Iskra Smolensk vs Tver Prediction

Iskra Smolensk
2-4
Finished
HT 2-0
Tver
04/07/2026

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Partial
Match Importance
3.0 / 10
AI Best Pick
81%Trust
Goals O/U
Under 3.5 Goals
1.34
SignalSTRONGModel40%SurpriseHighGap+6.7%
Iskra Smolensk Rest
12 days
Tver Rest
5 days

Iskra Smolensk vs Tver: the result in context

Tver beat Iskra Smolensk 4-2 in the Second League - Group 2 on 4 Jul 2026. It was in line with recent form: Tver had won 2 of their previous five, compared with none for Iskra Smolensk.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
39%2.40
X
29%3.52
2
32%2.43
Double Chance
1X
68%1.43
X2
61%1.44
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%1.58
No
56%2.17
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.2 + 1 = 2.20
Over 1.5
64%1.19
Over 2.5
38%1.72
Over 3.5
19%2.78
Under 1.5
36%3.76
Under 2.5
62%1.98
Under 3.5
81%1.34
Corners

Corner forecasts not available for this match

Cards

Card forecasts not available for this match

Match Events

26'M. Vasiliev
27'S. Kozyrev
53'E. Ponomarev(Penalty missed)
54'E. Ponomarev
66'K. Zakharov
73'N. Abdulkin
75'A. Khomyakov

Team Comparison

Iskra SmolenskIskra Smolensk
TverTver
1451Elo Rating 1540
1.33Attack 2.27
1.26Defense 2.37
31%Hit Rate 50%

AI Insights

📈BTTS Trend

Game State Tendencies

Iskra SmolenskIskra Smolensk
  • Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 33% of the time
  • Scores more in 2nd half (1 vs 0.3 in first half)
  • Concedes more in 1st half - tightens up after the break
TverTver
  • Tied at half-time in 60% of matches
  • Scores more in 2nd half (1.3 vs 0.9 in first half)
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late

Recent Form

Iskra SmolenskIskra Smolensk
1W2D3L
21/06/2026
MuromIskra Smolensk
60
L
13/06/2026
Iskra SmolenskLuki-Energiya
11
D
06/06/2026
Zvezda St. PetersburgIskra Smolensk
11
D
30/05/2026
Iskra SmolenskTorpedo Vladimir
01
L
24/05/2026
IrkutskIskra Smolensk
21
L
16/05/2026
Iskra SmolenskDinamo Vologda
21
W
TverTver
2W0D8L
28/06/2026
TverMurom
10
W
21/06/2026
Luki-EnergiyaTver
21
L
14/06/2026
TverZvezda St. Petersburg
12
L
07/06/2026
Torpedo VladimirTver
20
L
31/05/2026
TverIrkutsk
32
W
24/05/2026
Dinamo VologdaTver
21
L
21/05/2026
Spartak Moscow 2Tver
21
L
17/05/2026
TverBaltika II
01
L
21/08/2025
TekstilshchikTver
5040
L
21/08/2024
TverZnamya Truda
0111
L

League Table

Second League - Group 2 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1MuromMurom21142535:17+1844WDWWW
2Dinamo St. PetersburgDinamo St. Petersburg20126232:10+2242DDWWW
3Luki-EnergiyaLuki-Energiya21126336:18+1842LDLWL
4Baltika IIBaltika II21124542:23+1940WLLLL
5Chertanovo MoscowChertanovo Moscow21116439:18+2139DWWLW
6Torpedo VladimirTorpedo Vladimir2095625:20+532LDLWL
7Kosmos DolgoprudnyKosmos Dolgoprudny2184924:30-628WWWWW
8TverTver21731130:36-624DWWWD
9CherepovetsCherepovets20731021:32-1124LLDLW
10Zvezda St. PetersburgZvezda St. Petersburg2059629:29024WWLLL
11Dinamo VologdaDinamo Vologda2065928:25+323LLLWD
12Spartak Moscow 2Spartak Moscow 221651021:27-623WLDWL
13Yenisey IIYenisey II21541223:40-1719WLWLL
14Iskra SmolenskIskra Smolensk21361219:44-2515LDLLW
15IrkutskIrkutsk21321611:46-3511DDDDD
#TeamMPGPts
1MuromMurom2135:1744
2Dinamo St. PetersburgDinamo St. Petersburg2032:1042
3Luki-EnergiyaLuki-Energiya2136:1842
4Baltika IIBaltika II2142:2340
5Chertanovo MoscowChertanovo Moscow2139:1839
6Torpedo VladimirTorpedo Vladimir2025:2032
7Kosmos DolgoprudnyKosmos Dolgoprudny2124:3028
8TverTver2130:3624
9CherepovetsCherepovets2021:3224
10Zvezda St. PetersburgZvezda St. Petersburg2029:2924
11Dinamo VologdaDinamo Vologda2028:2523
12Spartak Moscow 2Spartak Moscow 22121:2723
13Yenisey IIYenisey II2123:4019
14Iskra SmolenskIskra Smolensk2119:4415
15IrkutskIrkutsk2111:4611
PromotionRelegation

About the Iskra Smolensk vs Tver forecast

The forecasts for this Second League - Group 2 match are built from team Elo ratings, recent form, scoring data and the head-to-head record, and are updated as new data arrives before kickoff.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

Iskra Smolensk and Tver in the Second League - Group 2 table

In the Second League - Group 2 table, Tver are 8th and Iskra Smolensk 14th, 9 points apart. League goal record so far: Iskra Smolensk 19-44, Tver 30-36. The full standings are on the Second League - Group 2 Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

Iskra Smolensk and Tver have little recent head-to-head history for the model to draw on. Some underlying data for this fixture is limited, which the model accounts for with a lower confidence rating.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.