Hume City vs Melbourne City II Prediction

01/08/2026

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Partial
Match Importance
3.2 / 10
Value Analysis
63%Trust
Goals O/U
Under 3.5 Goals
1.57
SignalSOLIDModel39%SurpriseHighGap+5.2%
Hume City Rest
7 days
Melbourne City II Rest
6 days

Hume City vs Melbourne City II: the result in context

Hume City beat Melbourne City II 1-0 in the Victoria NPL on 1 Aug 2026. The two went into the match with similar recent form.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
50%1.72
X
23%3.80
2
27%4.00
Double Chance
1X
73%1.18
X2
50%1.95
Both Teams to Score
Yes
60%1.49
No
40%2.40
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.83 + 1.34 = 3.17
Over 1.5
83%1.14
Over 2.5
64%1.48
Over 3.5
37%2.23
Under 1.5
17%4.65
Under 2.5
36%2.42
Under 3.5
63%1.57
Corners

Corner forecasts not available for this match

Cards

Card forecasts not available for this match

Match Events

87'M. Wright

Team Comparison

Hume CityHume City
Melbourne City IIMelbourne City II
1550Elo Rating 1424
2.09Attack 1.01
0.68Defense 0.00
50%Hit Rate 0%

AI Insights

🏠Strong Home Advantage+126 Elo
⚽High Goal Expectancy3.17 goals

Game State Tendencies

Hume CityHume City
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
  • Scores more in 2nd half (1.3 vs 0.8 in first half)
Melbourne City IIMelbourne City II
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late

Head to Head

1 previous meeting, all competitions

Hume CityHume City1Wins · 100%
Draws00%
Melbourne City IIMelbourne City II0Wins · 0%
1.0Avg Goals
0%Both teams scored0 of 1
0%3+ goals0 of 1

Previous meetings

Victoria NPL26/04/2026
Melbourne City IIHume City
01

Recent Form

Hume CityHume City
5W2D3L
24/07/2026
St. Albans SaintsHume City
32
L
18/07/2026
Hume CityOakleigh Cannons
01
L
10/07/2026
Preston LionsHume City
21
L
04/07/2026
Hume CityDandenong City
00
D
27/06/2026
Dandenong ThunderHume City
13
W
20/06/2026
Hume CityGreen Gully
32
W
05/06/2026
Bentleigh GreensHume City
15
W
30/05/2026
Hume CitySouth Melbourne
11
D
23/05/2026
Altona MagicHume City
13
W
16/05/2026
Hume CityAvondale
30
W
Melbourne City IIMelbourne City II
5W1D4L
25/07/2026
Melbourne City IIAvondale
23
L
18/07/2026
Sunshine GeorgiesMelbourne City II
10
L
11/07/2026
Melbourne City IIHeidelberg United
22
D
04/07/2026
Altona MagicMelbourne City II
03
W
26/06/2026
St. Albans SaintsMelbourne City II
02
W
19/06/2026
Oakleigh CannonsMelbourne City II
31
L
30/05/2026
Melbourne City IIDandenong City
01
L
24/05/2026
Melbourne City IIDandenong Thunder
20
W
15/05/2026
Green GullyMelbourne City II
13
W
08/05/2026
Bentleigh GreensMelbourne City II
07
W

League Table

Victoria NPL 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1Oakleigh CannonsOakleigh Cannons26166456:24+3254LWWDL
2Preston LionsPreston Lions26156541:19+2251DDWDW
3Hume CityHume City26154751:36+1549LWWWL
4AvondaleAvondale26152965:34+3147WWLWW
5South MelbourneSouth Melbourne261321139:36+341LLWWW
6Heidelberg UnitedHeidelberg United26117842:34+840WWLLD
7Sunshine GeorgiesSunshine Georgies26911635:34+138WLWDD
8Dandenong CityDandenong City26107935:31+437WDWWD
9St. Albans SaintsSt. Albans Saints26971036:43-734WWDLW
10Melbourne City IIMelbourne City II26861242:42030LLLLL
11Altona MagicAltona Magic26771228:42-1428DLLDW
12Bentleigh GreensBentleigh Greens26661427:51-2424LWDDL
13Green GullyGreen Gully26461623:52-2918WLLDD
14Dandenong ThunderDandenong Thunder26431923:65-4215LLLLL
#TeamMPGPts
1Oakleigh CannonsOakleigh Cannons2656:2454
2Preston LionsPreston Lions2641:1951
3Hume CityHume City2651:3649
4AvondaleAvondale2665:3447
5South MelbourneSouth Melbourne2639:3641
6Heidelberg UnitedHeidelberg United2642:3440
7Sunshine GeorgiesSunshine Georgies2635:3438
8Dandenong CityDandenong City2635:3137
9St. Albans SaintsSt. Albans Saints2636:4334
10Melbourne City IIMelbourne City II2642:4230
11Altona MagicAltona Magic2628:4228
12Bentleigh GreensBentleigh Greens2627:5124
13Green GullyGreen Gully2623:5218
14Dandenong ThunderDandenong Thunder2623:6515

About the Hume City vs Melbourne City II forecast

The forecasts for this Victoria NPL match are built from team Elo ratings, recent form, scoring data and the head-to-head record, and are updated as new data arrives before kickoff.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

Hume City and Melbourne City II in the Victoria NPL table

In the Victoria NPL table, Hume City are 3rd and Melbourne City II 10th, 19 points apart. League goal record so far: Hume City 51-36, Melbourne City II 42-42. The full standings are on the Victoria NPL Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

Hume City and Melbourne City II have met only 1 time recently, with 1.0 goals in that meeting. Some underlying data for this fixture is limited, which the model accounts for with a lower confidence rating.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.