Hartlepool vs Harrogate Town Prediction

Hartlepool
0-1
Finished
HT 0-0
Harrogate Town
Victoria Park, Hartlepool 29/09/2026

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Partial
Match Importance
3.2 / 10
AI Best Pick
72%Trust
Double Chance
Draw or Away Win
1.24
SignalGOODModel47%SurpriseHighGap-8.9%
Hartlepool Rest
3 days
Harrogate Town Rest
3 days

Hartlepool vs Harrogate Town: the result in context

Harrogate Town beat Hartlepool 1-0 in the National League on 29 Sep 2026. It was in line with recent form: Harrogate Town had won 3 of their previous five, compared with none for Hartlepool.

Hartlepool have had the better of this fixture, winning 3 of the 5 previous meetings, which averaged 4.2 goals a game.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
25%3.56
X
24%3.70
2
51%1.83
Double Chance
1X
49%1.85
X2
75%1.24
Both Teams to Score
Yes
59%1.60
No
41%2.15
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.38 + 1.78 = 3.16
Over 1.5
79%1.20
Over 2.5
58%1.69
Over 3.5
36%2.67
Under 1.5
21%4.10
Under 2.5
42%2.10
Under 3.5
64%1.42
Corners

Corner forecasts not available for this match

Cards

Card forecasts not available for this match

Match Events

20'C. John
46'N. Eccleston INJ. Benn out
46'C. Thornton INT. Bondo out
54'B. HobsonAssist: W. McGowan
57'B. Dolaghan
61'J. Hugill INL. Charman out
61'C. Deeming INJ. Nolan out
66'J. Hmami
70'W. McGowan ING. Thomson out
71'B. Dolaghan INS. McCoulsky out
71'J. Hmami INE. Taylor out
71'C. John INB. Ilunga out
82'T. Bondo

Team Comparison

HartlepoolHartlepool
Harrogate TownHarrogate Town
1411Elo Rating 1581
1.46Attack 1.58
0.96Defense 1.60
37%Hit Rate 56%
18.0Shots per Game 17.4
5.0Shots on Target 5.2
6.0Corners per Game 6.5
2.0Cards per Game 2.5

AI Insights

⚽High Goal Expectancy3.16 goals
📈BTTS Trend100% in H2H

Game State Tendencies

HartlepoolHartlepool
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
  • Scores more in 2nd half (0.9 vs 0.6 in first half)
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late
Harrogate TownHarrogate Town
  • Leads at half-time in 60% of matches
  • Starts fast - scores more in 1st half (1.2 vs 0.4 in second half)
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late

Head to Head

Last 5 meetings, all competitions

HartlepoolHartlepool3Wins · 60%
Draws120%
Harrogate TownHarrogate Town1Wins · 20%
4.2Avg Goals
100%Both teams scored5 of 5
100%3+ goals5 of 5

Previous meetings

League Two01/01/2023
HartlepoolHarrogate Town
33
FA Cup26/11/2022
HartlepoolHarrogate Town
31
League Two15/10/2022
Harrogate TownHartlepool
21
League Two05/03/2022
Harrogate TownHartlepool
12
League Two23/10/2021
HartlepoolHarrogate Town
32

Recent Form

HartlepoolHartlepool
2W0D8L
26/09/2026
ScunthorpeHartlepool
41
L
19/09/2026
HartlepoolWorthing
13
L
16/09/2026
AltrinchamHartlepool
21
L
11/09/2026
Kidderminster HarriersHartlepool
20
L
08/09/2026
HartlepoolEverton U21
01
L
05/09/2026
HartlepoolWoking
10
W
01/09/2026
FC Halifax TownHartlepool
10
L
28/08/2026
HartlepoolEastleigh
01
L
22/08/2026
Sutton UtdHartlepool
21
L
15/08/2026
Aldershot TownHartlepool
01
W
Harrogate TownHarrogate Town
6W1D3L
26/09/2026
Harrogate TownEastleigh
41
W
19/09/2026
Boreham WoodHarrogate Town
41
L
15/09/2026
Harrogate TownAFC Fylde
12
L
12/09/2026
Harrogate TownTamworth
31
W
05/09/2026
ScunthorpeHarrogate Town
02
W
31/08/2026
Harrogate TownGateshead
21
W
28/08/2026
Aldershot TownHarrogate Town
31
L
22/08/2026
Harrogate TownBarrow
22
D
15/08/2026
WealdstoneHarrogate Town
13
W
08/08/2026
Harrogate TownSolihull Moors
52
W

League Table

National League 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1Boreham WoodBoreham Wood16142044:17+2744WWWWW
2Harrogate TownHarrogate Town16102434:23+1132DLWWW
3SouthendSouthend1685338:27+1129LDDWW
4AFC FyldeAFC Fylde1692530:24+629WWLWL
5Yeovil TownYeovil Town1684435:20+1528LWLWW
6WorthingWorthing1684432:25+728LDWWW
7AltrinchamAltrincham1691624:24028LDWWL
8CarlisleCarlisle1675432:23+926WWWDW
9FC Halifax TownFC Halifax Town1673628:20+824WLDWW
10BarrowBarrow1473425:18+724DWWWW
11Sutton UtdSutton Utd1673620:21-124WWLLD
12WokingWoking1663725:24+121WLWLW
13Kidderminster HarriersKidderminster Harriers1656517:16+121LDLDD
14Aldershot TownAldershot Town1663719:19021WLLLL
15AFC HornchurchAFC Hornchurch1670918:26-821LLLWL
16Forest GreenForest Green1454523:24-119WDLDD
17WealdstoneWealdstone1653823:29-618WLWLL
18EastleighEastleigh1553718:24-618LWLLD
19TamworthTamworth1552825:32-717LWLWW
20Boston UnitedBoston United1543819:28-915WLLLD
21HartlepoolHartlepool16501118:27-915LLWWL
22Solihull MoorsSolihull Moors16411119:40-2113WWLLL
23ScunthorpeScunthorpe14311018:28-1010LLLLW
24GatesheadGateshead1511139:34-254LLLLL
#TeamMPGPts
1Boreham WoodBoreham Wood1644:1744
2Harrogate TownHarrogate Town1634:2332
3SouthendSouthend1638:2729
4AFC FyldeAFC Fylde1630:2429
5Yeovil TownYeovil Town1635:2028
6WorthingWorthing1632:2528
7AltrinchamAltrincham1624:2428
8CarlisleCarlisle1632:2326
9FC Halifax TownFC Halifax Town1628:2024
10BarrowBarrow1425:1824
11Sutton UtdSutton Utd1620:2124
12WokingWoking1625:2421
13Kidderminster HarriersKidderminster Harriers1617:1621
14Aldershot TownAldershot Town1619:1921
15AFC HornchurchAFC Hornchurch1618:2621
16Forest GreenForest Green1423:2419
17WealdstoneWealdstone1623:2918
18EastleighEastleigh1518:2418
19TamworthTamworth1525:3217
20Boston UnitedBoston United1519:2815
21HartlepoolHartlepool1618:2715
22Solihull MoorsSolihull Moors1619:4013
23ScunthorpeScunthorpe1418:2810
24GatesheadGateshead159:344
PromotionRelegation

About the Hartlepool vs Harrogate Town forecast

The forecasts for this National League match are built from team Elo ratings, recent form, scoring data and the head-to-head record, and are updated as new data arrives before kickoff.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

Hartlepool and Harrogate Town in the National League table

The table shows a wide gap: Harrogate Town are 2nd in the National League, while Hartlepool sit 21st, 17 points behind. League goal record so far: Hartlepool 18-27, Harrogate Town 34-23. The full standings are on the National League Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

Harrogate Town have led at half-time in 60% of their recent matches. Some underlying data for this fixture is limited, which the model accounts for with a lower confidence rating.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.