IFK Varnamo vs Ostersunds FK Prediction

IFK Varnamo
1-1
Finished
HT 1-0
Ostersunds FK
Finnvedsvallen, Varnamo·Fredrik Oppong, Sweden 16/08/2026

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
3.2 / 10
AI Best Pick
66%Trust
Double Chance
Draw or Away Win
1.45
SignalSOLIDModel44%SurpriseMediumGap-3.1%
Value Analysis
70%Trust
Goals O/U
Under 3.5 Goals
1.40
SignalGOODModel36%SurpriseMediumGap+5.3%
IFK Varnamo Rest
4 days
Ostersunds FK Rest
8 days

IFK Varnamo vs Ostersunds FK: the result in context

IFK Varnamo and Ostersunds FK drew 1-1 in the Superettan on 16 Aug 2026. The two went into the match with similar recent form.

Ostersunds FK tend to win more corners, 8.4 a game to 4.4 for IFK Varnamo.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
29%2.55
X
27%3.40
2
44%2.51
Double Chance
1X
55%1.48
X2
71%1.45
Both Teams to Score
Yes
56%1.55
No
44%2.30
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.13 + 1.56 = 2.69
Over 1.5
75%1.21
Over 2.5
52%1.70
Over 3.5
30%2.64
Under 1.5
25%4.03
Under 2.5
48%2.10
Under 3.5
70%1.40
Corners

Corner forecasts not available for this match

Cards

Card forecasts not available for this match

Match Events

11'K. MeriluotoAssist: A. Bjornstrom
22'E. Ozkan
65'J. Ali INM. Palomino out
68'C. Johansson
68'H. Andersson INM. Akinfenwa out
74'K. Meriluoto INS. Jansson out
76'M. PalominoAssist: C. Edwards
77'E. Ozkan IND. Molls out
85'H. Andersson INE. Freij out
85'V. Claesson INB. Zulovic out
90'B. Zulovic
90+3'C. Edwards

Lineups

IFK Varnamo
4-4-2Coach: Kim Bergstrand
Ostersunds FK
3-5-2Coach: Nemanja Miljanovic
Hugo Keto1H. Keto
Motaraghebjafarpour Arash18M. Arash
Johan Rapp2J. Rapp
Hugo Andersson6H. Andersson
Samuel Ohlsson4S. Ohlsson
Hugo Andersson Mella8H. Andersson Mella
Carl Johansson7C. Johansson
Viktor Claesson10V. Claesson
Axel Björnström3A. Björnström
Kai Meriluoto9K. Meriluoto
Marcus Antonsson14M. Antonsson
Rasmus Forsell12R. Forsell
Dennis Widgren19D. Widgren
Sunday Anyanwu14S. Anyanwu
Hugo Azzi3H. Azzi
Daniel Miljanovic27D. Miljanovic
Emil Özkan8E. Özkan
Amar Begić16A. Begić
Curtis Edwards17C. Edwards
Abodi Qasem5A. Qasem
Jabir Abdihakim Ali22J. Abdihakim Ali
Simon Marklund10S. Marklund

IFK Varnamo Substitutes

33Musa Akinfenwa68'for H. Andersson
13Sigge Jansson74'for K. Meriluoto
19Erik Freij85'for H. Andersson
34Benjamin Zulovic85'for V. Claesson90'
39Blażej Sapielak
15Souleymane Coulibaly
21Ishaq Abdulrazak
16Antonio Kujundzic
28Mamadou Cellou Diallo

Ostersunds FK Substitutes

18Mario Palomino Delgado65'for J. Ali76'
15Molls Donald Ntchamda77'for E. Ozkan
1Melker Uppenberg
4Jonathan Westerberg
21Luka Božičković
7Gustav Odenlind
29Eseg Yossief Worke

Team Comparison

IFK VarnamoIFK Varnamo
Ostersunds FKOstersunds FK
1477Elo Rating 1602
0.90Attack 1.41
1.75Defense 2.54
39%Hit Rate 41%
10.5Shots per Game 11.1
4.3Shots on Target 4.6
4.4Corners per Game 8.4
0.9Cards per Game 0.5

AI Insights

📉Home Underperforming

Game State Tendencies

IFK VarnamoIFK Varnamo
  • Tied at half-time in 60% of matches
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late
Ostersunds FKOstersunds FK
  • Tied at half-time in 80% of matches
  • Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 100% of the time
  • Scores more in 2nd half (1.1 vs 0.3 in first half)
  • Concedes more in 1st half - tightens up after the break

Head to Head

1 previous meeting, all competitions

IFK VarnamoIFK Varnamo0Wins · 0%
Draws00%
Ostersunds FKOstersunds FK1Wins · 100%
5.0Avg Goals
100%Both teams scored1 of 1
100%3+ goals1 of 1

Previous meetings

Superettan03/05/2026
Ostersunds FKIFK Varnamo
32

Referee Profile

Fredrik Oppong39 matches

3.76Cards per match
3.71Yellow cards per match
0.06Red cards per match
26.1Fouls per match

Compared with other referees

Fredrik Oppong3.76
Other referees3.40

3.76 cards a match, 0.36 more than other referees in the same competitions and seasons (3.40).

Cards come from 17 matches with official statistics.

Full referee stats

League Table

Superettan 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1IFK NorrkopingIFK Norrkoping29205461:18+4365WWDWW
2Falkenbergs FFFalkenbergs FF29166754:39+1554WLWWD
3Varbergs BoIS FCVarbergs BoIS FC29139748:37+1148DDDDW
4Ostersunds FKOstersunds FK291212538:29+948LWDDD
5Landskrona BoISLandskrona BoIS29138848:34+1447WDLWW
6OddevoldOddevold29129850:38+1245WWLWL
7Osters IFOsters IF291431249:45+445WWWLL
8United NordicUnited Nordic29119945:49-442WLWLL
9SandvikenSandviken291081145:40+538LWDLW
10IFK VarnamoIFK Varnamo291051438:48-1035WLWLW
11Ljungskile SKLjungskile SK298101139:40-134DDWDL
12HelsingborgHelsingborg29881337:51-1432LDDLD
13Orebro SKOrebro SK296111232:44-1229LWDDL
14Norrby IFNorrby IF295121231:44-1327LLLWD
15IK brageIK brage29681546:57-1126LLLWL
16GIF SundsvallGIF Sundsvall29612221:69-4819LLLLW
#TeamMPGPts
1IFK NorrkopingIFK Norrkoping2961:1865
2Falkenbergs FFFalkenbergs FF2954:3954
3Varbergs BoIS FCVarbergs BoIS FC2948:3748
4Ostersunds FKOstersunds FK2938:2948
5Landskrona BoISLandskrona BoIS2948:3447
6OddevoldOddevold2950:3845
7Osters IFOsters IF2949:4545
8United NordicUnited Nordic2945:4942
9SandvikenSandviken2945:4038
10IFK VarnamoIFK Varnamo2938:4835
11Ljungskile SKLjungskile SK2939:4034
12HelsingborgHelsingborg2937:5132
13Orebro SKOrebro SK2932:4429
14Norrby IFNorrby IF2931:4427
15IK brageIK brage2946:5726
16GIF SundsvallGIF Sundsvall2921:6919
PromotionRelegation

About the IFK Varnamo vs Ostersunds FK forecast

The forecasts for this Superettan match are built from team Elo ratings, recent form, scoring data and the head-to-head record, and are updated as new data arrives before kickoff.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

IFK Varnamo and Ostersunds FK in the Superettan table

In the Superettan table, Ostersunds FK are 4th and IFK Varnamo 10th, 13 points apart. League goal record so far: IFK Varnamo 38-48, Ostersunds FK 38-29. The full standings are on the Superettan Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

IFK Varnamo and Ostersunds FK have met only 1 time recently, with 5.0 goals in that meeting. This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.