Kagoshima United vs Tochigi SC Prediction

Shiranami Stadium, Kagoshima 19/09/2026

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Partial
Match Importance
3.2 / 10
AI Best Pick
86%Trust
Double Chance
Home Win or Draw
1.20
SignalSTRONGModel66%SurpriseMediumGap+2.9%
Kagoshima United Rest
6 days
Tochigi SC Rest
6 days

Kagoshima United vs Tochigi SC: result, form and history

Kagoshima United beat Tochigi SC 3-1 in the J3 League on 19 Sep 2026. It was in line with recent form: Kagoshima United had won 4 of their previous five, compared with 1 for Tochigi SC.

Their 4 previous meetings averaged 2.3 goals, with both teams scoring in 2 of them.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
70%1.83
X
19%3.35
2
11%3.87
Double Chance
1X
89%1.20
X2
30%1.80
Both Teams to Score

Both teams to score forecasts not available for this match

Goals

Goal forecasts not available for this match

Corners

Corner forecasts not available for this match

Cards

Card forecasts not available for this match

Match Events

5'S. SuzukiOG
12'K. Sugimori
37'K. Yoshio
44'K. Yagi
46'K. Yagi INT. Myogan out
57'K. Sugimori INJ. Nakamura out
72'T. Igarashi INK. Otabor out
72'Y. Kondo INW. I. Suzuki out
77'W. Tanaka INM. Endo out
77'K. Kawamura INA. Takahashi out
80'J. Ikeda INM. Kim out
83'T. Myogan
85'K. Abe INR. Sakurai out
86'
90+1'A. TakahashiAssist: R. Arita
90+2'K. Yoshio INK. Kawashima out
90+2'R. Arita INJuanma Delgado out
90+4'W. I. SuzukiAssist: K. Uchida

Team Comparison

Kagoshima UnitedKagoshima United
Tochigi SCTochigi SC
1526Elo Rating 1361
1.74Attack 0.23
1.39Defense 2.64
42%Hit Rate 23%

AI Insights

🏠Strong Home Advantage+165 Elo

Game State Tendencies

Kagoshima UnitedKagoshima United
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
  • Starts fast - scores more in 1st half (1.1 vs 0.6 in second half)
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late
Tochigi SCTochigi SC
  • Tied at half-time in 100% of matches
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late

Head to Head

Last 4 meetings, all competitions

Kagoshima UnitedKagoshima United2Wins · 50%
Draws00%
Tochigi SCTochigi SC2Wins · 50%
2.3Avg Goals
50%Both teams scored2 of 4
50%3+ goals2 of 4

Previous meetings

J3 League09/11/2025
Tochigi SCKagoshima United
20
J3 League05/07/2025
Kagoshima UnitedTochigi SC
10
J2 League22/09/2024
Tochigi SCKagoshima United
21
J2 League21/04/2024
Kagoshima UnitedTochigi SC
21

Recent Form

Kagoshima UnitedKagoshima United
8W1D1L
13/09/2026
Biwako ShigaKagoshima United
12
W
05/09/2026
Kagoshima UnitedFC Ryukyu
21
W
02/09/2026
Kagoshima UnitedConsadole Sapporo
01
L
29/08/2026
Kamatamare SanukiKagoshima United
34
W
26/08/2026
Albirex NiigataKagoshima United
04
W
22/08/2026
Kagoshima UnitedFC Gifu
00
D
19/08/2026
Kagoshima UnitedRenofa Yamaguchi
21
W
16/08/2026
Nara ClubKagoshima United
13
W
08/08/2026
Kagoshima UnitedThespakusatsu Gunma
10
W
07/06/2026
Blaublitz AkitaKagoshima United
02
W
Tochigi SCTochigi SC
4W3D3L
13/09/2026
Parceiro NaganoTochigi SC
11
D
09/09/2026
Tochigi SCMontedio Yamagata
01
L
05/09/2026
Tochigi SCKochi United
20
W
29/08/2026
FC GifuTochigi SC
41
L
26/08/2026
Kawasaki FrontaleTochigi SC
31
L
22/08/2026
Tochigi SCKitakyushu
22
D
19/08/2026
Tochigi SCUrayasu
20
W
15/08/2026
Roasso KumamotoTochigi SC
00
D
09/08/2026
Tochigi SCKanazawa
32
W
07/06/2026
Tochigi SCKitakyushu
2111
W

League Table

J3 League 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1Kagoshima UnitedKagoshima United1493228:17+1130DLWWL
2Ehime FCEhime FC1482430:21+926LLWLW
3Renofa YamaguchiRenofa Yamaguchi1482419:11+826LWLWW
4Nara ClubNara Club1482425:21+426WLLWW
5FC GifuFC Gifu1481525:13+1225WLWWW
6SagamiharaSagamihara1474324:15+925WDLWW
7Roasso KumamotoRoasso Kumamoto1466216:8+824DWWWL
8OsakaOsaka1465323:14+923LWWLD
9FC RyukyuFC Ryukyu1472521:17+423WWWWL
10KanazawaKanazawa1462627:19+820WWLLD
11Parceiro NaganoParceiro Nagano1462620:20020WLLWW
12KitakyushuKitakyushu1454521:22-119WWLWL
13Matsumoto YamagaMatsumoto Yamaga1445515:16-117WLWLW
14Tochigi SCTochigi SC1445514:16-217WDWLL
15Gainare TottoriGainare Tottori1443715:28-1315LDLDL
16Fukushima UnitedFukushima United1442827:32-514LWWLD
17Biwako ShigaBiwako Shiga1442818:27-914LLLLD
18Thespakusatsu GunmaThespakusatsu Gunma1441912:26-1413LWLDW
19Kamatamare SanukiKamatamare Sanuki14221015:27-128LLWLL
20Kochi UnitedKochi United1413106:31-256LDLLL
#TeamMPGPts
1Kagoshima UnitedKagoshima United1428:1730
2Ehime FCEhime FC1430:2126
3Renofa YamaguchiRenofa Yamaguchi1419:1126
4Nara ClubNara Club1425:2126
5FC GifuFC Gifu1425:1325
6SagamiharaSagamihara1424:1525
7Roasso KumamotoRoasso Kumamoto1416:824
8OsakaOsaka1423:1423
9FC RyukyuFC Ryukyu1421:1723
10KanazawaKanazawa1427:1920
11Parceiro NaganoParceiro Nagano1420:2020
12KitakyushuKitakyushu1421:2219
13Matsumoto YamagaMatsumoto Yamaga1415:1617
14Tochigi SCTochigi SC1414:1617
15Gainare TottoriGainare Tottori1415:2815
16Fukushima UnitedFukushima United1427:3214
17Biwako ShigaBiwako Shiga1418:2714
18Thespakusatsu GunmaThespakusatsu Gunma1412:2613
19Kamatamare SanukiKamatamare Sanuki1415:278
20Kochi UnitedKochi United146:316
PromotionRelegation

About the Kagoshima United vs Tochigi SC forecast

Every forecast on this page comes from the same model inputs: team ratings, recent form, goals scored and conceded, and how these sides have fared against each other.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

Kagoshima United and Tochigi SC in the J3 League table

In the J3 League table, Kagoshima United are 1st and Tochigi SC 14th, 13 points apart. League goal record so far: Kagoshima United 28-17, Tochigi SC 14-16. The full standings are on the J3 League Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

Some underlying data for this fixture is limited, which the model accounts for with a lower confidence rating.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.