel
28Taycan Macid Etcibasi
1P. Loretz
27H. Matsuda75'for Husseyn Chakroun
20I. Okon
11B. Pichler68'for Kolja Oudenne
38Jasper Reinhold
13F. Roggow
44E. Sahiti
FC St. Pauli Substitutes
22Samuel Klein62'for Mathias Rasmussen
33D. Mitov
19M. Kaars62'for Youssoupha Niang
26R. Jones85'for Abdoulie Ceesay90+4'for Taichi Hara
10B. Hrgota86'for Connor Metcalfe
18T. Hara90+4'replaced by Ricky-Jade Jones
25A. Dźwigała
15T. Ando
14E. Ahlstrand
Match Stats
Hannover 96FC St. Pauli 43%Ball Possession57%
3Corner Kicks3
2Yellow Cards1
13Total Shots15
4Shots on Goal6
8Shots off Goal2
10Shots Inside Box7
3Shots Outside Box8
1Blocked Shots7
11Fouls11
4Offsides2
5Goalkeeper Saves3
417Total Passes558
323Passes Accurate470
10Free Kicks10
Team Comparison
Hannover 96FC St. Pauli1640Elo Rating 1599
0.48Attack 0.93
1.17Defense 2.61
14%Hit Rate 34%
16.1Shots per Game 14.5
6.0Shots on Target 4.0
7.0Corners per Game 5.4
2.6Cards per Game 2.3
AI Insights
⚽High Goal Expectancy3.62 goals
📉Home Underperforming
📉Away Underperforming
Game State Tendencies
Hannover 96- No tendency data available
FC St. Pauli- Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
- Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 100% of the time
Head to Head
Last 8 meetings, all competitions
Hannover 963Wins · 38%Draws225%
FC St. Pauli3Wins · 37%
3Wins · 37%2.6Avg Goals
50%Both teams scored4 of 8
63%3+ goals5 of 8
Previous meetings
21/04/2024Hannover 96FC St. Pauli12
10/11/2023FC St. PauliHannover 9600
05/02/2023FC St. PauliHannover 9620
23/07/2022Hannover 96FC St. Pauli22
20/02/2022FC St. PauliHannover 9603
11/09/2021Hannover 96FC St. Pauli10
16/05/2021FC St. PauliHannover 9612
16/01/2021Hannover 96FC St. Pauli23
Recent Form
Hannover 965W1D4L
10/10/2026
1. FC MagdeburgHannover 96Hannover 96
VfL Bochum
1. FC NürnbergHannover 96Hannover 96
VfL Wolfsburg
1. FC MagdeburgHannover 9630
L03/10/2026Hannover 96
Verl
20/09/2026Hannover 96Verl20
WHannover 96VfL Bochum21
W11/09/20261. FC NürnbergHannover 9621
L04/09/2026Hannover 96
Karlsruher SC
Hannover 96Karlsruher SC22
D30/08/2026
SV Darmstadt 98Hannover 96
SV Darmstadt 98Hannover 9601
W22/08/2026
HemelingenHannover 96
16/08/2026HemelingenHannover 9619
WHannover 96VfL Wolfsburg01
L09/08/2026
Energie CottbusHannover 96
Energie CottbusHannover 9631
L01/08/2026Hannover 96
PEC Zwolle
Hannover 96PEC Zwolle30
WFC St. Pauli2W6D2L
11/10/2026FC St. PauliKarlsruher SCFC St. PauliVfL Wolfsburg
FC St. PauliKarlsruher SC20
W03/10/2026FC St. Pauli
Borussia Mönchengladbach
FC St. PauliBorussia Mönchengladbach11
D20/09/2026Energie CottbusFC St. Pauli
12/09/2026Energie CottbusFC St. Pauli11
DFC St. PauliVfL Wolfsburg10
W04/09/2026
Arminia BielefeldFC St. Pauli
Arminia BielefeldFC St. Pauli22
D30/08/2026FC St. Pauli
1. FC Kaiserslautern
FC St. Pauli1. FC Kaiserslautern12
L23/08/2026
Rot-Weiß EssenFC St. Pauli
Rot-Weiß EssenFC St. Pauli20
L14/08/2026
Holstein KielFC St. Pauli
Holstein KielFC St. Pauli22
D09/08/2026FC St. Pauli
SpVgg Greuther Fürth
FC St. PauliSpVgg Greuther Fürth11
D01/08/2026FC St. Pauli
Deportivo La Coruna
FC St. PauliDeportivo La Coruna22
DReferee Profile
4.85Cards per match
4.70Yellow cards per match
0.15Red cards per match
22.2Fouls per match
Compared with other referees
4.85 cards a match, in line with other referees in the same competitions and seasons (4.83).
Cards come from 46 matches with official statistics.
Full referee statsLeague Table
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Hertha BSC | 10 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 23:8 | +15 | 28 | WWDWW |
| 2 | 1. FC Nürnberg | 10 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 24:13 | +11 | 21 | WLDDW |
| 3 | VfL Wolfsburg | 10 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 25:14 | +11 | 19 | WDWDW |
| 4 | 1. FC Kaiserslautern | 10 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 9:7 | +2 | 18 | LWWDW |
| 5 | 1. FC Magdeburg | 10 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 21:13 | +8 | 17 | DWLWD |
| 6 |  1. FC Heidenheim | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 17:18 | -1 | 15 | LDLDD |
| 7 | Arminia Bielefeld | 10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 16:15 | +1 | 14 | WLWWD |
| 8 | FC St. Pauli | 10 | 2 | 6 | 2 | 12:12 | 0 | 12 | LDDWD |
| 9 | SpVgg Greuther Fürth | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 13:16 | -3 | 12 | WLWLD |
| 10 |  VfL Osnabrück | 10 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 14:17 | -3 | 11 | LWLDD |
| 11 | VfL Bochum | 10 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 8:11 | -3 | 11 | WDLLL |
| 12 | Hannover 96 | 10 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 10:16 | -6 | 11 | WLDLW |
| 13 | Karlsruher SC | 10 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 13:21 | -8 | 11 | WLWLL |
| 14 | Energie Cottbus | 10 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 18:20 | -2 | 10 | LDDLD |
| 15 |  Eintracht Braunschweig | 10 | 3 | 1 | 6 | 16:18 | -2 | 10 | LWLWL |
| 16 | SV Darmstadt 98 | 10 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 9:19 | -10 | 9 | DDLWL |
| 17 | Holstein Kiel | 10 | 1 | 5 | 4 | 10:12 | -2 | 8 | LWDLD |
| 18 |  Dynamo Dresden | 10 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 12:20 | -8 | 8 | LLWDL |
| # | Team | MP | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Hertha BSC | 10 | 23:8 | 28 |
| 2 | 1. FC Nürnberg | 10 | 24:13 | 21 |
| 3 | VfL Wolfsburg | 10 | 25:14 | 19 |
| 4 | 1. FC Kaiserslautern | 10 | 9:7 | 18 |
| 5 | 1. FC Magdeburg | 10 | 21:13 | 17 |
| 6 | 1. FC Heidenheim | 10 | 17:18 | 15 |
| 7 | Arminia Bielefeld | 10 | 16:15 | 14 |
| 8 | FC St. Pauli | 10 | 12:12 | 12 |
| 9 | SpVgg Greuther Fürth | 10 | 13:16 | 12 |
| 10 | VfL Osnabrück | 10 | 14:17 | 11 |
| 11 | VfL Bochum | 10 | 8:11 | 11 |
| 12 | Hannover 96 | 10 | 10:16 | 11 |
| 13 | Karlsruher SC | 10 | 13:21 | 11 |
| 14 | Energie Cottbus | 10 | 18:20 | 10 |
| 15 | Eintracht Braunschweig | 10 | 16:18 | 10 |
| 16 | SV Darmstadt 98 | 10 | 9:19 | 9 |
| 17 | Holstein Kiel | 10 | 10:12 | 8 |
| 18 | Dynamo Dresden | 10 | 12:20 | 8 |
PromotionRelegation
Explore more predictions
This match
More 2. Bundesliga matches
- Holstein Kiel vs Hertha BSC 16/10/26
- SpVgg Greuther Fürth vs Eintracht Braunschweig 17/10/26
- 1. FC Kaiserslautern vs VfL Bochum 17/10/26
- VfL Wolfsburg vs 1. FC Heidenheim 17/10/26
- Arminia Bielefeld vs VfL Osnabrück 18/10/26
- Dynamo Dresden vs 1. FC Magdeburg 18/10/26
- SV Darmstadt 98 vs FC St. Pauli 23/10/26
- 1. FC Heidenheim vs Energie Cottbus 24/10/26
About the Hannover 96 vs FC St. Pauli forecast
The forecasts for this 2. Bundesliga match are built from team Elo ratings, recent form, scoring data and the head-to-head record, and are updated as new data arrives before kickoff.
How to Read These Forecasts
Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.
Hannover 96 and FC St. Pauli in the 2. Bundesliga table
In the 2. Bundesliga table, FC St. Pauli are 8th and Hannover 96 12th, 1 point apart. League goal record so far: Hannover 96 10-16, FC St. Pauli 12-12. The full standings are on the 2. Bundesliga Table 2026 page.
Key Factors for This Match
This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.
All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.