Independiente Petrolero vs Real Tomayapo Prediction

Estadio Olimpico Patria, Sucre·Ivo Nigel Mendez Chavez 07/11/2026

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
3.2 / 10
AI Best Pick
80%Trust
Double Chance
Home Win or Draw
1.13
SignalHIGHModel61%SurpriseMediumGap-8.5%
Independiente Petrolero Rest
3 days
Real Tomayapo Rest
4 days

Independiente Petrolero vs Real Tomayapo: the result in context

Real Tomayapo beat Independiente Petrolero 2-0 in the Primera División on 6 Nov 2026. The two went into the match with similar recent form.

Independiente Petrolero have had the better of this fixture, winning 6 of the 10 previous meetings, which averaged 4.7 goals a game.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
57%1.54
X
21%4.13
2
22%4.75
Double Chance
1X
78%1.13
X2
43%2.25
Both Teams to Score
Yes
59%1.60
No
41%2.19
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.99 + 1.24 = 3.23
Over 1.5
82%1.16
Over 2.5
61%1.55
Over 3.5
40%2.33
Under 1.5
18%4.80
Under 2.5
39%2.30
Under 3.5
60%1.51
Corners

Corner forecasts not available for this match

Cards

Card forecasts not available for this match

Match Events

24'Red card cancelledJorge Orozco
26'Jorge OrozcoFoul
33'Daniel RojasFoul
45'C. Urdininea INJefferson Carioca out
50'Jorge Rolando Alfonso ÁvalosAbusive Language
56'Ruan·Costa de FreitasAssist: D. Robles
60'Kevin MamaniFoul
63'Jorge Orozco INJavier Guerra out
63'Ruan·Costa de Freitas INRamiro Eguez out
65'Rudy Cardozo INGean Carlos Morais Almeida out
65'Lucas Sánchez INSantiago Chavez Suarez out
73'Saul Torres RojasFoul
74'denilzon ramallo INCristhian Arabe out
74'Yordy Álvarez INjosue castillo out
85'L.Rodríguez INDeyvid Alexander Sejas Claros out
86'Ramiro Eguez
89'Kevin Mamani INRobson Leandro Dos Santos out
90+1'Jefferson CariocaFoul

Lineups

Independiente Petrolero
5-4-1Coach: J. Grass
Real Tomayapo
3-5-2Coach: J. Alfonso
Avg rating6.54
Avg rating6.77
Jhunior Vera7.812J. Vera
S. Torres6.12S. Torres
Roni Santos7.050R. Santos
Cristian Jhamil Urdininea Zambrana6.614C. Jhamil Urdininea Zambrana
W. Soleto7.128W. Soleto
L. Rodríguez6.44L. Rodríguez
L. Sanchez6.526L. Sanchez
D. Rojas7.16D. Rojas
Willie6.193Willie
R. Cardozo6.37R. Cardozo
G. Álvarez6.491G. Álvarez
C. Adorno7.022C. Adorno
G. Barbieri7.055G. Barbieri
D. Robles7.124D. Robles
M. Bejarano6.317M. Bejarano
K. Mamani6.333K. Mamani
J. Mamani6.38J. Mamani
D. Ramallo6.821D. Ramallo
Yordy Álvarez6.450Y. Álvarez
V. Gálvez6.414V. Gálvez
J. Orozco6.99J. Orozco
Ruan Costa8.227R. Costa

Independiente Petrolero Substitutes

39P. Grass
15J. Bejarano
16Santiago Chavez Suarez65'replaced by Lucas Sánchez
3L. Crescencio
99Ferreirinha45'for C. Urdininea90+1'6.0
8José Bermang Gutiérrez Adomeit
1J. Gutiérrez
30Joshua Montaño Hilton
9Gean65'for Rudy Cardozo6.0
68Juan David Morales Ruiz
82D. Claros85'for L.Rodríguez6.3
5Luis Braihan Palma Escobar

Real Tomayapo Substitutes

43Cesar Romero
35J. Castillo74'for Yordy Álvarez6.6
36J. Chavez
25R. Cuéllar
18R. Eguez63'for Ruan·Costa de Freitas86'7.3
40Y. Espindola
15J. Guerra63'for Jorge Orozco6.6
19Robson89'for Kevin Mamani6.5
7Cristhian Arabe74'replaced by denilzon ramallo

Match Stats

Independiente PetroleroReal Tomayapo
71%Ball Possession29%
2Corner Kicks2
3Yellow Cards2
10Total Shots16
2Shots on Goal7
8Shots off Goal7
3Shots Inside Box4
7Shots Outside Box12
0Blocked Shots2
8Fouls18
2Offsides0
5Goalkeeper Saves2
523Total Passes218
454Passes Accurate146
16Free Kicks7

Team Comparison

Independiente PetroleroIndependiente Petrolero
Real TomayapoReal Tomayapo
1468Elo Rating 1355
2.21Attack 0.46
1.57Defense 1.67
36%Hit Rate 19%
11.9Shots per Game 16.4
4.2Shots on Target 5.0
2.4Corners per Game 4.1
2.3Cards per Game 3.2

AI Insights

🏠Strong Home Advantage+114 Elo
⚽High Goal Expectancy3.23 goals
📈BTTS Trend80% in H2H
📊Home Overperforming
📉Away Underperforming

Game State Tendencies

Independiente PetroleroIndependiente Petrolero
  • Tied at half-time in 60% of matches
  • Starts fast: scores more in 1st half (1.3 vs 0.9 in second half)
Real TomayapoReal Tomayapo
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
  • Concedes more in 2nd half and can tire late

Head to Head

Last 10 meetings, all competitions

Independiente PetroleroIndependiente Petrolero6Wins · 60%
Draws110%
Real TomayapoReal Tomayapo3Wins · 30%
4.7Avg Goals
80%Both teams scored8 of 10
90%3+ goals9 of 10

Previous meetings

Copa de la División Profesional22/09/2026
Independiente PetroleroReal Tomayapo
51
Copa de la División Profesional01/09/2026
Real TomayapoIndependiente Petrolero
30
Torneo Amistoso de Verano09/02/2026
Independiente PetroleroReal Tomayapo
52
Torneo Amistoso de Verano05/02/2026
Real TomayapoIndependiente Petrolero
21
Copa de la División Profesional30/10/2025
Real TomayapoIndependiente Petrolero
36
Copa de la División Profesional01/10/2025
Independiente PetroleroReal Tomayapo
20
Primera División27/09/2025
Independiente PetroleroReal Tomayapo
21
Primera División17/05/2025
Real TomayapoIndependiente Petrolero
33
Primera División04/12/2024
Independiente PetroleroReal Tomayapo
21
Primera División08/08/2024
Real TomayapoIndependiente Petrolero
32

Recent Form

Independiente PetroleroIndependiente Petrolero
5W2D3L
04/11/2026
AuroraIndependiente Petrolero
32
L
30/10/2026
Real PotosíIndependiente Petrolero
11
D
25/10/2026
Independiente PetroleroABB
42
W
21/10/2026
Independiente PetroleroAurora
40
W
18/10/2026
BloomingIndependiente Petrolero
00
D
12/10/2026
Always ReadyIndependiente Petrolero
20
L
07/10/2026
Independiente PetroleroGualberto Villarroel SJ
10
W
05/10/2026
Independiente PetroleroBolívar
03
L
02/10/2026
BloomingIndependiente Petrolero
01
W
27/09/2026
Gualberto Villarroel SJIndependiente Petrolero
13
W
Real TomayapoReal Tomayapo
2W2D6L
02/11/2026
Real TomayapoBlooming
12
L
25/10/2026
AuroraReal Tomayapo
10
L
17/10/2026
Real TomayapoGualberto Villarroel SJ
10
W
09/10/2026
San Antonio Bulo BuloReal Tomayapo
00
D
06/10/2026
Real OruroReal Tomayapo
40
L
03/10/2026
Always ReadyReal Tomayapo
40
L
01/10/2026
Real TomayapoNacional Potosí
11
D
28/09/2026
Real TomayapoReal Oruro
21
W
22/09/2026
Independiente PetroleroReal Tomayapo
51
L
18/09/2026
Real TomayapoOriente Petrolero
02
L

Referee Profile

Ivo Nigel Mendez Chavez124 matches

5.42Cards per match
4.93Yellow cards per match
0.49Red cards per match
22.9Fouls per match

Compared with other referees

Ivo Nigel Mendez Chavez5.42
Other referees5.82

5.42 cards a match, 0.40 fewer than other referees in the same competitions and seasons (5.82).

Cards come from 45 matches with official statistics.

Full referee stats

League Table

Primera División 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1BolívarBolívar25193361:24+3760WWWWW
2Always ReadyAlways Ready25176261:19+4257WWWLW
3The StrongestThe Strongest25146546:29+1748LWLWL
4Oriente PetroleroOriente Petrolero25125842:30+1241WDWDW
5Real PotosíReal Potosí251010532:18+1440DDLWW
6AuroraAurora25812536:32+436DDWLD
7Nacional PotosíNacional Potosí25961037:33+433DDWLD
8GuabiráGuabirá25961040:50-1033WLLDL
9BloomingBlooming25710833:27+631LWLDL
10Real OruroReal Oruro25941241:58-1731WDLWW
11Independiente PetroleroIndependiente Petrolero25861132:42-1030LDWDL
12San Antonio Bulo BuloSan Antonio Bulo Bulo25831428:50-2227LWWLD
13Real TomayapoReal Tomayapo25651419:42-2323WLLWD
14Universitario de VintoUniversitario de Vinto25641532:49-1722DLLWL
15Gualberto Villarroel SJGualberto Villarroel SJ25481330:47-1720LLWLW
16ABBABB25621737:57-2020LLLLL
#TeamMPGPts
1BolívarBolívar2561:2460
2Always ReadyAlways Ready2561:1957
3The StrongestThe Strongest2546:2948
4Oriente PetroleroOriente Petrolero2542:3041
5Real PotosíReal Potosí2532:1840
6AuroraAurora2536:3236
7Nacional PotosíNacional Potosí2537:3333
8GuabiráGuabirá2540:5033
9BloomingBlooming2533:2731
10Real OruroReal Oruro2541:5831
11Independiente PetroleroIndependiente Petrolero2532:4230
12San Antonio Bulo BuloSan Antonio Bulo Bulo2528:5027
13Real TomayapoReal Tomayapo2519:4223
14Universitario de VintoUniversitario de Vinto2532:4922
15Gualberto Villarroel SJGualberto Villarroel SJ2530:4720
16ABBABB2537:5720

About the Independiente Petrolero vs Real Tomayapo forecast

The forecasts for this Primera División match are built from team Elo ratings, recent form, scoring data and the head-to-head record, and are updated as new data arrives before kickoff.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage is the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% means strong statistical confidence; 45-65% points to a competitive, open match; below 45% means the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for information and entertainment only.

Independiente Petrolero and Real Tomayapo in the Primera División table

Independiente Petrolero and Real Tomayapo are close in the Primera División table, 11th and 13th, with 7 points between them. League goal record so far: Independiente Petrolero 32-42, Real Tomayapo 19-42. The full standings are on the Primera División Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.