HPS vs Reipas Prediction

HPS
3-2
Finished
HT 2-0
Reipas
Briotech Arena 04/07/2026
HPSHPS
3-2
Finished
ReipasReipas

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Partial
Match Importance
3.2 / 10
AI Best Pick
74%Trust
Double Chance
Home Win or Draw
1.50
SignalGOODModel48%SurpriseMediumGap+7.7%
HPS Rest
7 days
Reipas Rest
6 days

HPS vs Reipas: the result in context

HPS beat Reipas 3-2 in the Kakkonen - Lohko A on 4 Jul 2026. The two went into the match with similar recent form.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
47%2.50
X
27%3.74
2
26%2.25
Double Chance
1X
74%1.50
X2
52%1.42
Both Teams to Score
Yes
58%1.30
No
42%3.08
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.84 + 1.14 = 2.98
Over 1.5
80%1.05
Over 2.5
59%1.31
Over 3.5
36%1.82
Under 1.5
20%6.55
Under 2.5
41%2.92
Under 3.5
64%1.83
Corners

Corner forecasts not available for this match

Cards

Card forecasts not available for this match

Match Events

13'B. Rekola
34'B. Rekola
46'T. Kautonen INM. Vatanen out
46'H. Nykanen INJ. Mynttinen out
58'E. Ndabawedje INL. Jarvinen out
63'B. Rekola INS. Gronberg out
64'M. Niskanen INI. Simonov out
68'J. Tamminen
68'O. Helttunen INE. Salmensuu out
71'J. Oris
72'B. Kose(Penalty)
73'L. Jarvinen
76'J. Mynttinen
77'K. Merilainen
81'A. Paalanen INE. Kuparinen out
85'H. Boughrara INL. Heiskanen out
85'A. Lindstrom INT. Ryhanen out
90+1'K. Kajanoja INJ. Sipola out
90+2'M. Vatanen

Team Comparison

HPSHPS
ReipasReipas
1437Elo Rating 1460
1.27Attack 2.28
0.47Defense 2.64
0%Hit Rate 42%

AI Insights

⚽High Goal Expectancy2.98 goals
💎Value Analysis Identified

Game State Tendencies

HPSHPS
  • Scores more in 2nd half (1.3 vs 0 in first half)
  • Concedes more in 1st half - tightens up after the break
ReipasReipas
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
  • Starts fast - scores more in 1st half (1.3 vs 1 in second half)

Head to Head

1 previous meeting, all competitions

HPSHPS0Wins · 0%
Draws1100%
ReipasReipas0Wins · 0%
4.0Avg Goals
100%Both teams scored1 of 1
100%3+ goals1 of 1

Previous meetings

Kakkonen - Lohko A24/04/2026
ReipasHPS
22

Recent Form

HPSHPS
5W2D3L
27/06/2026
PuiU HelsinkiHPS
02
W
12/06/2026
HPSKiffen
12
L
06/06/2026
Union PlaaniHPS
02
W
31/05/2026
HPSPPJ
22
D
22/05/2026
HIFK HelsinkiHPS
02
W
16/05/2026
HPSAtlantis
43
W
09/05/2026
MyPaHPS
13
W
02/05/2026
HPSPEPO
12
L
28/04/2026
HPSMariehamn
12
L
24/04/2026
ReipasHPS
22
D
ReipasReipas
5W1D4L
27/06/2026
KiffenReipas
32
L
13/06/2026
ReipasUnion Plaani
42
W
04/06/2026
PEPOReipas
21
L
31/05/2026
ReipasAtlantis
10
W
22/05/2026
PPJReipas
30
L
16/05/2026
MyPaReipas
05
W
08/05/2026
ReipasPuiU Helsinki
31
W
03/05/2026
HIFK HelsinkiReipas
21
L
24/04/2026
ReipasHPS
22
D
19/04/2026
ReipasKiffen
32
W

League Table

Kakkonen - Lohko A 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1KiffenKiffen18123341:24+1739WWWDD
2PEPOPEPO18114336:23+1337WWWWW
3AtlantisAtlantis18102662:44+1832WWWDW
4HIFK HelsinkiHIFK Helsinki1876539:33+627LLDDD
5HPSHPS1874739:41-225LLDDL
6PPJPPJ1858533:31+223LWDLL
7ReipasReipas1872935:35023LLLWW
8PuiU HelsinkiPuiU Helsinki18441026:38-1216LLDDL
9MyPaMyPa18431120:39-1915WLLDL
10Union PlaaniUnion Plaani18421219:42-2314WWLLW
#TeamMPGPts
1KiffenKiffen1841:2439
2PEPOPEPO1836:2337
3AtlantisAtlantis1862:4432
4HIFK HelsinkiHIFK Helsinki1839:3327
5HPSHPS1839:4125
6PPJPPJ1833:3123
7ReipasReipas1835:3523
8PuiU HelsinkiPuiU Helsinki1826:3816
9MyPaMyPa1820:3915
10Union PlaaniUnion Plaani1819:4214
Promotion

About the HPS vs Reipas forecast

The forecasts for this Kakkonen - Lohko A match are built from team Elo ratings, recent form, scoring data and the head-to-head record, and are updated as new data arrives before kickoff.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

HPS and Reipas in the Kakkonen - Lohko A table

HPS and Reipas are close in the Kakkonen - Lohko A table, 5th and 7th, with 2 points between them. League goal record so far: HPS 39-41, Reipas 35-35. The full standings are on the Kakkonen - Lohko A Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

HPS and Reipas have met only 1 time recently, with 4.0 goals in that meeting. Some underlying data for this fixture is limited, which the model accounts for with a lower confidence rating.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.